
Electric Vehicles 2010-2020
Brand new for 2010
Cars, Buses, Two Wheelers, Industrial, Commercial, Mobility for Disabled, Military, Marine, Other
Description
Electric Vehicles - Seeing the Big Picture
The burgeoning electric vehicle EV industry cannot be understood by simply looking at cars. The complete market value is, and will remain, about double the market for cars. The leaders such as Toyota, Honda and Nissan make electric vehicles for many applicational sectors. Indeed, many of them also control the manufacture of the component that most affects price and performance - the battery. For example, Nissan has a major program to put next generation lithium batteries from its battery joint venture into its forklifts as well as its cars. Toyota makes heavy and light industrial EVs from forklifts to buses and mobility for the disabled, not just electric cars, and the knowledge in these different divisions is shared between them all. Much is written about hybrid cars but there are substantial sales of hybrid military trucks, buses and even motorcycles now.
New report
IDTechEx has therefore launched a new report on the whole subject called "Electric Vehicles 2010-2020". It is based on ten years of researching the subject, intensive desk research, visits and interviews. There are chapters on Heavy Industrial, Light Industrial and Commercial, Mobility for the Disabled, Two Wheelers, Golf Cars, Cars, Military, Marine and Other vehicles. That even extends to electric mobile robots, surveillance jellyfish and other Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs), bats and electric aircraft. Detailed forecasts for these vehicle categories by numbers and value and the key components are provided for 2010-2020. The trends, technology and planned vehicles are clarified in 185 figures and 58 tables including the historical context. Winning and losing strategies are evaluated. Timelines are given of events to come.
At last the full picture of China
IDTechEx does not make the common mistake of reporting primarily on vehicles from the well known Western and Japanese manufacturers. 66% of the manufacturers of electric vehicles in the world are in China. Over 90% of the world's electric vehicles are made in China, mainly for use in China. It has the largest potential market for electric vehicles. It mines and controls 95% of the World's rare earth reserves used in the hybrid car batteries, motors and other key components of today's electric vehicles. Of the 420 EV manufacturers covered in this new report, an appropriately high proportion are Chinese. This is particularly true of the chapters on Heavy Industrial, Light Industrial and Commercial, Mobility for the Disabled, Two Wheelers, Golf Cars and Cars, where the Chinese heavily participate, as yet little publicity, because so much of it is for the domestic market.
Unique forecasts
New ten year forecasts for the whole EV market are only available from IDTechEx. The company finds that the electric vehicle industry will continue to exhibit strong growth for the next decade, though some sectors were impacted by the global financial meltdown and have yet to fully recover. Those participating in only one sector need to keep a wary eye on those with a broader vision: they must frequently review their strategy and avoid dangerous tunnel vision.
Good volume growth but greater value growth
The 29 million EVs sold in 2010 will rise 69% to 49 million in 2020 but the value of the market will grow by far more because larger and more expensive vehicles are now rapidly adopting the technology. Motorcycles, military vehicles, buses and earthmovers are among them. Hybrids will rise from about 50% to about 60% of the value market through the decade. In ten years from now, a far higher percentage of the global output of light industrial vehicles, commercial vehicles and cars will be EVs.
The new report gives the detail, forecasting numbers, unit value and total market value for each applicational sector with many original tables giving subsets of the data and a large number of profiles of current and planned activities of the participants. Some EV sectors were hit by the global financial meltdown but are recovering. Many sectors now benefit from the tsunami wave of government benefits, technical innovations and new models becoming available. We evaluate these aspects and the market drivers, including what users really need. Battery, motor and other technology is explained and forecasted as well.
This report "Electric Vehicles 2010-2020" is a sister report to IDTechEx reports about the two most important subsectors of the EV business - "Hybrid and Pure Electric Cars 2010-2020" and "Car Traction Batteries - The New Gold Rush 2010-2020". The report comes with one hour of free telephone or email consultancy to fill in any information you still require after having read it.
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| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS | |
| 1. | INTRODUCTION |
| 1.1. | Definitions and scope of this report |
| 1.1.1. | Learning from the past |
| 1.2. | Pure electric vehicles |
| 1.3. | Hybrid electric vehicles |
| 1.4. | Objectives |
| 1.5. | Benefits |
| 2. | HEAVY INDUSTRIAL EVS |
| 2.1. | What is included |
| 2.2. | Future opportunities Caterpillar USA, JC Bamford UK |
| 2.3. | Nissan lithium forklift Japan |
| 2.4. | New Toyota forklifts Japan |
| 2.5. | Zheijang Goodsense Forklift China |
| 2.6. | Linde Germany, Komatsu Japan |
| 2.7. | Listing of manufacturers |
| 2.8. | Market size |
| 2.9. | Market forecasts 2010 to 2020 |
| 3. | LIGHT INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL EVS |
| 3.1. | What is included |
| 3.1.1. | Sub categories |
| 3.1.2. | Buses |
| 3.2. | Market drivers |
| 3.2.1. | Governments get involved |
| 3.3. | Importance of batteries and power trains |
| 3.3.1. | Navistar and Modec USA, UK |
| 3.3.2. | Freightliner and Enova USA |
| 3.3.3. | EVI and Valence USA |
| 3.3.4. | China Vehicles Company |
| 3.4. | EVs for local services |
| 3.5. | Airport EVs |
| 3.6. | Small people-movers |
| 3.7. | Light industrial aids |
| 3.8. | Heavy duty on-road trucks will now become hybrids |
| 3.9. | Listing of manufacturers |
| 3.10. | Market forecasts 2010-2020 |
| 4. | MOBILITY FOR THE DISABLED |
| 4.1. | The sector with the most compelling and enduring need |
| 4.2. | The demographic time-bomb |
| 4.2.1. | Ageing population and the dependent elderly |
| 4.2.2. | Laws make mobility easier |
| 4.3. | Types of mobility vehicle |
| 4.3.1. | Growth by new market segments |
| 4.3.2. | Interchina Industry Group China |
| 4.4. | Market drivers |
| 4.4.1. | Geographical distribution |
| 4.4.2. | Needs creating new segments |
| 4.4.3. | What is driving regional differences? |
| 4.4.4. | Zhejiang R&P Industry China |
| 4.4.5. | Pride Mobility, USA |
| 4.5. | Listing of manufacturers |
| 4.6. | Market forecasts 2010 to 2020 |
| 4.6.1. | Growth by creating new markets |
| 5. | TWO WHEELED EVS AND ALLIED VEHICLES |
| 5.1. | What is included |
| 5.1.1. | Copenhagen bicycle USA, Italy |
| 5.2. | Prices and performances compared |
| 5.3. | Yamaha Japan |
| 5.4. | Eko Vehicles hybrid scooters India |
| 5.5. | Interchina Industry Group foldable electric bike China |
| 5.6. | Honda Japan |
| 5.7. | Suzuki fuel cell bike Japan |
| 5.8. | Peugeot E-Vivacity scooter France |
| 5.9. | Cytronex lightweight bicycle USA |
| 5.10. | Market drivers |
| 5.10.1. | Bicycles and electric bicycles |
| 5.10.2. | Hybrid motorcycles |
| 5.10.3. | YikeBike and other exotica - New Zealand, USA |
| 5.11. | Listing of manufacturers |
| 5.11.2. | China |
| 5.12. | Market forecasts 2010 to 2020 |
| 6. | GOLF EVS |
| 6.1. | What is included |
| 6.2. | Market drivers |
| 6.2.1. | Golf course creation |
| 6.2.2. | Secondary market - golf cars not used for golf |
| 6.2.3. | No more growth |
| 6.2.4. | Change of leader? Ingersoll Rand and Texton USA |
| 6.2.5. | Suzhou Eagle and many others in China |
| 6.3. | Listing of manufacturers |
| 6.4. | Market forecasts 2010 to 2020 |
| 6.4.2. | Statistics for all bicycles |
| 7. | CARS |
| 7.1. | Adoption of electric cars |
| 7.2. | US and Europe try to catch up |
| 7.3. | Rapid increase in number of manufacturers |
| 7.4. | Providing charging infrastructure |
| 7.4.1. | Recharging points |
| 7.4.2. | Battery changing points |
| 7.4.3. | Can the grid cope? |
| 8. | PURE ELECTRIC CARS |
| 8.1. | Déjà Vu |
| 8.1.2. | Pure electric cars are a necessary part of the range? |
| 8.2. | Examples of pure EV cars |
| 8.2.1. | Nissan Japan - most ambitious of all? |
| 8.2.2. | Here come the Chinese - BYD, Brilliance, Geely, Chengfang |
| 8.2.3. | Jianghsu China |
| 8.2.4. | Interchina Industry Group China |
| 8.2.5. | High performance pure EVs - Tesla USA |
| 8.2.6. | Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar France, Italy |
| 8.2.7. | Rinspeed UC Switzerland |
| 8.2.8. | REVA India |
| 8.2.9. | Club Car USA |
| 8.2.10. | Toyota Japan |
| 8.2.11. | Detroit Electric USA |
| 8.2.12. | Tara Tiny India |
| 8.2.13. | Zap Alias USA |
| 8.2.14. | Mitsubishi Japan |
| 9. | HYBRID CARS |
| 9.1. | Construction and advantages of hybrids |
| 9.2. | Evolution |
| 9.3. | Chevrolet Volt USA |
| 9.4. | Ford plug-in hybrid USA |
| 9.5. | Bright Automotive SUV |
| 9.6. | Market drivers |
| 9.6.1. | Leading indicators |
| 9.7. | History of hybrids and planned models to 2013 |
| 9.8. | Market 2010-2020 |
| 10. | MILITARY |
| 10.1. | Examples of military EVs |
| 10.1.1. | Hummer USA / China |
| 10.1.2. | Quantum Technologies USA Aggressor AMV |
| 10.1.3. | US Army trucks etc - ZAP, Columbia ParCar USA |
| 10.1.4. | Oshkosh Truck Corp USA |
| 10.1.5. | Plug-in trucks - BAE Systems UK |
| 10.1.6. | Electric robot vehicles USA |
| 10.1.7. | UQM unmanned combat vehicle USA |
| 10.2. | In the air |
| 10.2.1. | DARPA insects USA |
| 10.2.2. | COM-BAT robot bat USA |
| 10.2.3. | Aerovironment electric aircraft USA |
| 10.3. | Examples of military EVs - in the water |
| 10.3.1. | Robot jellyfish USA and Germany |
| 10.4. | Manufacturers of military EVs |
| 10.5. | Military EV sales projections 2010-2020 |
| 11. | MARINE |
| 11.1.1. | Subeo Gemini submarine UK |
| 11.2. | Market segments |
| 11.2.1. | Total market |
| 11.2.2. | Underwater |
| 11.2.3. | On the water |
| 11.3. | Commonality with land EVs |
| 11.3.1. | Grants for land and water |
| 11.3.2. | Effect of land EV manufacturers entering marine |
| 11.4. | Market drivers |
| 11.4.2. | Pollution laws back electric boats - India, Europe, USA |
| 11.4.3. | Energy harvesting superyacht UK |
| 11.4.4. | Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs) - Europe, USA |
| 11.5. | Wave and sun powered sea gliders - Liquid Robotics USA |
| 11.5.2. | Other AUV gliders USA |
| 11.6. | Remote control rescue - Scorpio UK |
| 11.7. | AUVs serving underwater research stations and ocean monitoring USA |
| 11.8. | AUV swimmers USA |
| 11.9. | Swimmer AUVs, Florida Atlantic University USA |
| 11.10. | Mine Destruction AUV UK |
| 11.11. | Leisure and tourist submarines USA |
| 11.12. | Manufacturers by country and product |
| 11.13. | Selling prices |
| 11.13.1. | US Submarines Inc USA |
| 11.13.2. | Private submarines UK, Canada |
| 11.14. | Solar powered road and water journey across Europe |
| 11.15. | Marine EV sales projections, 2010 to 2020 |
| 11.15.1. | Surface and subsurface boat markets |
| 12. | OTHER EVS |
| 12.1. | Definition |
| 12.2. | Market drivers |
| 12.3. | Listing of manufacturers by country and product |
| 12.4. | Market size and trends |
| 12.4.1. | Non-military mobile robots - USA, UK, Japan |
| 12.4.2. | The Electrolux Automower Sweden |
| 12.4.3. | Rescue robots in Germany |
| 12.4.4. | Robots on Mars |
| 12.4.5. | Leisure |
| 12.4.6. | Research and hobbyist |
| 12.5. | Market forecasts 2010 to 2020 |
| APPENDIX 1: MOTORS AND BATTERIES | |
| APPENDIX 2: GLOSSARY | |
| APPENDIX 3: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY | |
| TABLES | |
| 1.1. | Some reasons why ICE vehicles are replaced with EVs |
| 2.1. | Twenty examples of manufacturers of heavy industrial EVs by country |
| 2.2. | Percentage split of global manufacture of heavy industrial trucks |
| 2.3. | Distribution of trade volume for heavy industrial EVs |
| 2.4. | Global league table of powered industrial truck manufacturers 2010 by value of sales |
| 2.5. | Global sales of heavy industrial EVs by numbers, ex factory unit price and total value 2010 to 2020, rounded. |
| 3.1. | 150 manufacturers of light industrial and commercial EVs and drive trains by country and examples of their products |
| 3.2. | Global sales of light industrial and commercial EVs by numbers thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded |
| 3.3. | Breakdown of global market in 2010 for light industrial and commercial vehicles - global park, new vehicles, % electric, number electric, ex factory unit price and value for the subsections Full Size Buses, Other On Road, Airport |
| 4.1. | Statistics relevant to the challenge to society caused by ageing population |
| 4.2. | Evolution of three families of powered vehicles for the disabled |
| 4.3. | Evolution of power chairs 1980 to 2010 |
| 4.4. | Evolution of scooters for the disabled 1980 to 2010 |
| 4.5. | The continental percentage split of markets for vehicles for the disabled by value in 2010 |
| 4.6. | The percentage split of market for vehicles for the disabled by country within Europe |
| 4.7. | The numbers in thousands of scooters plus power chairs that were and will be sold in Europe 2005 to 2015 |
| 4.8. | Features of mobility vehicles that may hold up the price by offering more in future |
| 4.9. | The percentage distribution of manufacture between Taiwan and Mainland China by value of vehicles for the disabled 2005, 2010 and 2015 |
| 4.10. | Market for EVs for the disabled by geographical region, ex works pricing and percentage split in 2005, 2010 and 2020 |
| 4.11. | 82 examples of manufacturers of EVs for the disabled by country |
| 4.12. | Global sales of EVs used as mobility aids for the disabled by number, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars, 2010 to 2020, rounded |
| 5.1. | Prices and performance of electric two wheelers |
| 5.2. | 70 examples of manufacturers of two wheel EVs and electric quad bikes |
| 5.3. | Largest suppliers of electric bicycles by number (not in order) |
| 5.4. | 34 sources of two wheelers in China by brand, region and battery chemistry |
| 5.5. | Listing of light electric scooter makers in China. Most use lead-acid battery chemistry but there is a move to lithium batteries |
| 5.6. | Global sales of two wheel and allied EVs number, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded |
| 6.1. | 18 examples of golf EV manufacturers |
| 6.2. | Global sales of electric golf cars in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded. |
| 6.3. | Geographical split of golf EV sales by value 2000, 2005 and 2015 |
| 7.1. | Global stimulus for fuel efficient cars in 2009 |
| 7.2. | 121 examples of manufacturers of EV cars |
| 9.1. | Major market drivers for growth in hybrid sales |
| 9.2. | Hybrid electric vehicles and associated events 1876-2013 |
| 9.3. | Global sales of electric cars number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded. |
| 9.4. | Value of the hybrid, pure electric and total electric car market in billions of dollars 2010-2020 |
| 9.5. | Number of hybrid and pure electric cars plugged in and the total number in thousands 2010-2020. |
| 10.1. | 26 suppliers of military EVs |
| 10.2. | Global sales of electric military vehicles in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded. |
| 11.1. | 44 examples of manufacturers of EV electric water craft |
| 11.2. | Indicative prices for marine EVs in 2005 |
| 11.3. | Global sales of electric marine craft in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded. |
| 12.1. | 30 examples of manufacturers of mobile robots, toy, leisure, research or hobbyist EVs by country and product |
| 12.2. | Global sales of other electric vehicles in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded. |
| FIGURES | |
| 1.1. | EV sectors with the largest gross sales value and profits over the years |
| 1.2. | Electric vehicle value chain |
| 1.3. | Competing electric drive train technologies and their targets by market sector |
| 2.1. | Caterpillar CAT series hybrid diesel electric bulldozer |
| 2.2. | Toyota Material Handling has launched the new Traigo 48 in 2010, a powerful electric forklift fitted into a compact and agile package. |
| 2.3. | Forklift from one of the many Chinese manufacturers |
| 3.1. | Orion VII hybrid electric bus USA |
| 3.2. | Nova RTS hybrid electric bus USA |
| 3.3. | Designline gas turbine hybrid electric bus in the UK |
| 3.4. | Castrosua Tempus hybrid city bus at the 2008 FIAA (International Bus and Coach Fair) in Spain |
| 3.5. | Volvo hybrid bus Sweden |
| 3.6. | Gillig low floor hybrid bus in USA |
| 3.7. | Two buses in Brazil using the locally made Eletra hybrid power trains |
| 3.8. | Kent electric city bus from China |
| 3.9. | Hino Blue Ribbon hybrid diesel electric bus in China |
| 3.10. | Modec electric pick up vehicle in London UK |
| 3.11. | Freightliner MT-45 step van uses 120kW Enova electric drive system |
| 3.12. | EVI truck powered by Valence lithium batteries |
| 3.13. | Electric pick up truck from China Vehicles Company |
| 3.14. | Electric bus in Nepal |
| 3.15. | Mobile electric scissor lift by Wuhan Chancay Machinery and Electronics |
| 3.16. | Garbage collecting electric car |
| 3.17. | Market for light industrial and commercial electric vehicles in 2010 in $ billion |
| 3.18. | Market for industrial and commercial electric vehicles in 2020 |
| 4.1. | Percentage of dependent elderly 1970 to 2040 |
| 4.2. | The Electric Car (INEC-KARO) for the disabled from Interchina Industry Group |
| 4.3. | Zhejiang R&P Industry ES 413 |
| 4.4. | Pride Jazzy - making new things possible |
| 5.1. | The Copenhagen bicycle |
| 5.2. | The Copenhagen Wheel |
| 5.3. | Yamaha EC-f and EC-fs concept electric scooters |
| 5.4. | Yamaha EC03 |
| 5.5. | Eko Vehicles ET-120 hybrid scooter |
| 5.6. | Foldable Electric Bike (LNEB-9601 |
| 5.7. | Honda EV Cub sports twin, front and rear electric drive motors. |
| 5.8. | Suzuki Burgman Fuel Cell Scooter powered by Intelligent Energy |
| 5.9. | Peugeot E-Vivacity electric scooter planned for 2010 |
| 5.10. | Cytronex light-weight electric bike |
| 5.11. | e-bikes parked in Yangzhou China |
| 5.12. | Electric mopeds parked in Cheghdu China |
| 5.13. | The YikeBike from New Zealand |
| 5.14. | YikeBike in action |
| 6.1. | Tonaro golf and general purpose vehicle from China |
| 6.2. | Suzhou Eagle two and four seat golf cars from China |
| 6.3. | Yongkang Fourstar golf vehicles from China |
| 6.4. | Shadong Wuzheng golf cars from China |
| 6.5. | Jinhua Ryder golf car from China |
| 6.6. | World bicycle and automoblie production, 1950-2007 |
| 7.1. | Geographical distribution of 120 companies making or intending to make electric cars. |
| 8.1. | Trouvé pure EV car in 1881 |
| 8.2. | Red Bug pure EV in 1930 |
| 8.3. | Sinclair C5 |
| 8.4. | Aptera |
| 8.5. | Gemcars |
| 8.6. | The BYD E6 pure EV car |
| 8.7. | Jianghsu DHCLBC EF-1 car |
| 8.8. | Electric Car (INEC-BOBI) |
| 8.9. | Tesla Motors Roadster pure EV performance car |
| 8.10. | Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar showing solar panels on roof and hood |
| 8.11. | Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar cross section |
| 8.12. | Rinspeed urban commuter electric microcar |
| 8.13. | REVA pure EV car |
| 8.14. | The Club Car street legal car launched in 2009 |
| 8.15. | Planned Toyota pure EV city car. |
| 8.16. | Detroit Electric |
| 8.17. | Tara Tiny |
| 8.18. | ZAP Alias pure EV three wheeler |
| 8.19. | Mitsubishi pure EV car |
| 9.1. | Evolution of EV design for on-road and many non-road vehicles |
| 9.2. | Chevrolet Volt battery, generator and drive unit positioning |
| 10.1. | Oshkosh truck |
| 10.2. | COM-BAT |
| 10.3. | Robotic Bat |
| 10.4. | Aerovironment energy system for large aircraft |
| 10.5. | Aerovironment large electric aircraft |
| 10.6. | Aerovironment electric plane |
| 10.7. | Military disposable surveillance craft |
| 10.8. | AquaJelly |
| 10.9. | AirJelly |
| 11.1. | A Subeo Gemini submarine |
| 11.2. | The Subeo Gemini front view |
| 11.3. | Subeo specialist underwater vehicle |
| 11.4. | Electric deck boat by Leisure Life |
| 11.5. | Electric launch |
| 11.6. | Solar powered boats for tourism cruising at 12 kph on Lake Geneva |
| 11.7. | The rigid-wing superyacht concept called 'Soliloquy' |
| 11.8. | Head on view of the rigid-wing superyacht 'Soliloquy' |
| 11.9. | Wave and sun powered sea glider |
| 11.10. | Autonomous wave glider |
| 11.11. | The British Scorpio remote controlled rescue vehicle that released the trapped Russian submarine in August 2005. |
| 11.12. | The Ocean Explorer AUV |
| 11.13. | Ocean Voyager II AUV |
| 11.14. | A British Remote Controlled Mine Destruction Vehicle being lowered into the water |
| 11.15. | Personal submarine |
| 11.16. | Wet submarine |
| 11.17. | Two-person SportSub submarine |
| 11.18. | Triton personal submarine |
| 11.19. | Deep Flight Aviator two-person leisure submarine |
| 11.20. | Seattle personal luxury submarine by US Submarines |
| 11.21. | US Submarine's main tourist submarine |
| 11.22. | Sea Scooter by Pro Audio Elite of Italy |
| 11.23. | Small electric boats for hire |
| 12.1. | The new Electrolux Automower |
| 12.2. | Robots for Mars |
| 12.3. | Mission Scenario To Aid Technology Development |
| 12.4. | Robot Work Crew |
Ordering Information
Report Statistics
![]() | Pages | 261 |
![]() | Tables | 58 |
![]() | Figures | 185 |
![]() | Forecasts to | 2020 |
![]() | Last update | Q1 |
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