Printed and Thin Film Transistors and Memory 2009-2029

Updated in Q1 2010

Printed and thin film transistor circuits will become an $8 Billion market in 10 years
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Description

Printed and thin film transistor circuits will become an $8 Billion market in 10 years, from just $10 Million in 2009. They will drive lighting, displays, signage, electronic products, medical disposables, smart packaging, smart labels and much more besides. The chemical, plastics, printing, electronics and other industries are cooperating to make it happen. Already, over 500 organisations are developing printed transistors and memory, with first products being sold commercially in 2009.
 
The growth over the longer timescale, from 2009-2029, will be very similar to the early growth of the silicon chip market in the same interval. In other words, the twenty years from 1978 to 1998 saw a similar starting and finishing value of sales of silicon chips. History is repeating itself with the printed equivalent over the next twenty years, though not by taking much market share from silicon chips in the first fifteen years. Do not follow the herd into the well aired aspects of this subject. Gain advantage by understanding all the important aspects and opportunities.
Who should read this report
This report addresses two types of reader. Industrialists, investors and researchers with scientific training can read the report in the order presented. For the first time, they will see the big picture of what is happening and about to happen across the whole world in this subject. This includes the profiles, activities and intentions of 150 leading organisations in this field. We analyse and compare what is happening in 16 countries. Such information is not gathered in any other document. The report also gives the rapidly evolving choices of materials, device designs, chemistry and manufacturing processes for these devices - again a unique analysis. However, this report will also be useful for those with only a rudimentary understanding of science and engineering who seek to understand how the printed electronics revolution will greatly benefit society while creating billion dollar businesses and when and where this will happen.
 
We start with some descriptions appropriate for the beginner, opening up the subject with as little complexity and jargon as possible.
Forecasts and Applications
The report assesses the market and opportunity in different ways, such as forecasts by material type (organic vs inorganic), application (Display driver, RFID etc), flexible, printed and much more. However, the immediately accessible markets for printed transistors are commonly described as being back plane drivers for displays and use in RFID but that is misleading. We give the big picture - something not previously available - and also look at the impediments to successful commercialization of these components, in an honest and balanced appraisal. Forecasts are given for the next ten years and beyond.
 
 
Source: IDTechEx
All the Chemistries, Geometries and Processes
We cover the big picture - the full range of organic and inorganic chemistries that can be printed or thin film. Technical progress, companies and impediments are given, and their applications appraised. Detailed profiles of over 150 companies are given. Whether you intend to be a user, seller or researcher, consider the new InGaZnO semiconductors, the single layer geometry, the multi-function transistors, the printed silicon transistors and many other advances.
Progress by Territory
Understand the enormous amount of work going on in Korea, Japan, Taiwan, the USA, Germany and the UK. See why no printing technology is ideal and what comes next. Although the press talks of transistors only working at the lower frequencies and modest memory capability in printed form, some of these devices work at terahertz frequency and some promise a gigabyte on a postage stamp for only a few cents and progress with ISO-capable printed RFID tags.
 
There is much more to printed electronics than commonly appears in press reports and research papers. This is a huge revolution impacting most aspects of human endeavour. Billion dollar suppliers will be created and even the smallest organisations involved are already signing deals with some of the largest - there is room for everyone.
 
Those thinking that this is all about organic electronics are boxing themselves into a corner. Those that think that printed transistors and memory are being developed by the few companies often mentioned in the press are missing the work at over 150 organisations, most of it very exciting indeed. The companies are distributed as follows.
 
Distribution of 150 organizations developing printed transistors
 
 
Source: IDTechEx
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The report price also includes free access to the electronic version of the IDTechEx Encyclopedia of Printed Electronics with over 380 definitions and 30 illustrations. This 110 page report is normally sold for $1500.00.
 
In addition, all report purchases include one hour free consulting with a report author from IDTechEx, by email or telephone. This needs to be used within 3 months of purchasing the report.
Further information
If you have any questions about this report, please do not hesitate to contact Raoul Escobar-Franco at or call + 1 617 577 7890 (US).
Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.INTRODUCTION
1.1.Importance of printed and potentially printed electronics
1.1.2.Awesome new capability creates new markets
1.1.3.This is the new printing before it is the new electronics
1.1.4.Importance of flexibility, light weight and low cost
1.1.5.Creating radically new products
1.1.6.Improving existing products
1.2.How printed electronics is being applied
1.3.Importance of printed and thin film transistors and memory
1.3.1.Vision for the future
1.3.2.Benefits of thin film transistors and memory
1.4.Transistor basics and value chain
1.4.1.How a transistor works
1.4.2.TFTC value chain
1.5.Transistor geometry and parameters
1.5.1.Conventional geometry - horizontal transistors
1.5.2.New vertical geometry - vertical VFETs
1.5.3.New geometry - single layer transistors Plastic E Print
1.5.4.On off ratio and leakage current
1.5.5.Frequency, carrier mobility and channel length
1.6.Choice of materials for these transistors
1.6.1.The thin film transistors on the back of today's LCD TV - a dead end?
1.6.2.Organic vs inorganic materials
1.7.Choice of semiconductor
1.7.2.Organic semiconductors
1.7.3.Crystalline Silicon is a dead end?
1.7.4.Compound inorganic semiconductors
1.7.5.Breakthrough in printed inorganic performance in from Kovio
1.7.6.CMOS and the n type difficulty
1.7.7.Ambipolar semiconductors
1.7.8.Carbon nanotubes as thin film semiconductors
1.7.9.Importance of the dielectric layer
1.7.10.Importance of codeposition
1.7.11.Memory basics and value chain
1.8.Substrates
1.8.1.High temperature and protective substrates vs low cost flexible
1.8.2.Polymers
1.8.3.Paper
1.9.Printing processes
1.9.1.Requirements
1.9.2.Ink jet vs fast reel to reel printing
1.9.3.Transfer printing of single crystals
1.9.4.3D printed silicon transistors, Japan
2.ORGANIC TRANSISTORS AND MEMORY - DEVELOPMENTS
2.1.History and prospective benefits
2.2.PolyApply program of the European Commission
2.3.RFID labels from Poly IC
2.4.Lowest performance, lowest cost - ACREO
2.5.Organic dielectrics and ferroelectrics
2.6.High permittivity organic transistor gates by ionic drift
3.INORGANIC COMPOUND TRANSISTORS - DEVELOPMENTS
3.1.History and summary of potential benefits
3.2.Semiconductors
3.2.1.Zinc oxide based transistor semiconductors
3.2.2.Amorphous InGaZnO
3.2.3.Progress towards p-type metal oxide semiconductors
3.2.4.Transfer printing silicon, GaN and GaAs on film
3.2.5.Tin disulphide
3.3.Inorganic dielectrics in devices
3.3.1.Solution processed barium titanate nanocomposite
3.3.2.Hafnium oxide and HafSOx
3.3.3.Hybrid inorganic dielectrics - zirconia
3.3.4.Aluminium, lanthanum, tantalum and other oxides
3.3.5.Arizona State University's Flexible Display Center (FDC) and the University of Texas at Dallas
3.4.Chromium based technology
3.4.1.Printed oxide transistors at Oregon State University
3.5.Silicon nanoparticle ink
3.5.1.Kovio
3.6.Printing aSi reel to reel
3.7.Do organic transistors have a future?
4.TECHNOLOGY AND SUPPLIERS - LARGE MEMORY
4.1.Types of memory
4.2.Big difference in making small vs large memory
4.3.Strategy of various developers of thin film and printed memory
4.3.2.Thin Film Electronics TFE memory
5.TECHNOLOGY AND SUPPLIERS -CONDUCTORS
5.1.Organic vs inorganic conductors
5.2.Organic conductors
5.3.Inorganic conductors
5.3.2.Comparison of metal options
5.3.3.Polymer - metal suspensions
5.3.4.Silver solution
5.4.Progress with new conductive ink chemistries and cure processes
5.4.1.Graphene hybrid technology
5.5.Carbon nanotubes
5.6.Carbon Nanotubes and printed electronics
5.7.Developers of Carbon Nanotubes for Printed Electronics
6.MARKETS 2009-2029
6.1.Forecasts 2009-2029
6.2.Assumptions for our forecasts
6.3.Split between backplane, RFID and other applications to 2019
6.4.Size of relevant markets that are impacted
6.5.Potential for non-RFID electronic labels
6.6.Potential for RFID labels 2009-2019
6.7.Market for RFID
6.7.2.Ultimate potential for highest volume RFID
6.7.3.Penetration of chipless RFID
6.8.Impact on silicon
6.9.Forecasts for materials
6.10.Backplane transistor arrays hold up AMOLED market penetration
6.11.Impediments to the commercialisation of printed transistors and memory
6.12.Despite recession, finance for printed electronics is not drying up
7.COMPARISON OF ORGANISATIONS INVOLVED IN TFTCS AND THEIR MATERIALS
7.1.Semiconductor, process, geometry, targets, challenges and objectives for 80 organisations in printed and thin film transistors and/ or memory
7.2.Profiles of 100 organisations in printed and thin film transistors and/ or memory
7.2.1.3M
7.2.2.ACREO
7.2.3.Asahi Kasei
7.2.4.Asahi Glass
7.2.5.AU Optoelectronics
7.2.6.BASF
7.2.7.Canon
7.2.8.CEA Liten
7.2.9.Chinese Academy of Sciences
7.2.10.DialMat
7.2.11.DaiNippon Ink and Chemical
7.2.12.DaiNippon Printing
7.2.13.Dow Chemical
7.2.14.Ecole Superiure des Mines Saint Etienne
7.2.15.ETRI
7.2.16.Evident Technologies
7.2.17.Evonik
7.2.18.Fraunhofer Institute for Photonic Microsystems
7.2.19.Fraunhofer Institute for Reliability and Microintegration
7.2.20.Fuji Electric Holdings
7.2.21.Fujitsu
7.2.22.H.C.Starck
7.2.23.Hewlett Packard
7.2.24.Hitachi
7.2.25.Idemitsu Kosan
7.2.26.Impika
7.2.27.Industrial Technology Research Institute
7.2.28.Institute of Microelectronics
7.2.29.International University of Bremen
7.2.30.Japan Science and Technology Agency
7.2.31.John Hopkins University
7.2.32.Konica Minolta
7.2.33.Korea Electronics Technology Institute
7.2.34.Korea Research Institute of Chemical Technology
7.2.35.Korea Institute of Science and Technology
7.2.36.Kovio
7.2.37.Kyoto University
7.2.38.Kyushu University
7.2.39.Kyung Hee University
7.2.40.LG Chem
7.2.41.LG Displays
7.2.42.Liebnitz Institute for Solid State and Materials Research (IFW)
7.2.43.Luminescence Technology Corporation
7.2.44.Matsushita
7.2.45.Merck Chemicals
7.2.46.Motorola
7.2.47.Nanogram
7.2.48.NanoMas Technologies
7.2.49.Nanyang Technological University
7.2.50.National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
7.2.51.National Institute for Materials Science
7.2.52.National Chiao Tung University
7.2.53.National Taiwan University
7.2.54.NHK
7.2.55.Northwestern University
7.2.56.Optoelectronic Industry and Technology Development Association
7.2.57.ORFID
7.2.58.Organic ID
7.2.59.Oregon State University
7.2.60.Osaka University
7.2.61.Palo Alto Research Center
7.2.62.Panipol
7.2.63.Paru
7.2.64.Philips
7.2.65.Pioneer
7.2.66.Plastic E Print
7.2.67.Plastic Logic
7.2.68.Plextronics
7.2.69.Polyera
7.2.70.Poly IC
7.2.71.Princeton University
7.2.72.Purdue University
7.2.73.Rieke Metals
7.2.74.Ricoh
7.2.75.Riken Low Temperature Physics Laboratory
7.2.76.Samsung
7.2.77.Samsung Advanced Institute of Technology SAIT
7.2.78.Seiko Epson
7.2.79.Epson Cambridge Laboratory,
7.2.80.Semiconductor Energy Laboratory
7.2.81.Semprius
7.2.82.Seoul National University
7.2.83.Sharp
7.2.84.Solvay
7.2.85.Sony
7.2.86.Spansion
7.2.87.ST Microelectronics
7.2.88.Sunchon National University
7.2.89.Sumitomo Chemical
7.2.90.Technical University of Braunschweig
7.2.91.Technical University of Darmstadt
7.2.92.Thin Film Electronics
7.2.93.Tohoku University
7.2.94.Tokyo Institute of Technology
7.2.95.Toppan Forms
7.2.96.Toppan Printing
7.2.97.Unidym
7.2.98.University of California Los Angeles
7.2.99.University of Cambridge
7.2.100.University of Chemnitz
7.2.101.University of Groningen
7.2.102.University of Tokyo
7.2.103.Xerox
7.2.104.Other players in this value chain
APPENDIX 1: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY
APPENDIX 2: HOW AN ELDC SUPERCAPACITOR WORKS
TABLES
1.1.Envisaged benefits of TFTCs in RFID and other low-cost applications when compared with envisaged silicon chips
1.2.Typical carrier mobility in different potential TFTC semiconductors (actual and envisaged)
1.3.Properties of the Polyera/ BASF n type printing ink for organic field effect transistors consisting of N,N Dioctyl-dicyanoperylene-3,4:9,10-bis(dicarboxyamide), PD18-CN2
2.1.Printable polymer transistor dielectric PE-DI-1900 from BASF and Polyera
3.1.A summary of the promised benefits of polymer ink used in pilot production of organic transistors vs two thin film inorganic semiconductors for transistors vs nanosilicon ink
3.2.Some properties of new thin film dielectrics
3.3.Benefits and challenges of R2R
3.4.Imprint lithography
4.1.Some of the small group of contestants for large capacity printed memory
5.1.Benefits and challenges of organic vs inorganic conductors for printed and thin film transistors, memory and their interconnects.
5.2.Conductance in ohms per square for the different printable conductive materials compared with bulk metal
5.3.Examples of ink suppliers progressing printed RFID antennas etc
5.4.Some companies progressing ink jettable conductors
5.5.Comparison of metal etch (e.g. copper and aluminium) conductor choices
5.6.Electroless metal plate - Additive print process with weakly conductive ink (e.g. plastics or carbon) followed by wet metal plating
5.7.Electro metal plate - Additive print process with weakly conductive ink (e.g. plastics or carbon) followed by dry metal plating
5.8.Printable metallic conductors cure at LT e.g. silver based ink
5.9.A typical process cost comparison for RFID antennas
5.10.Possibilities for various new printed conductors.
5.11.Charge carrier mobility of carbon nanotubes compared with alternatives
5.12.Developers of Carbon Nanotubes for Printed Electronics
6.1.Global market for printed electronics logic and memory 2009-2029 in billions of dollars, with % printed and % flexible
6.2.Primary assumptions of organic electronics in full production 2007 to 2025
6.3.Global electronics industry by application
6.4.End user markets relevant to printed electronics
6.5.Global semiconductor shipments monthly and three month average 1983 to 2005
6.6.Statistics for electronic labels and their potential locations
6.7.Number (in millions) of passive tags by application 2009-2019
6.8.Total value of tags by application 2009-2019 (US Dollar Millions)
6.9.Choices of digital chipless RFID technologies
6.10.Chipless versus Chip RFID, in numbers of units (billions) 2009-2019 (includes passive and active RFID)
6.11.Market size of a variety of chipless solutions, $ millions
6.12.Scope for printed TFTCs to create new markets or replace silicon chips
6.13.Market for printed and potentially printed electronic devices 2009-2029 in billions of dollars
6.14.Printed electronics materials and other elements of device income 2009-2029 in billions of dollars
7.1.Objectives and challenges of 80 organisations developing printed and potentially printed transistor and/ or memory circuits and/or their materials
7.2.Objectives and challenges of 23 organizations developing inks and their materials for printed and potentially printed transistors and memory
7.3.42 organisations that developing TFTCs and their materials and their priorities for products to be sold
7.4.Typical quantum dot materials from Evident and their likely application.
7.5.Other players in the value chain
FIGURES
1.1.Growth in sales of silicon chips by value compared with growth in sales of printed and thin film electronic components.
1.2.Examples of the radically new capabilities of printed electronics.
1.3.Types of early win and longer term project involving printed electronics 1995-2025
1.4.Logic circuits printed by PolyIC in Germany using a reel to reel process
1.5.How printed electronics is being applied to products
1.6.Printed Electronics Applications
1.7.Plastic film scanner
1.8.The value chain for manufacturing of printed electronics
1.9.Value chain for TFTCs and examples of migration of activity for players
1.10.Traditional geometry for a field effect transistor
1.11.Vertical organic field effect transistor VOFET showing a short channel length and a large cross section for current flow. The substrate is shown at the bottom.
1.12.ORFID view of the problems of the traditional horizontal transistor
1.13.Examples of vertical transistors
1.14.ORFID VOFET approach
1.15.The Plastic E print process
1.16.Structure of SSD diode and device operation
1.17.Principle of self aligned printing by Plastic Logic
1.18.Prevalence of organic vs inorganic materials in printed and thin film electronics today
1.19.PEDOT:PSS
1.20.Motorola summary of thin film FET issues concerning the dielectric layer .
1.21.Motorola view of available gate materials
1.22.The simple capacitor like structure for many printed devices including memory
1.23.Choices of substrate for printed electronics
1.24.Change in stiffness of PET vs PEN substrate material with temperature.
1.25.Biaxially oriented crystalline film
1.26.Factors influencing film choice- property set
1.27.Some candidate materials for flexible substrates
1.28.Requirements in printing thin film transistors
1.29.The big picture for printing transistors and memory in ever increasing numbers
1.30.Reel to reel printing of transistors and complete RFID labels by Poly IC
1.31.Options for high speed, low-cost printing of TFTCs
1.32.Choice of printing technology for silver RFID antennas today, where Omron and Avery Dennison use gravure despite volumes being no more than hundreds of millions.
1.33.Performance improvement in thermal ink jet over the years.
1.34.Benefits of ink jet printing of electronics
1.35.Thermal ink jet printed transistor evolution
1.36.Hybrid process improves performance
1.37.Transfer printed GaAs FETs on PET
1.38.Semprius opportunity space
1.39.Seiko Epson 3D printed silicon transistor
2.1.Reel to reel printing of TFTCs
2.2.ACREO technology platform
2.3.Components of the ACREO low functionality approach to transistors
2.4.ACREO electrochemical transistors
2.5.Electrochemical components electrical effects
2.6.ACREO electrochemical transistors
2.7.ACREO objectives for electrochemical transistor circuits
2.8.ACREO electrochemical timer transistor
2.9.ACREO matrix addressed display.
2.10.Interactive games printed on paper
2.11.Concept demonstrator integrating printed electrochemical components and its patented "Dry Phase Patterning" of metal conductors.
2.12.ACREO applicational ideas
2.13.Transistor structure used
2.14.Ion modulation
3.1.Early Hewlett Packard work on ink jet printing of inorganic compound semiconductors
3.2.Printed flexible inorganic semiconductor
3.3.Transparent transistor
3.4.Material choices for transparent transistors
3.5.Amorphous thin film inorganic dielectric
3.6.Example of ZnO based transistor circuit that is transparent.
3.7.Using a nanolaminate as an e-platform
3.8.TEM images of solution processed nanolaminates
3.9.Cross-sectional schematic view of an amorphous oxide TFT
3.10.Transparent and flexible active matrix backplanes fabricated on PEN films
3.11.Semprius transfer printing
3.12.Motorola high permittivity printable OFET dielectric using a barium titanate organic nanocomposite.
3.13.Hybrid organic-inorganic transistor and right dual dielectric transistor
3.14.Motorola high permittivity printable OFET dielectric using a barium titanate organic nanocomposite.
3.15.Motorola results - the nanotechnology used
3.16.Lower operating voltage
3.17.NHK transistor on polycarbonate film with tantalum oxide gate.
3.18.Solution-based activities and capabilities
3.19.Printing inorganic films
3.20.Aqueous processing of oxides
3.21.Examples of the challenges
3.22.A typical test transistor with HafSOx dielectric
3.23.Performance of Kovio's ink versus others by mobility
3.24.Road map
3.25.The web rolled on the core is its own clean room
3.26.Basic Imprint Lithography Process
4.1.An all-organic permanent memory transistor
4.2.TFE memory compared with the much more complex DRAM in silicon
4.3.Structure of TFE memory
4.4.TFE priorities for commercialisation of mega memory
5.1.InkTec soluble silver inks. Left: Transparent Electronic Ink. Right: Transparent Inkjet Inks
5.2.Patterning using InkTec ink
5.3.Typical SEM images of CU flake C1 6000F. Copper flake
5.4.Properties and morphology of single walled carbon nanotubes
5.5.Nanotube shrink-wrap from Unidym
6.1.Global market for printed electronics logic and memory 2009-2019 in billions of dollars, with the percentage that will be printed and the percentage that will be flexible
6.2.Transistors - first significant commercial product in 2009
6.3.Sales of printed and potentially printed transistors and memory by application in 2010
6.4.Sales of printed and potentially printed transistors and memory by application in 2015
6.5.Sales of printed and potentially printed transistors and memory by application in 2019
6.6.Potential, in billions yearly, for global sales of RFID labels and circuits printed directly onto products or packaging. Item level is shown in red. These are examples.
6.7.Market for printed and potentially printed electronic devices by chemistry of key element 2009-2019 in billions of dollars
6.8.Printed electronics materials and other elements of device income 2009-2019
6.9.Current options and challenges for backplane TFTs
7.1.Semiconductor development at Evonik
7.2.Target range for mobility and processing temperature of semiconductors.
7.3.Transfer characteristics of gen3 semiconductor system
7.4.Current efficiency of a Novaled PIN OLEDTM stack on an inkjet printed, transparent conductive ITO anode.
7.5.Fujitsu "electronic paper" display
7.6.Researchers and users play major roles with active logistic support from JST
7.7.High Mobility OTFT
7.8.Summary and Conclusion
7.9.LG Chemical spun-off into LG Chem Investment (LGCI), LG Chem and LG Household & Healthcare.
7.10.NanoGram's Laser Reactive Deposition (LRD) technology
7.11.NanoMas technology
7.12.PARC have developed innovative displays
7.13.Materials and devices. Fully printed RFID tag in development.
7.14.Fully printed EAS (anti theft) tag shown on website.
7.15.Left is diode logic OR gate and the right is a bridge rectifier
7.16.Micrograph of an SSD array and the 110 GHz microwave measurement setup
7.17.Prototype HF tag and reader
7.18.10 nm holes and 40 nm pitch in PMMA fabricated by nanoimprint lithography
7.19.The first room-temperature silicon single electron memory.
7.20.Samsung OLED display
7.21.Samsung OLED display
7.22.A flexible display sample
7.23.Printed electronics samples
7.24.A circuit by Associate Professor Zhenan Bao.

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Report Statistics

-Pages366
-Tables47
-Figures131
-Companies100
-Forecasts to2019
-Last updateQ1 2010
 

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Raoul Escobar-Franco
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Printed & Organic Electronics: Forecasts, Players & Opportunities
Dr Peter Harrop, Chairman IDTechEx, United Kingdom at Printed Electronics USA 2005