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RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2012-2022

Forecasts by application, technology, territory, value chain and more

Updated in March 2013
"In 2012 the value of the entire RFID market will be $7.67 billion, up from $6.51 billion in 2011."
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Description

In 2012 the value of the entire RFID market will be $7.67 billion, up from $6.51 billion in 2011. This includes tags, readers and software/services for RFID cards, labels, fobs and all other form factors. It includes passive and active RFID.
 
In retail, RFID is seeing rapid growth for apparel tagging - that application alone demands 1 billion RFID labels in 2012. RFID in the form of tickets used for transit will demand 500 million tags in 2012. The tagging of animals (such as pigs, sheep and pets) is now substantial as it becomes a legal requirement in many more territories, with 294 million tags being used for this sector in 2012. This is happening in regions such as China and Australasia. In total, 3.98 billion tags will be sold in 2012 versus 2.93 billion in 2011. Most of that growth is from passive UHF RFID labels, however, at that frequency suppliers are still barely profitable so far.
 
Total RFID Market Projections in US$ billions*
 
*For the full forecast data please purchase this report
 
Source: IDTechEx
 
This comprehensive report from IDTechEx gives the complete picture with detailed forecasts and depth unmatched by any other.
Full analysis by each market
Full analysis by each market is given in great detail including in-depth historic data. Over 200 companies are profiled in this report. We give detailed ten year forecasts of the volumes of tags required, their value and the total market value for over 30 market segments.
 
RFID revenues are given separately by application type for 2005 to 2022, for both active and passive tags.
Market analysis by a huge number of parameters
Using new, unique information researched globally by IDTechEx technical experts, we analyze the RFID market in many different ways, with over 190 tables and figures. They include detailed ten year projections for passive RFID in all market segments, including high value niche markets, active vs passive, interrogators, NFC, markets by frequency, markets by geographical region, label vs non label, chip vs chipless, markets by application, tag format and tag location. Cumulative sales of RFID are analyzed as are the major players and unmet opportunities. It covers the emergence of new products, legal and demand pressures and impediments for the years to come.
 
Value of passive tags by application in US$ millions*
 
*For the full forecast data please purchase this report
 
Source: IDTechEx
 
Which sectors are booming and which are under performing? Which suppliers and profitable and why? What are the hot sectors? This report examines each sector in turn.
Highly profitable
Major players now and in the future in the various parts of the value chain are identified and the big orders and milestones now and in the future are analyzed. Those doing well in numbers sold are sometimes much less impressive in dollars taken and vice versa. Of course, not everyone will want to serve the severely price constrained, highest volume markets. For them, we examine many niches of at least one billion dollars potential that are emerging and many smaller opportunities where there is even less competition.
Global coverage
The report covers the topic globally - with coverage of the drivers and challenges in rapidly growing sectors such as China, South America and Russia, in addition to the latest progress in North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific, with forecasts given by territory.
Access to Raw Data
In addition to the report - in PDF format - you will also receive a spreadsheet in Excel format giving you access to the key data contained in tables throughout the report.
Further information
If you have any questions about this report, please do not hesitate to contact our report team at Research@IDTechEx.com or call Clare on +44 (0) 1223 813 703 for queries based in EMEA or Raoul on +1 617 577 7890 for queries based in the Spain, Americas or ROW.
Analyst access from IDTechEx
All report purchases include up to 30 minutes telephone time with an expert analyst who will help you link key findings in the report to the business issues you're addressing. This needs to be used within three months of purchasing the report.
Table of Contents
1.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1.How governments drive most of the market
1.2.Non-government successes
1.3.Continued recession-proof rapid growth
1.4.Strange behaviour
1.5.Technical trends
1.6.Favourite RFID frequency
1.7.Watch the BRICS
1.8.Russia
1.9.China
1.10.Today's leaders continue to excel
1.11.Wider still and wider
1.12.Analysis of cumulative number of RFID projects analysed
1.13.Market projections 2012-2022
1.14.Rapid growth
1.15.RFID during turmoil in the global economy
1.16.Contactless smart cards dominate by value
1.17.RFID Forecasts by tag location - passive tags
1.18.RFID forecasts by tag location - active and battery assisted tags
1.19.RFID will not be big in China, it will be huge
1.20.Lessons from the last ten years
1.21.Pallet/case tagging
1.22.Drugs
1.23.Airline Baggage
1.24.Retail apparel, item level
1.25.RFID cards, tickets and NFC
1.26.Animals
1.27.Logistics, Asset Tracking, Manufacturing
1.28.Follow governments
1.29.Active RFID and RTLS comes to the fore
1.30.Billion dollar niches, sometimes with little competition
1.31.New technology
1.32.Impediments to the growth of RFID markets
2.INTRODUCTION
2.1.Definitions
2.1.1.RFID
2.1.2.Chipless/printed RFID
2.1.3.Passive and active RFID
2.2.Tags have different shapes
2.3.The RFID value chain
2.4.Where tags are placed
2.5.The show so far - 1945 to 2012
2.5.1.Cumulative sales by applicational category
2.5.2.Cumulative sales active vs passive
2.5.3.Cumulative sales chip vs chipless
2.5.4.Dominant RFID chip suppliers
2.6.Historic RFID tag sales 2005 to 2012
2.6.1.Progress in 2005
2.6.2.Progress in 2006
2.6.3.Progress in 2007
2.6.4.Progress in 2008
2.6.5.Progress in 2009
2.6.6.Progress in 2010
2.6.7.Progress in 2011
2.7.Ultimate potential
2.7.1.Potential for different applications
2.7.2.Tag price sensitivity at highest volumes
2.7.3.Price sensitivity curve for RFID (adoption curve)
2.8.Legal push
2.9.Demand pull
2.10.Constraints on market growth
2.11.Impediments to highest volume RFID
3.MARKETS BY STANDARD
3.1.League table of RFID specifications
3.2.EPCglobal
3.3.Progress with EPC adoption so far
3.4.EPC versus Non EPC
3.5.Near Field Communication (NFC)
3.6.Trends by number of projects
4.MARKETS BY COUNTRY
4.1.Leading continents
4.2.Geographical trends in number of projects
4.3.Central and East Asia trends in project numbers
4.4.Americas trends in project numbers
4.5.Europe trends in project numbers
4.6.China
4.7.Japan
4.8.USA
4.9.Europe - UK leads but Germany taking over
4.10.Russia
5.MARKETS FOR PASSIVE RFID
5.1.Passive vs active
5.2.Sub categories of passive tag
5.3.Cost Structure of RFID passive tags - labels
5.4.Passive market by applicational sector
5.5.The main things that are passive tagged
5.6.Passive RFID market by range
5.7.RFID technologies by range and cost
5.7.1.Read range and tag cost
5.7.2.RFID Systems/Middleware
5.8.Chipless passive tags
5.8.1.Chipless options
5.8.2.Latest progress with printed transistor RFID
5.8.3.Forecast for chip vs chipless/printed tags
6.MARKETS AND PROFITABILITY OF ACTIVE RFID
6.1.Where active RFID is used
6.2.Active market by applicational sector
6.3.The main things that are active tagged
6.4.Active RFID market by range
6.5.Active RFID market by battery type
6.5.1.Energy Harvesting and RFID
6.6.New active technologies create new markets
6.6.1.Hand-held homing devices
6.6.2.New markets - Battery Assisted Passive (BAP)
6.6.3.An example of massive 'niches'
6.7.Technologies facilitating growth
6.8.Forecasts for active RFID tags
6.9.Forecasts for systems
6.9.1.The spend on active RFID systems
6.9.2.Active RFID players
7.MARKET FOR RFID INTERROGATORS
7.1.Overview
7.2.RFID enabled cellphones
7.3.Interrogator numbers
7.4.Interrogator price
7.5.Interrogator market value
8.MARKETS BY FREQUENCY
8.1.Spread of tag sales
8.2.Passive frequencies
8.2.1.Segmenting of the passive UHF market
8.2.2.Impinj - Bellwether of the UHF RFID industry
9.MARKET VALUE BY POSITION IN VALUE CHAIN: INTERROGATORS, SOFTWARE, SERVICES ETC
9.1.Market split by position
9.2.Markets for labels, cards and tickets
9.3.Forecasts by tag structures
9.4.NFC, smart card and ticket projections
9.4.1.ASK Group France
9.5.Markets by location of tag - item, pallet/case, etc
9.5.1.Item, pallet/case tagging vs smart cards
9.6.Forecasts 2012-2022
9.6.1.Rationale behind each forecast
9.6.2.Ubiquitous Sensor Networks and other possibilities - Malaysia and Korea timelines to 2010
10.MARKET BY APPLICATIONAL SECTOR
10.1.Prevalence of RFID projects for each applicational sector
10.2.Future trend of projects for each applicational sector
10.3.Current and future forms of payback by applicational sector
10.4.Healthcare and pharmaceuticals
10.5.Postal and courier services
10.6.Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods
10.7.Military and federal
10.8.Airlines and Airports
10.9.Libraries
10.10.Secure access
10.11.Laundry/ rented textiles
10.11.1.State of the art
10.11.2.Payback
10.11.3.Technical requirements and trends
10.11.4.Contrast in store apparel tagging
10.11.5.Laundry tag suppliers
10.11.6.Addressable market
10.11.7.Forecasts
11.LARGEST ORDERS, PRODUCTS, PLAYERS AND OVERSUPPLY/ UNDERSUPPLY: MILESTONES IN FUTURE
11.1.Dynamics of the RFID value chain
11.2.Largest orders, best selling products, dominant suppliers in future
11.2.1.Largest suppliers of chips
11.2.2.Largest suppliers of tags, inlets, straps and detailed value chain for high volume
11.3.SMARTRAC Reports First Quarter 2012 Results
11.3.1.Largest suppliers of software and services
11.4.Sectors potentially oversupplied or undersupplied
11.4.1.Production capacity for tags
11.4.2.Over and undersupply along the value chain 2010-2022
APPENDIX 1: RFID SOLUTION PROVIDERS
APPENDIX 2: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY
TABLES
1.1.Examples of RFID orders, projects and typical benefits by application
1.2.Total RFID Market Projections in US dollar billions 2012-2022
1.3.Market projections by tag type for 2012-2022
1.4.Number (in millions) of passive tags by application 2012-2022
1.5.Average passive tag price per application in US cents 2012-2022
1.6.Value of passive tags by application 2012-2022 (US Dollar Millions)
1.7.Number (in millions) of active tags by application 2012-2022
1.8.Average active tag price per application in US cents 2012-2022
1.9.Value of active tags by application 2012-2022 (US Dollar Millions)
1.10.Number of tags (billions) total RFID market 2012-2022
1.11.Value US$ billion of total RFID market EXCLUDING CARDS 2012-2022
1.12.Number of tags sold by application in 2011 and the total tag value
2.1.Largest suppliers
2.2.Where RFID tags are placed - categories used
2.3.Cumulative global sales of RFID tags by applicational category to start of 2012 in millions
2.4.The cumulative global sales of RFID tags active vs passive in millions to the beginning of 2012 excluding NFC mobile phones emulating tags
2.5.Cumulative global sales of RFID tags chip vs chipless to the beginning of 2012 in millions
2.6.Deliveries of chipless/printed tags to 2012 start by company
2.7.The dominant RFID chip suppliers to start of 2012
2.8.Value of RFID passive tag market in 2005
2.9.Value of RFID active tag market in 2005
2.10.Value Chain 2005
2.11.Value of RFID passive tag market in 2006
2.12.Value of RFID active tag market in 2006
2.13.Value Chain 2006
2.14.Value of RFID passive tag market in 2007
2.15.Value of RFID active tag market in 2007
2.16.Value Chain 2007
2.17.Value of RFID passive tag market in 2008
2.18.Value of RFID active tag market in 2008
2.19.Value Chain 2008
2.20.Value of RFID passive tag market in 2009
2.21.Value of RFID active tag market in 2009
2.22.Value Chain 2009
2.23.Value of RFID passive tag market in 2010
2.24.Value of RFID active tag market in 2010
2.25.Value Chain 2010
2.26.Value of RFID passive tag market in 2011
2.27.Value of RFID active tag market in 2011
2.28.Value Chain 2011
2.29.Ultimate potential annual global sales of some of the most promising tagged things that have potential for up to one billion tags used yearly
2.30.Ultimate potential annual global sales for some of the most promising tagged things with potential of over one billion tags yearly
2.31.Examples of laws and mandates encouraging RFID
2.32.Costs per annum for barcodes
2.33.The main impediments to highest volume RFID
3.1.The pecking order of RFID specifications by RFID tag expenditure in 2010
3.2.Market for EPC related RFID only - tags, readers, middleware, services etc, in US$ Billion
3.3.Comparison of NFC enabled devices and contactless smart cards
4.1.Percentage share of total RFID market value by continent 2012, 2017, 2022
4.2.Percentage share of total RFID market value by continent 2012, 2017, 2022
4.3.Primary differences across the world in types of RFID project by number of projects, with anomalies in top preferences highlighted
4.4.Distribution of RFID projects in IDTechEx Knowledgebase by type in Russia
4.5.Characteristics of the main applicational sub markets over the coming decade
5.1.Global market for active vs passive RFID tags by number billions 2012-2022
5.2.Global market for active vs passive RFID tags by average tag price in cents 2012-2022
5.3.Global market for active vs passive RFID tags in billions of dollars 2012-2022
5.4.Approximate cost breakdown for a passive RFID for both UHF and HF, prices are given in US Dollar cents, assuming millions of tags
5.5.The top four developments of printed transistor RFID
5.6.Historical sales of chipless RFID tags
6.2.Number of active RFID projects by applicational sector 2005 to start of 2012
6.3.Examples of suppliers making good profits from active RFID 2002-2012
6.4.Main things tagged with active RFID tags in terms of number of projects in the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase or numbers used
6.5.Active RFID in the prison and parole service
6.6.Global potential annually for active RFID systems plus tags in the prison and parole service
6.7.Number (in millions) of active tags by application 2012-2022
6.8.Average active tag price per application in US cents 2012-2022
6.9.Value of active tags by application 2012-2022 (US Dollar Millions)
6.10.Forecast for the value of global sales of RFID systems excluding tags 2012-2022 in millions of dollars
6.11.Forecast for the value of global sales of RFID systems including tags, for vehicle clickers, SALs and other applications 2012-2022 in millions of dollars
6.12.Sectors, locations and application examples of Active RFID players
7.1.RFID enabled cellphones worldwide - 2012, 2017, 2022
7.2.Market for RFID interrogators by application, number millions 2012-2022
7.3.Market for RFID interrogators by application, reader price US dollars 2012-2022
7.4.Market for RFID interrogators by application, US dollars billions 2012-2022
8.1.The spread of tag numbers by frequency to the start of 2012
8.2.The spread of tag numbers by frequency forecast for 2012
8.3.The spread of tag numbers by frequency forecast for 2017
8.4.The spread of tag sales % by frequency forecast for 2022
8.5.Future favourite frequencies by format and application
9.1.The split of the market by position in the value chain by percentage share 2012-2022
9.2.The split of the market by position in the value chain by value 2010-2021
9.3.Breakdown of the tag market by number of tags in millions
9.4.Breakdown of the tag market percentage of tags by numbers
9.5.Breakdown of the tag market value of tags by form by value ($ billion)
9.6.Breakdown of the tag market percentage of tags by value
9.7.Total RFID market value ($ billion)
9.8.Total RFID market percentage of tags by value
9.9.The good and the bad of the different proposed locations of NFC functionality in mobile phones
9.10.Ticket number and unit value 2012-2022
9.11.Examples of leading transport SVC card schemes
9.12.Some of the largest card and ticket schemes in China
9.13.IDTechEx estimates of the RFID sales of some of the leaders in RFID cards and tickets, their parts and their systems in 2009
9.14.Number (in millions) of passive tags by application 2012-2022
9.15.Average passive tag price per application in US cents 2012-2022
9.16.Value of passive tags by application 2012-2022 (US Dollar Millions)
9.17.Rationale behind item and pallet / case forecasts
9.18.Rationale behind each forecast
9.19.Some possibly substantial new locations for RFID tags
10.1.IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase 2012 - number of cases by applicational sector
10.2.Future trends for the applicational sectors with the most projects
10.3.Benefits most commonly sought and payback most commonly claimed by sector
11.1.Examples of some of the larger RFID suppliers and their estimated sales and profit status
11.2.Examples of fundraising in 2005-2009 by 28 RFID businesses
11.3.Cumulative RFID tag sales by number to beginning of 2012
11.4.SMARTRAC Financial Figures at a glance:
11.5.Examples of dominant companies in the chip to label value chain in 2010
11.6.The trend for RFID software and services in 2010 and 2022
11.7.Parts of the RFID value chain that may be over or undersupplied 2010-2022
FIGURES
1.1.Number of case studies by tag location - worldwide
1.2.Number of case studies by project status - worldwide
1.3.Number of case studies active vs passive - worldwide
1.4.Number of case studies by frequency - worldwide
1.5.Number of case studies read-only vs read/write - worldwide
1.6.Number of case studies by applications - worldwide
1.7.Number of case studies by tag shape - worldwide
1.8.Market comparison by tag type and by value chain position from 2012 to 2017
2.1.The RFID value chain
2.2.An AstraZeneca syringe with chipless RFID tag
2.3.Technologies appropriate to the different levels of tag cost and volume.
2.4.The adoption curve
2.5.The overall price-volume sensitivity envelope
2.6.RFID from cradle to grave
2.7.Marks & Spencer reusable plastic trays for food
2.8.Marks & Spencer paybacks
2.9.Costs per annum for RF Tags
2.10.RFID and the hype cycle for pallets/cases
3.1.Some in-store benefits of apparel tagging now enjoyed by about 100 retail chains
4.1.Top Ten Countries by number of case studies in the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase
4.2.Number of case studies by tag location - China only
4.3.Number of case studies by project status - China only
4.4.Number of case studies active vs passive - China only
4.5.Number of case studies by frequency - China only
4.6.Number of case studies read-only vs read/write - China only
4.7.Number of case studies by applications - China only
4.8.Number of case studies by tag shape - China only
4.9.Number of case studies by tag location - USA only
4.10.Number of case studies by project status - USA only
4.11.Number of case studies active vs passive - USA only
4.12.Number of case studies by frequency - USA only
4.13.Number of case studies read-only vs read/write - USA only
4.14.Number of case studies by applications - USA only
4.15.Number of case studies by tag shape - USA only
5.1.Passive RFID applications in packaging and containers by range
5.2.RFID range versus cost
5.3.RFID system being developed for the flower industry
5.4.Standardized EPCIS architecture
5.5.The best flexible printed transistor RFID so far - Kovio 128 bit semi read write ISO 14443
6.1.V curve of sustainable profitability vs gross sales value
6.2.Read range versus frequency
6.3.Printed batteries from Infinite Power Solutions and the concept by the Smart Active Labels Consortium of using RFID smart labels with similar batteries to boost range in warehouse environments.
6.4.RFID protecting keys against theft or misuse.
6.5.Wristwatch transmitters worn by inmates
6.6.Three phases in the evolution of active RFID
6.7.Systems, devices and interfaces that are now used by active RFID, or combined with it, in small portable devices
8.1.Impinj sales and forecast
9.1.Cost structure of passive and active RFID projects
9.2.A traditional bullet-like LF tag, left, as used in the shoes of marathon runners for timing and in animals. This is compared with, centre, a label at HF, and right one at UHF, both being the size of a credit card but thinner
9.3.Examples of contactless transactional media
9.4.Japanese train traveller paying for transport by resting a DoCoMo RFID enabled phone on a terminal and receiving a receipt
9.5.Con Tag on a ticket machine that opens up a ticketing application in an RFID phone held nearby
9.6.Some of the potential stakeholders in the NFC phone value chain
9.7.Basic functionality of an NFC enabled phone
9.8.Trial of NFC phones in Caen in France
9.9.Interaction of RFID, sensing and the internet.
9.10.Malaysian project for Ubiquitous Sensor Networks etc
9.11.What is USN in Korea?
10.1.Principle of automatic mail registrations with RFID
10.2.Mobile AMQM - equipment and practical use
10.3.Mail pipeline instrumentation
10.4.GMS RFID Gate
10.5.Tagged mail pieces
10.6.Basic supply chain overview
10.7.Real time monitoring of the RFID infrastructure
10.8.System architecture
10.9.US Navy program for the ship of the future based on RFID and allied technologies
10.10.What part of the problem are we solving?
10.11.Driving adoption
10.12.Examples of laundry tags
10.13.Typical laundry process
10.14.Woven, stitchable RFID tags, the one on the left being HF and the one on the right UHF
10.15.RFID in fibre
10.16.Some laundry tag suppliers
10.17.IDTechEx forecast of global laundry tag market in millions of tags 2010-2020
11.1.Today's RFID value chain
11.2.Detailed value chain and dynamics
11.3.Detailed value chain for materials aspects
11.4.Position of RFID suppliers to certain sectors, following the methodology of Boston Consulting Group
11.5.How most mergers and acquisitions take companies towards total system supply and system integration/ facilities management to chase the big orders
11.6.High volume item level RFID tagging
11.7.The market for add-on printed RFID
11.8.Competing value chains for tags

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Report Statistics

-Pages256
-Tables108
-Figures83
-Forecasts to2022
-Last updateMarch 2013
 

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