5G 技术、市场和预测 2019-2029: IDTechEx
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5G 技术、市场和预测 2019-2029
5G 基础设施及其对终端用户行业的影响
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2019 年标志着 5G 商业化的开始，5G 大规模推出，30多种 5G 设备涌入市场。我们预计，到 2029 年，5G 将代表约 7000 亿美元的巨大市场机遇。此报告揭示了 5G 的独特利基市场，并全面探讨了 5G 技术和垂直应用，这些对于了解 5G 市场机遇而言至关重要。
2019 marks the year for 5th-Generation Wireless Systems (5G) to come to life, with large scale 5G roll-out and more than thirty 5G devices rushing into the market, including 5G smartphones and customer-premises equipment (CPE). Not only will 5G accelerate the growth and expansion of telecommunications; but it will also redefine and accelerate industries such as automotive, entertainment, computing and manufacturing. With high throughput and low latency, 5G is the most promising way to tackle the high-value areas including 3D robotic control, virtual reality monitoring and remote medical control. 5G is well-placed to solve problems that today's technologies have not addressed yet. However, the enormous investment required to develop 5G and the uncertainty of the applications for 5G also put the future of 5G to the test. This report points out the unique niches for 5G and provides a holistic view of 5G technologies and vertical applications, which are essential to understanding the 5G market opportunity.
In this report, we provide an unbiased and complete view across different 5G segments including:
- Introduction to 5G with the main advancements
- Technology innovations in 5G, both 5G new radio technologies and 5G core networks
- 5G networks and user equipment, including base station and antennas, 5G chipset and module, 5G smartphones, fixed wireless devices and more
- 5G vertical applications with comprehensive case studies in healthcare, automotive, consumer devices, smart factory and smart city
- Roadmap and implementation of 5G globally
- The current state of narrow-band Internet of Things, which now is also included in 5G
This report also includes a comprehensive survey of the coming user equipment including 5G smartphones and customer-premises equipment (CPE) and more than 20 key global players from infrastructure suppliers to telecommunication operators. It contains the most updated information from Mobile World Congress 2019, over 20 first-hand company interviews and 5G patent analysis by countries and companies. Based on the information, this report identifies and analyses the important trends in 5G in the following areas:
- Antennas
- Radio frequency front-end module components
- Optical transceivers
- The base station and small cells
- Killer applications
- Three waves of 5G investment in the coming years
- 5G network roll-out globally, including the US, China, Korea, Japan and Europe
This report also includes a ten-year forecast for the 5G revenue and connection number based on five global regions (US, China, Korea & Japan, Europe and others), as well as the 5G base station deployment units. The 5G market is expected to be around $700 bn by 2030, with main contributions coming from mobile services, fixed wireless services and narrow-band IoT.
Title: 5G market forecast
Source: IDTechEx
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| 1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY |
| 1.1. | 5G, 5th-generation wireless system |
| 1.2. | Evolution of mobile communications |
| 1.3. | What can 5G offer: high speed, massive connection and low latency |
| 1.4. | 5G is suitable for vertical applications |
| 1.5. | 5G for consumers overview |
| 1.6. | 5G for TV service and internet at home |
| 1.7. | 5G for XR (AR and VR) |
| 1.8. | 5G for automation: remote surgery |
| 1.9. | 5G for autonomous vehicle: V2X communication |
| 1.10. | 5G for Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) |
| 1.11. | 5G smart factory overview |
| 1.12. | 5G is built on LTE (4G) technology |
| 1.13. | The main technique innovations |
| 1.14. | End-to-end technology overview |
| 1.15. | 5G supply chain |
| 1.16. | 5G patents by countries |
| 1.17. | 5G patents by companies |
| 1.18. | Global trends and new opportunities in 5G |
| 1.19. | 5G base station types |
| 1.20. | Evolution of the cellular base station: overview |
| 1.21. | Trends in 5G: active antennas and massive MIMO |
| 1.22. | Trends in 5G: more macrocells at lower prices |
| 1.23. | Trends in 5G: small cells will see a rapid growth |
| 1.24. | Trend in 5G: antennas integrated with mmWave RFFE |
| 1.25. | RF FEM suppliers for LTE-advanced smartphone |
| 1.26. | 5G Chipsets |
| 1.27. | Landscape of different types of chipsets |
| 1.28. | Trend in 5G: Radio Frequency devices moves to new materials and technologies |
| 1.29. | Radio frequency front-end modules market and players |
| 1.30. | Optical devices key player and their market share |
| 1.31. | Optical transceiver module supply chain and key players |
| 1.32. | 5G investments at three stages |
| 1.33. | Case study: expected 5G investment for infrastructure in China |
| 1.34. | Key players in 5G technologies |
| 1.35. | 5G infrastructure: Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE |
| 1.36. | Race on 5G contracts |
| 1.37. | Huawei |
| 1.38. | Huawei core suppliers and their products for Huawei |
| 1.39. | Nokia |
| 1.40. | Ericsson |
| 1.41. | ZTE |
| 1.42. | Qualcomm |
| 1.43. | Intel |
| 1.44. | 5G deployment: standalone vs non-standalone |
| 1.45. | Overview of the time frame for 5G roll-out |
| 1.46. | 5G now incorporates NB-IoT and LTE-M |
| 1.47. | Target market segments for NB-IoT |
| 1.48. | Market forecasts - what's included |
| 1.49. | 5G market forecast based on revenue for operators |
| 1.50. | 5G base station number |
| 2. | INTRODUCTION TO 5G |
| 2.1. | 5G, 5th-generation wireless system |
| 2.2. | Evolution of mobile communications |
| 2.3. | What can 5G offer: high speed, massive connection and low latency |
| 2.4. | 5G is suitable for vertical applications |
| 2.5. | 5G for consumers overview |
| 2.6. | Two types of 5G: Sub-6 GHz and high frequency |
| 2.7. | Sub-6 GHz will be the first option for most operators |
| 2.8. | Why does 5G have lower latency radio transmissions |
| 2.9. | 5G is built on LTE (4G) technology |
| 2.10. | The main technique innovations |
| 2.11. | 5G supply chain |
| 2.12. | Two waves of 5G |
| 2.13. | First wave of 5G smartphones |
| 2.14. | Fixed wireless access to 5G / customer-premises equipment (CPE) |
| 2.15. | 5G investments at three stages |
| 2.16. | Case study: expected 5G investment for infrastructure in China |
| 2.17. | Key players in 5G technologies |
| 2.18. | 5G patents by countries |
| 2.19. | 5G patents by companies |
| 2.20. | Global trends and new opportunities in 5G |
| 3. | 5G TECHNOLOGY INNOVATIONS |
| 3.1. | End-to-end technology overview |
| 3.2. | 5G new radio technologies |
| 3.3. | Large number of antennas: massive MIMO |
| 3.4. | Massive MIMO enables advanced beam forming |
| 3.5. | Massive MIMO challenges and possible solutions |
| 3.6. | Massive MIMO requires active antennas |
| 3.7. | High frequency communication: mmWave |
| 3.8. | New multiple access methods: Non-orthogonal multiple-access techniques (NOMA) |
| 3.9. | Advanced waveforms and channel coding |
| 3.10. | Comparison of Turbo, LDPC and Polar code |
| 3.11. | Ultra dense network |
| 3.12. | Challenges for UDN |
| 3.13. | 5G core network technologies |
| 3.14. | Comparison of 4G core and 5G core |
| 3.15. | Service based architecture (SBA) |
| 3.16. | Edge-computing |
| 3.17. | Network slicing |
| 3.18. | Spectrum sharing |
| 4. | 5G INFRASTRUCTURE AND TERMINALS |
| 4.1. | Base station and active antennas |
| 4.1.1. | 5G base station types |
| 4.1.2. | Evolution of the cellular base station: overview |
| 4.1.3. | What are active antennas |
| 4.1.4. | Trends in 5G antennas: active antennas and massive MIMO |
| 4.1.5. | Antenna array architectures for beam forming |
| 4.1.6. | Case study: Ericsson antenna systems for 5G |
| 4.1.7. | Main suppliers of 5G active antennas unit (AAU) |
| 4.1.8. | Case study: NEC 5G Radio Unit |
| 4.1.9. | Case study: Samsung 5G Access solution for SK telecom |
| 4.1.10. | Case study: Ericsson rural coverage solutions |
| 4.1.11. | Global market of base station antennas |
| 4.1.12. | 5G antennas for smartphone |
| 4.1.13. | Trends in 5G network: easier for carriers to deploy |
| 4.1.14. | Trends in 5G: base station architecture |
| 4.1.15. | Trends in 5G: more macrocells at lower prices |
| 4.1.16. | Trends in 5G: small cells will see a rapid growth |
| 4.1.17. | Case study: Ericsson 5G radio dot |
| 4.1.18. | Case study: Qualcomm small cell 5G platform (FSM 100xx) |
| 4.2. | Chipsets and modules |
| 4.2.1. | 5G Chipsets |
| 4.2.2. | Landscape of different types of chipsets |
| 4.2.3. | Examples: 5G chipset and module |
| 4.2.4. | 5G modems and SoC |
| 4.2.5. | Case study: Intel XMM 8160 5G modem |
| 4.2.6. | Case study: MediaTek 5G Modem Helio M70 |
| 4.2.7. | Case study: Huawei 5G modem Balong 5000 |
| 4.2.8. | Case study: Qaulcomm 5G modem Snapdragon X55 |
| 4.2.9. | Case study: Qualcomm Snapdragon 855 SoC |
| 4.2.10. | Trend in 5G: Radio Frequency devices moves to new materials and technologies |
| 4.2.11. | Radio frequency front end module (RF FEM) |
| 4.2.12. | Trend in 5G: antennas integrated with mmWave RFFE |
| 4.2.13. | Filter |
| 4.2.14. | Power amplifier (PA) and switch |
| 4.2.15. | Key players for RF FEM (smartphone) by the component types |
| 4.2.16. | RF FEM suppliers for LTE-advanced smartphone |
| 4.2.17. | Case study: Qorvo's GaN RF FEMs for mmWave |
| 4.2.18. | Case study: Qualcomm 5G NR Modem-to-Antenna module |
| 4.2.19. | Case study: MediaTek RFFE solution for 5G NR sub-6 GHz |
| 4.2.20. | Optical devices key player and their market share |
| 4.2.21. | Optical transceiver module supply chain and key players |
| 4.2.22. | Case study: SK Telecom 5G 5G-PON to reduce the use of fiber |
| 4.3. | User equipment |
| 4.3.1. | 5G smartphone |
| 4.3.2. | Case study: Huawei Mate X 5G smartphone |
| 4.3.3. | Case study: ZTE Axon 10 Pro 5G smartphone |
| 4.3.4. | Case study: Motorola 5G mod Moto5G smartphone |
| 4.3.5. | Case study: LG V50 ThinQ 5G smartphone |
| 4.3.6. | Case study: Sony Xperia 5G (prototype) smartphone |
| 4.3.7. | Case study: Xiaomi Mix3 5G smartphone |
| 4.3.8. | Case study: Samsung Galaxy S10 5G smartphone |
| 4.3.9. | 5G smart phone: TCL Alcatel 7 5G |
| 4.3.10. | Other possible 5G smartphone in 2019 |
| 4.3.11. | 5G fixed wireless devices |
| 4.3.12. | Case study: Huawei CPE Pro |
| 4.3.13. | Case study: Nokia FastMile 5G Gateway |
| 5. | KEY PLAYERS FOR 5G INFRASTRUCTURE AND USER EQUIPMENT |
| 5.1. | 5G infrastructure: Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE |
| 5.2. | Race on 5G contracts |
| 5.3. | Huawei |
| 5.4. | Huawei core suppliers and their products for Huawei |
| 5.5. | Nokia |
| 5.6. | Ericsson |
| 5.7. | Ericsson: FDD and spectrum sharing |
| 5.8. | Ericsson: 5G contracts |
| 5.9. | Ericsson: 5G partnership |
| 5.10. | ZTE |
| 5.11. | Samsung: 5G overview |
| 5.12. | Samsung: 5G Access solution for SK telecom |
| 5.13. | Qualcomm |
| 5.14. | Qualcomm: use cases overview |
| 5.15. | Qualcomm: 5G devices / infrastructure overview |
| 5.16. | Intel |
| 5.17. | Qorvo |
| 5.18. | Skyworks Solutions |
| 5.19. | NXP Semiconductors |
| 5.20. | MediaTek: 5G overview |
| 5.21. | NEC: 5G overview |
| 5.22. | NEC: 5G vertical business platform |
| 5.23. | China Mobile: 5G overview |
| 5.24. | NTT docomo: 5G overview |
| 5.25. | Verizon: 5G overview |
| 5.26. | AT&T: 5G overview |
| 5.27. | SK Telecom: 5G overview |
| 5.28. | KT Corporation: 5G overview |
| 5.29. | Vodafone: 5G overview |
| 5.30. | Orange: 5G overview |
| 5.31. | Telefónica: 5G overview |
| 5.32. | Ooredoo: 5G overview |
| 5.33. | Saudi Telecom Company (STC): 5G overview |
| 6. | 5G VERTICAL APPLICATIONS BEYOND MOBILE |
| 6.1. | 5G vertical applications overview |
| 6.2. | 5G for TV service and internet at home |
| 6.3. | 5G for XR (AR and VR) |
| 6.4. | Computers integrated with 5G connectivity |
| 6.5. | 5G for automation: remote surgery |
| 6.6. | Case study: China Mobile 5G for remote medical services |
| 6.7. | Case study: Smart Cyber Operating Theater (SCOT) |
| 6.8. | 5G for autonomous vehicle: V2X communication |
| 6.9. | 5G for autonomous vehicle: 5GAA |
| 6.10. | Case study: driver assistance systems |
| 6.11. | 5G for connected plane |
| 6.12. | LiFi: complementary to 5G system |
| 6.13. | 5G for AR sports viewing platform based on cloud computing |
| 6.14. | 5G cloud game streaming |
| 6.15. | 5G for industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) |
| 6.16. | Selected use cases of 5G in future factory |
| 6.17. | Connectivity options for IoT |
| 6.18. | 5G for connected industries |
| 6.19. | 5G smart factory overview |
| 6.20. | Case study: 5G for Industry 4.0 in Nokia Factory |
| 6.21. | Case study: Nokia Future X architecture |
| 6.22. | Case study: Nokia automated harbour operation |
| 6.23. | Case study: Ericsson 5G for smart manufacturing |
| 6.24. | Case study: NTT docomo smart construction powered by 5G & IoT |
| 6.25. | Other 5G use cases |
| 6.26. | Case study: Vodafone 5G live commercial network |
| 7. | ROADMAP AND IMPLEMENTATION |
| 7.1. | 5G roadmap and timeline: finalising standardisation |
| 7.2. | 5G roadmap and timeline: finalising standardisation |
| 7.3. | 5G deployment: standalone vs non-standalone |
| 7.4. | 5G deployment options and migration strategy |
| 7.5. | Different deployment types in the same network |
| 7.6. | Technical comparison of NSA and SA 5G |
| 7.7. | Economic comparison of NSA and SA 5G |
| 7.8. | 5G migration strategies for some key players |
| 7.9. | Overview of the time frame for 5G roll-out |
| 7.10. | 5G trials taking place |
| 7.11. | 5G in USA |
| 7.12. | 5G in China |
| 7.13. | 5G in Europe |
| 7.14. | 5G in South Korea |
| 7.15. | 5G in Japan |
| 7.16. | 5G in Canada |
| 7.17. | 5G in Australia |
| 7.18. | 5G in The Philippines |
| 7.19. | Challenges and future |
| 8. | NB-IOT AND LTE-M |
| 8.1. | 5G now incorporates NB-IoT and LTE-M |
| 8.2. | NB-IoT, eMTC and 5G will cover different aspects |
| 8.3. | Comparison to other LPWAN technologies |
| 8.4. | NB-IoT is a better solution for LPWAN |
| 8.5. | Porters five force analysis of the LPWAN industry |
| 8.6. | LTE-M vs NB-IoT |
| 8.7. | Huawei & Vodafone leading the way in NB-IoT |
| 8.8. | Examples of companies partnering with Huawei on NB-IoT |
| 8.9. | Inside the Vodafone NB-IoT open lab |
| 8.10. | T-Mobile rolls the dice on NB-IoT |
| 8.11. | NB-IoT driven by the Chinese market |
| 8.12. | ARM backs NB-IoT |
| 8.13. | NB-IoT networks can be deployed by using the existing sites |
| 8.14. | Target market segments for NB-IoT |
| 8.15. | Use cases of NB-IoT: B2G (government) |
| 8.16. | Use cases of NB-IoT: B2B |
| 8.17. | Use cases of NB-IoT: B2C |
| 8.18. | Use cases of LTE-M: smartwatch industry |
| 8.19. | Case study: T-Mobile trial of NB-IoT for smart city |
| 8.20. | Examples of NB-IoT modules |
| 8.21. | Case study: Quectel LTEBG96 system on a chip |
| 8.22. | Hurdles to NB-IoT rollout |
| 8.23. | NB-IoT/LTE-M global implementation |
| 8.24. | NB-IoT trials |
| 8.25. | Examples of Cellular operators trialling or deploying NB-IoT |
| 8.26. | The first commercial NB-IoT network launches in Europe |
| 8.27. | LTE-M rolls out in America |
| 8.28. | Case study: China Mobile IoT |
| 8.29. | NB-IoT innovators: 500+ |
| 9. | 5G MARKET FORECAST |
| 9.1. | Market forecasts - what's included |
| 9.2. | 5G market forecast based on revenue for operators |
| 9.3. | Mobile segment: Market share of 5G in mobile communication |
| 9.4. | Mobile segment: 5G subscription by geography |
| 9.5. | Mobile segment: 5G revenue by geography |
| 9.6. | Fixed wireless service segment: revenue |
| 9.7. | Fixed wireless service segment: subscription number |
| 9.8. | NB-IoT segment: revenue |
| 9.9. | NB-IoT segment: NB-IoT connection numbers |
| 9.10. | 5G base station number forecast |
报告统计信息
| 幻灯片 | 323 |
|---|---|
| 预测 | 2029 |