RFID-Prognosen, Akteure und Chancen 2023-2033: IDTechEx

RFID market to reach US$24 billion dollars by 2033

RFID-Prognosen, Akteure und Chancen 2023-2033

Die vollständige Analyse der globalen RFID-Industrie


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IDTechEx has been researching the RFID industry for nearly two decades. "RFID Forecasts, Players, and Opportunities 2023-2033," is the most recent RFID market research study, offering a thorough review of passive RFID (for UHF, HF, and LF bands), battery assisted passive, active RFID, and chipless RFID technologies, players, and markets. This report provides an unbiased analysis of primary data gathered through interviews with key players throughout the value chain (many of whom supply data to IDTechEx under non-disclosure agreements that allows aggregation of the data into a total) as well as secondary data from all available sources, and it builds on IDTechEx's RFID industry expertise. This report provides in-depth forecasts and analysis that no other source can match.
 
Current market and outlook
 
The future of RFID is looking bright. Despite some challenges that are not yet resolved, such as the global macroeconomic downturn and chip and other raw material shortages, the global RFID market is expected to expand further in 2023; according to IDTechEx, the market will be worth $14 billion in 2023, up from US$12.8 billion in 2022. This comprises RFID labels, cards, fobs, and any other form factors, as well as tags, readers, and software/services for both passive and active RFID.
 
In the UHF sector, the retail business, the largest RFID application sector in terms of tag numbers, adopting RFID continues to grow strongly. According to IDTechEx study, retail apparel alone will require nearly 24 billion RFID labels in 2023 - though there is still some way to go, with RFID accounting for only about 30% of the total addressable market for apparel. Furthermore, IDTechEx anticipates that more retail products other than apparel will be tagged in the future years. Walmart's mandate on tagging retail items other than apparel is anticipated to generate significant volume growth for the sector.
 
Contactless card sales remain the most successful in the HF sector, driven primarily by contactless payment, transit, and secure access applications, with 3.1 billion cards anticipated to be demanded in 2023.
 
Animal tagging (such as pigs, sheep, and pets) remains important in the LF sector because it is still a legal requirement in many more areas, with 771 million tags expected to be used in this sector in 2023.
 
Overall, IDTechEx forecasts that 39.3 billion passive RFID tags will be sold in 2023, up from 33 billion in 2022, indicating a 20% year on year increase. The bulk of this growth is due to passive UHF RFID labels.
 
However, in 2023, UHF (RAIN RFID) tag sales by value will be just 40% of HF tag sales (including NFC), due to the higher price point of HF tags used for security (such as payments, access, etc) against the cheaper, largely disposable UHF (RAIN) tags used for tagging items.
 
Total RFID Market Size 2021-2033, Source: IDTechEx "RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2023-2033"
 
In-depth market analysis
IDTechEx assesses the RFID industry in a variety of ways using new and unique information gathered globally by IDTechEx research analysts. Each market is thoroughly examined, with detailed historical data by application type provided from 2005 to 2022, followed by a prediction from 2023 and every year thereafter until 2028. IDTechEx also provides a long-term forecast for 2033. Key forecasts included in this report are: 10-year prediction of tag numbers, average sales price, and market value of Passive RFID, Battery-assisted Passive RFID, Active RFID, and RFID readers:
 
Forecasts for passive RFID are given separately for each of the application areas listed below:
 
Additionally, the report provides units, average selling price and total value for RFID readers in the following categories:
 
10-year total RFID market value forecast (including hardware, software, and integration) by application type.
 
The research conducted by IDTechEx ultimately provides ten-year forecasts by application area including tags, readers, software and services for the following markets:
 
Data is also provided for other sectors including trends by territory, value chain positioning, NFC, chip vs chipless and more. Cumulative sales of RFID are analyzed. Progress of key companies is provided in addition to a matrix of hundreds of suppliers.
 
A price teardown is conducted for the two main types of passive RFID inlays - UHF and HF RFID.
 
Key questions answered in this report
IDTechEx evaluates the key data in this report to answer key questions such as:
  • How does the chip and other raw materials shortage have affected the RFID market?
  • How does the light house project such as Walmart's mandate has affected the RFID market?
  • Which industries are thriving, and which are under performing?
  • Who are the most profitable suppliers, and why?
  • What are the industries that are gaining the most tractions?
  • What are the remaining barriers that need to be addressed before we see large adoption?
  • What are the emerging technologies that are threats to RFID?
  • Company profiles of key players and emerging players in the RFID industry
 
For example, IDTechEx discovered that there are now emerging or established leaders in most places of the value chain across the various technologies after conducting comprehensive interviews with suppliers, but that only a few businesses had revenues of more than $100 million. There are still numerous opportunities, which are evaluated in this report.
 
IDTechEx's level of detailed analysis allows us to account for data throughout the value chain, for example, inlay sales lag the number of IC sales by several months which is considered in our forecasts.
 
Who are the winners and emerging winners?
 
In the "RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2023-2033" report, major players in various parts of the value chain are identified, and current and potential major orders and milestones are examined. Those who do well in terms of sales figures are sometimes less impressive in terms of dollars taken, and vice versa. Naturally, not everyone will choose to serve the most "price-constrained", high-volume markets. For them, we look at several significant niches that are emerging as well as a few smaller opportunities with even less competition.
This is a comprehensive report that offers detailed data and analysis of the entire RFID sector. An unbiased overview of RFID technology, players, use case studies, and market can be found in the research, giving the reader unique insight into the whole RFID sector, including its current status and future prospects.
 
Key market forecasts include:
  • 10-year Market forecast of RFID segmented by each frequency and corresponding application sectors
 
1. Passive UHF tag numbers and market value segmented in the following sectors:
  • Retail apparel and footwear
  • Retail - other
  • Medical/healthcare
  • Assets, logistics containers
  • Air baggage
  • Access Control/ticketing
  • Sensors and embedded
  • People
  • Other
 
2. Passive HF tag numbers and market value segmented in the following sectors:
  • Contactless cards/fobs
  • Smart tickets
  • Books
  • Medical
  • Assets/tools
  • Passports
  • People
  • NFC
  • Other
 
3. Passive LF tag numbers and market value segmented in the following sectors:
  • Livestock and pets
  • Access control
  • Vehicle immobilizers
  • Medicals
  • People
  • Other
  • Active RFID
  • RFID readers
Report MetricsDetails
Historic Data2005 - 2022
Forecast Period2023 - 2033
Analyst access from IDTechEx
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Table of Contents
1.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1.Brief History of RFID
1.2.RFID Market to 2033
1.3.Total RFID Market Size 2021-2033, $ billions
1.4.Market size by tag value by application 2021-2033, $ millions
1.5.Market size by tag value by application 2021-2033, $ millions
1.6.Market size by application, hardware and software 2021-2033, $ billions
1.7.Largest markets in 2023 vs 2033
1.8.Governments spend big on RFID
1.9.Non-government successes
1.10.Favourite RFID frequencies
1.11.Value chain and RFID tag types
1.12.RFID companies by gross sales
1.13.RFID market forecasts for passive RFID tags by application and frequency
1.14.The impact on RFID market from chip and other raw materials shortage
1.15.Passive UHF (RAIN) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
1.16.Passive UHF (RAIN) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
1.17.Average sales price of passive UHF (RAIN) RFID by application 2021-2033, US cents
1.18.Total Value of UHF (RAIN) RFID inlays by application 2021-2033, $ millions
1.19.Total Value of UHF (RAIN) RFID inlays by application, 2021-2033, $ millions
1.20.The impact on UHF RFID market from Walmart's mandate
1.21.RAIN RFID: The Highlights
1.22.UHF (RAIN) RFID Tag Value 2021-2028, $ millions
1.23.RAIN RFID ICs versus tag numbers sold
1.24.Passive HF (13.56MHz, NFC) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
1.25.Passive HF (13.56MHz, NFC) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
1.26.HF/NFC RFID: The Highlights
1.27.Passive LF (125KHz, 134KHz) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
1.28.LF RFID: The Highlights
1.29.RFID market forecasts for battery assisted passive RFID, active RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
1.30.RFID market forecasts for battery assisted passive RFID, active RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
1.31.Change in active RFID systems due to BLE and LPWAN
1.32.Trends by territory
1.33.Progress with RFID in China
1.34.RFID and IoT
1.35.The IoT Ecosystem
1.36.Overview of wireless technologies
1.37.Impediments to the growth of RFID markets
1.38.Outlook for RFID
2.INTRODUCTION, HISTORIC RFID SALES, AND ADDRESSABLE OPPORTUNITY
2.1.1.RFID
2.1.2.RFID operating principles
2.1.3.RFID system choices
2.1.4.RFID technologies: The big picture
2.1.5.Passive RFID
2.1.6.Passive RFID Systems
2.1.7.Battery Assisted Passive /Semi Active tags
2.1.8.Examples of Battery Assisted Passive (BAP) RFID sensors
2.1.9.Active RFID
2.1.10.Distinguishing things a long way away with active RFID
2.1.11.Real Time Locating Systems (RTLS)
2.1.12.Change in active RFID systems due to BLE and LPWAN
2.1.13.RFID Sensors: Main choices
2.1.14.RFID sensors
2.1.15.The RFID value chain
2.1.16.Applications of RFID
2.2.Historic RFID tag sales 2005 to 2018
2.2.1.2005 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.2.2008 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.3.2011 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.4.2014 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.5.2015 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.6.2016 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.7.2017 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.8.2018 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.9.2019&2020 tag sales in units, ASP, tag value $ millions
2.2.10.RFID Standards (ISO)
2.2.11.UHF (RAIN) RFID Trends
2.2.12.Four Drivers of RAIN RFID
2.2.13.EPC Gen2v2
2.2.14.Near Field Communication (NFC)
2.2.15.Comparison of NFC enabled devices and contactless smart cards
2.2.16.RFID Systems/Middleware
2.2.17.RFID Software Business (1)
2.2.18.RFID Software Business (2)
2.2.19.RFID Software business (3)
2.2.20.Impediments to highest volume RFID
3.MARKETS BY APPLICATION AND VALUE CHAIN POSITION
3.1.1.RFID Market Size
3.1.2.Total RFID Market Size 2021-2033, $ billions
3.1.3.Market size by tag value by application 2021-2033, $ millions
3.1.4.Market size by tag value by application 2021-2033, $ millions
3.1.5.Market size by application, hardware and software 2021-2033, $ billions
3.1.6.Prevalence of RFID projects for each applicational sector
3.1.7.Future trend of projects for each applicational sector
3.1.8.Current and future forms of payback by applicational sector
3.1.9.Healthcare and pharmaceuticals
3.1.10.RFID in Healthcare and pharmaceuticals
3.1.11.Example of RFID paybacks Healthcare and pharmaceuticals
3.1.12.Real Time Locating Systems
3.1.13.Recent UHF RFID adoption in healthcare sectors
3.1.14.Barriers of RFID adoption in healthcare sectors
3.2.Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods
3.2.1.Pallet/case tagging: False start
3.2.2.Retail apparel, item level
3.2.3.The impact from Walmart's mandate
3.2.4.M&S RFID roll-out nears completion
3.2.5.Retail Apparel Payback
3.2.6.Examples of retailers using RAIN RFID and growing
3.2.7.RFID for anti-counterfeiting
3.2.8.METI, Japan, target 100 billion tags/year by 2025
3.2.9.IDTechEx view on the METI announcement
3.2.10.Case Study: RFID Demand Pull
3.3.Airline
3.3.1.Airlines and Airports
3.3.2.Competing technologies to RFID: Computer vision
3.4.Postal and courier services
3.4.1.Postal and courier services
3.4.2.First worldwide project for tracking postal cargo using UHF RFID
3.4.3.UPS to deploy RFIDs through 100 facilities in 2022
3.5.Secure access and contactless payment
3.5.1.Secure access and contactless payment (1)
3.5.2.Secure access and contactless payment (2)
3.6.Smart ticketing
3.6.1.Smart ticketing
3.6.2.Smart ticketing vs contactless payments
3.6.3.Smart ticketing vs facial recognition payments
3.6.4.Benchmark of competing technologies for smart ticketing
3.7.Logistics, Asset Tracking, Manufacturing
3.7.1.Logistics, Asset Tracking, Manufacturing
3.7.2.Tracking Logistics Containers
3.7.3.RFID tracks automotive body panels
3.7.4.RFID in food and other logistics industry
3.8.Laundry/rented textiles
3.8.1.Laundry/rented textiles
3.8.2.NFC antennas incorporated in textiles
3.8.3.HID Global acquired Invengo Textile business
3.9.Others
3.9.1.E-Passports
3.9.2.Animals
3.9.3.RFID provides more consumer engagement and enables more data use
3.9.4.RFID embedded in consumer electronics devices
3.10.RFID sensors
3.10.1.RFID Sensors: Main choices
3.10.2.Passive RFID Sensors (Electronic): Case studies
3.10.3.Passive UHF RFID sensors with printed electronics
3.10.4.LG Sensing Smart Card: Commercial product with a printed antenna to test water salinity. Launched in Korea
3.10.5.Thin finger print sensors using organic photodetectors
3.11.Smart Packaging
3.11.1.RFID and smart packaging: An introduction
3.11.2.Smart packaging with flexible hybrid electronics
3.11.3.'Sensor-less' sensing of temperature and movement
3.11.4.NFC for product registration and authentication
3.11.5.SharpEnd using NFC for connected experiences
3.11.6.RFID and smart packaging: SWOT analysis
3.11.7.RFID and smart packaging: Conclusions
3.12.Analysis of RFID case studies
3.12.1.Analysis of RFID case studies
4.PASSIVE RFID: TAG COST TEARDOWN, MARKET VALUE AND EMERGING TECHNOLOGY OPTIONS
4.1.Passive RFID tags, total number 2021-2033, billions
4.2.Passive RFID tags, market value, 2021-2033, $ millions
4.3.The impact on RFID market from chip and other raw materials shortage
4.4.RFID Range versus cost
4.5.Passive RFID: Technologies by operating frequency
4.6.Anatomy of passive HF and UHF tags
4.7.Challenges in contacting HF/NFC coils
4.8.Antenna Technology Choices
4.9.Antenna Manufacturing Technologies: Comparison Table
4.10.RFID Antennas: New Technologies
4.11.Printed RFID antennas struggle for traction: Is copper ink a solution?
4.12.Conductive ink requirements for RFID and smart packaging
4.13.IC Attachment
4.14.IC attachment processes
4.15.Inlay assembly today
4.16.Label Conversion
4.17.RFID Manufacturing trends
4.18.Passive RFID price teardown, HF and UHF
4.19.Surviving in a commodity inlay market
4.20.Fully printed ICs have struggled to compete with silicon
4.21.Current approaches to printed logic
4.22.Flexible metal oxide ICs
4.23.Benefits of flexible/printed logic
4.24.Save on IC attach cost?
4.25.Investment into metal oxide ICs continues
4.26.SWOT analysis: Evaporated metal oxide ICs on flexible substrates
4.27.Smart tags with a flexible silicon IC
4.28.IMEC / Holst Centre Roadmap
5.THREATS TO PASSIVE RFID
5.1.SWOT Analysis - QR Code/Barcode
5.2.SWOT Analysis - Machine vision
5.3.Threats to passive RFID: Machine vision?
5.4.Facial recognition system
5.5.Combine RFID and computer vision?
5.6.Passive Bluetooth
6.MARKET DATA FOR PASSIVE UHF (RAIN) RFID
6.1.Passive UHF (RAIN) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
6.2.Passive UHF (RAIN) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
6.3.Average sales price of passive UHF (RAIN) RFID by application 2021-2033, US cents
6.4.Total Value of UHF (RAIN) RFID inlays by application 2021-2033, $ millions
6.5.Total Value of UHF (RAIN) RFID inlays by application, 2021-2033, $ millions
6.6.UHF (RAIN) RFID Market Trends (1)
6.7.UHF (RAIN) RFID Market Trends (2)
6.8.Comment on methodology
7.MARKET DATA FOR PASSIVE HF (AND NFC) RFID
7.1.Passive HF (13.56MHz, NFC) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
7.2.Passive HF (13.56MHz, NFC) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
7.3.Average sales price of passive HF (13.56MHz) RFID by application 2021-2033, US cents
7.4.Total value of HF (13.56MHz) RFID inlays and cards by application 2021-2033, $ millions
7.5.Total value of HF (13.56MHz) RFID inlays and cards by application 2021-2033, $ millions
7.6.HF/NFC RFID Market Trends
8.MARKET DATA FOR PASSIVE LF RFID
8.1.Passive LF (125KHz, 134KHz) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
8.2.Passive LF (125KHz, 134KHz) RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
8.3.Average sales price of passive LF (13.56MHz) RFID by application 2021-2033, US cents
8.4.Total value of LF RFID inlays and cards by application 2021-2033, $ millions
8.5.Total value of LF RFID inlays and cards, by application 2021-2033, $ millions
9.MARKETS AND PROFITABILITY OF ACTIVE RFID
9.1.Active RFID Market
9.2.Change in active RFID systems due to BLE and LPWAN
9.3.How many competing LPWAN technologies?
9.4.Overview of wireless technologies
9.5.Comparison of WLAN networking protocols
9.6.Comparison of LPWAN capabilities
9.7.RFID market forecasts for battery assisted passive RFID, active RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
9.8.RFID market forecasts for battery assisted passive RFID, active RFID tag numbers 2021-2033, millions
10.MARKET FOR RFID INTERROGATORS (RFID READERS)
10.1.Overview
10.2.RFID Interrogator (reader) numbers 2021-2033, millions
10.3.RFID Interrogator (reader) price 2021-2033, US cents
10.4.RFID Interrogator (reader) market value 2021-2033, $ millions
10.5.RFID Interrogator (reader) market value 2021-2033, $ millions
11.MARKETS BY COUNTRY
11.1.Leading countries
11.2.Asia RFID Use: Key Conclusions
11.3.USA RFID Use: Key Conclusions
11.4.Europe RFID Use: Key Conclusions
11.5.Trends by territory
12.SUCCESSES, FAILURES, TRENDS, OPPORTUNITIES
12.1.1.Dynamics of the RFID value chain
12.1.2.Tag manufacturing value chain
12.1.3.Successes and revenues (1)
12.1.4.Successes and revenues (2)
12.1.5.Key company acquisition (1)
12.1.6.Key company acquisition (2)
12.1.7.Key company acquisition (2)
12.1.8.RFID profitability
12.2.Largest orders, best selling products, dominant suppliers in future
12.2.1.Largest suppliers of chips
12.2.2.Largest suppliers of tags, inlets, straps and detailed value chain for high volume
12.2.3.Examples of companies in the chip to label value chain
12.2.4.UHF RFID readers
12.2.5.Equipment supply
12.2.6.Outlook for RFID
13.APPENDIX 1: RFID SOLUTION PROVIDERS
13.1.The RFID value chain (1)
13.2.The RFID value chain (2)
14.14. COMPANY PROFILES
14.1.Avery Dennison
14.2.HID Global
14.3.SML
14.4.Impinj
14.5.TalkinThings
14.6.PragmatIC
14.7.Xerafy
14.8.Wiliot
14.9.ioTech
14.10.SharpEnd
14.11.Fujian Yuchen Microelectronics Co.
14.12.Primo1D
14.13.Muhlbauer
14.14.Copprint
14.15.American Semiconductor Inc
14.16.Atheraxon
14.17.Advanced Material Development
 

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Report Statistics

Slides 310
Companies 17
Forecasts to 2033
Published Mar 2023
ISBN 9781915514561
 

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