CCUS Capture Capacity to Reach 2.5 Gigatonnes Per Annum By 2045

CCS facilities capture carbon dioxide emissions from industrial processes and power plant, securely storing them underground to mitigate climate change
Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technologies strip carbon dioxide (CO2) from waste gases and directly from the atmosphere before either storing it underground or using it for a range of industrial applications. By preventing CO2 from accumulating in the atmosphere, CCUS offers a ready-now pathway to decarbonize existing fossil fuel assets while also enabling the growth of emerging sustainable industrial sectors such as blue hydrogen and BECCS (bioenergy with carbon capture and storage). IDTechEx forecasts that CCUS capture capacity will reach 2.5 gigatonnes per annum by 2045, according to the new IDTechEx report "Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) Markets 2025-2045: Technologies, Market Forecasts, and Players".
 
Accelerating uptake of CCUS
 
Historically, although carbon capture technologies are mature and well-established, wide-scale deployment of CCUS has been hindered by the high costs associated with capturing CO2. This is due to the high penalty from solvent regeneration. For CCUS to reach the levels necessary to meet net zero by 2050 targets, innovative new capture solutions will be required to reduce costs. Alternative point source capture technologies, including emerging solvents, sorbents, membranes, cryogenic methods, and oxyfuel designs, are being developed in the search for lower capture costs. This report includes analysis, benchmarking, key players, and the latest advancements for all major carbon capture technologies, enabling a selection of the best technology for a specific emission scenario.
 
In parallel with decreasing costs, economic incentivization for CCUS is increasing, driven by government carbon pricing policies (such as the EU ETS and US 45Q tax credit) and emerging CO2 utilization applications. Achieving economic viability is critical for large-scale deployment of CCUS. IDTechEx analysis has indicated that profitable carbon capture is already possible for several sectors within the current regulatory landscape. Carbon pricing is expected to keep increasing globally, accelerating the market potential of CCUS.
 
A paradigm shift in the CCUS business model
 
So far, CCUS projects have used a full-chain approach, where a single entity manages the entire CCUS value chain (capture, compression, transportation, and then utilization/storage). Analysis of the future CCUS project pipeline from IDTechEx reveals that a new fragmented CCUS business model will soon emerge, with oil and gas players leveraging existing expertise and infrastructure to begin providing partial chain CO2 transport and/or storage services, simplifying project development for emitters.
 
The CCUS value chain. Source: IDTechEx
Key industrial applications for CCUS
 
Within industry, CCUS provides a retrofittable means of decarbonizing existing industrial assets. While several industries may eventually see greener solutions emerge, CCUS uses ready-now technologies and can provide emission reductions quickly as a transitionary stepping stone. For example, although renewable power generation will ultimately replace fossil-fuel-based power stations, the transition will be slow. In the meantime, CCUS can provide rapid decarbonization of existing power stations.
 
Emerging sustainable sectors such as bioenergy and blue hydrogen can also benefit from CCUS. Bioenergy is a promising candidate for decarbonizing industrial processes that rely on fossil fuels to generate high temperatures, and combining this with carbon capture offers further emission reductions. Moreover, developing a hydrogen economy is seen as a key tool for global decarbonization, and adding CCUS technologies to fossil-fuel-based hydrogen methods can kick-start hydrogen production growth and put infrastructure in the ground until greener electrolyzer technology reaches maturity. The new IDTechEx report, "Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) Markets 2025-2045: Technologies, Market Forecasts, and Players", identifies which industrial sectors hold the greatest opportunity for CCUS deployment and examines sector-specific drivers and barriers.
 
Breakdown of how the share of point-source captured CO2 by industrial sector will vary over the next twenty years. Source: IDTechEx
 
Comprehensive analysis and market forecasts
 
"Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) Markets 2025-2045: Technologies, Market Forecasts, and Players" provides a comprehensive outlook of the emerging CCUS industry and carbon markets, with an in-depth analysis of the technological, economic, regulatory, and environmental aspects that are set to shape the CCUS industry over the next 20 years. Carbon capture, carbon utilization, and carbon storage technologies are evaluated, discussing each area's latest advancements, key players, opportunities, and barriers. The report also includes a 20-year granular forecast until 2045 for CCUS CO2 capture capacity (segmented by CO2 endpoint, point-source vs DAC, and is further broken down into 5 industrial sectors), alongside exclusive analysis, over 80 interview-based company profiles, and coverage of 350+ companies.
 
Key questions answered in this report include:
  • What is CCUS, and how can it be used to address climate change?
  • Where is CCUS currently deployed?
  • Which industrial applications are most suited for CCUS technologies?
  • What is the market outlook for CCUS?
  • What are the key drivers and restraints of market growth?
  • How can carbon pricing schemes and other incentives help scale up CCUS?
  • How much does carbon capture technology cost?
  • What can carbon dioxide be used for industrially?
  • Where are the key growth opportunities for carbon dioxide utilization?
  • Who are the key players in CCUS?
  • Can CCUS help the world meet its climate ambitions?
 
To find out more about this IDTechEx report, including downloadable sample pages, please visit www.IDTechEx.com/CCUS.
 
For the full portfolio of energy and decarbonization market research available from IDTechEx, please see www.IDTechEx.com/Research/Energy.

Upcoming free-to-attend webinar

How Emerging Business Models and Technologies Will Accelerate Point-Source CCUS Deployment
 
Eve Pope, Technology Analyst at IDTechEx and author of this article, will be presenting a free-to-attend webinar on the topic on Thursday 1 August 2024 - How Emerging Business Models and Technologies Will Accelerate Point-Source CCUS Deployment.
 
This webinar will explore the CCUS business model, including methods of profiting from CCUS even within the current regulatory landscape, and how carbon markets are set to shape the future of CCUS. Analysis will include how the advent of partial chain CO2 capture, transportation, and storage service providers, alongside the development of CCUS hubs and clusters will increase CCUS deployment. Finally, an appropriate selection of carbon capture technologies will be discussed, assessing key emerging point-source capture approaches.
 
This webinar will reveal insights into the CCUS space, and its content includes:
  • Exploration of profitable CCUS business models past (coupled with enhanced oil recovery), present (heavily government subsidized), and future (carbon pricing and emerging utilization)
  • Discussion of how segmentation of the CCUS value chain will accelerate technology deployment
  • Identification of incumbent and emerging point source capture technologies and determining under which conditions a specific technology is superior
  • Contextualization of CCUS within global decarbonization progress and reaching net-zero by 2050 targets
 
We will be holding exactly the same webinar three times in one day. Please register for the session most convenient for you.
 
Click here to check timings and register for your specific time zone.
 
If you are unable to make the date, please register anyway to receive the links to the on-demand recording (available for a limited time) and webinar slides as soon as they are available.

About IDTechEx

IDTechEx provides trusted independent research on emerging technologies and their markets. Since 1999, we have been helping our clients to understand new technologies, their supply chains, market requirements, opportunities and forecasts. For more information, contact research@IDTechEx.com or visit www.IDTechEx.com.