Airborne Wind Energy 2019-2039

This report is for investors, developers, manufacturers and product and system integrators, potential operators, regulators and competitors. It covers over 40 organisations with thorough responses to developer interviews, some running to 35 detailed questions and previously unpublished presentations.

 

With the legendary IDTechEx thoroughness, the presentations at IDTechEx and other conferences on the subject and many other inputs are distilled into technology roadmaps and forecasts from a neutral point of view - there is good and bad here. Globe-trotting, multilingual IDTechEx analysts continuously research, appraise and benchmark what is going on and mistakes of the past such as over forecasting and promising to crush conventional wind power head on. Most IDTechEx analysts are PhD level and steeped in other next generation power such as wave, tidal stream and advanced solar which helps in technical interviews and reality checks.

 

Learn how AWE is a new wave, zero emission generator - mobile, no infrastructure and often capable of managing with little or no energy storage: it approaches base power if it can be made reliable. In 2018 AWE moved from mainly engineering-led projects seeking size and, on the other hand, modest sales of hobbyist systems to something in-between that is far more promising - first sales of 30-100kW systems into key verticals. Careful niche marketing of multiple benefits into farming, military, desalination and more now promises billion dollar sales. Learn how it will help to replace diesel gensets and leverage grid defection.

 

The Executive Summary and Conclusions gives definitions, players, regional differences, technology winners. Learn losers and trends, addressable markets and forecasts to 2029 with a view of 2039, for this is exponential. See it in easy-to-grasp infograms. For example, one shows the altitude vs kW output and target markets of most of the participants' systems today, where they will be in future and the considerable implications of that. Safety, wild life, real estate needs and more are analysed. The independent IDTechEx forecasts are compared with those of participants and their forecasting track record.

 

Chapter 2 Introduction puts it in context with emphasis more on needs, emerging competition from different technologies and other current issues rather than historical nostalgia. Understand the new world of off-grid, continuous zero emission power with rapid site approval and installation time but also how the new inventions do not directly compete with what went before. What are the societal and technological megatrends impacting all this?

 

Chapter 3 is the most detailed of all, with profiles and extensive responses and thorough appraisal of the 19 most interesting projects. Compare technologies, plans, impediments to progress and predictions of all of them. New infograms and photographs detail latest achievements and learning. Many choices are appraised: fit-and-forget supercapacitors or batteries, airgen or groundgen, helical trajectory or figure of eight, wind farm sold to huge companies or single systems sold to others, LIDAR, present and future materials. Autonomy is important but for how much of the market and precisely what autonomy? Based on facts and expert opinions, choose no fly zones with flights up to 2000 meters, sharing air space under air traffic control or low inefficient flights. Are two drones on a Y tether a realistic breakthrough to come or groundgen rotating reel? What are the many user propositions that can be more important than the cost of electricity produced? What other purposes can AWE systems serve for multiple paybacks? Is killing bats and birds an issue? Will lightning kill people at AWE? Will storms and weaknesses cause unacceptable down time? How should you electrically drive drone actuators and lighting? It is all here in the voices of both IDTechEx and the participants.

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