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1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS |
1.1. | Terminology in China |
1.2. | Purpose of this report and primary conclusions |
1.2.1. | Purpose and methodology |
1.2.2. | Primary conclusions |
1.3. | Control economy |
1.3.1. | How the government controls and protects industry |
1.3.2. | Subsidy changes for NEVs in 2018 |
1.3.3. | "Double credit" policy: CAFC + NEV |
1.4. | Peak in overall car sales then peak in electric car sales k globally - goodbye to many things... |
1.5. | Chinese auto companies well diversified beyond cars |
1.6. | Why China is leapfrogging to pure electric |
1.7. | Pure electric vehicle adoption: small vehicles cost effective first |
1.8. | Ambitious China: new models, acquisitions, global leadership |
1.8.1. | Examples of new models 2015-2019 |
1.8.2. | Buying brands, routes to market, innovation: example Geely |
1.8.3. | EV Sectors where China is leading in output yellow or technology green |
1.9. | Foreign participation in the Chinese market: Gao Feng view with IDTechEx comment |
1.10. | Market projections |
1.10.1. | Global EV demand $ billion 2019-2029 |
1.10.2. | New energy vehicle monthly sales 2016-2018 |
1.10.3. | 2017 Chinese NEV sales breakdown |
1.10.4. | 2018 Chinese NEV sales breakdown (Jan-Aug) |
1.10.5. | NEV sales China Nov 2017 - Nov 2018 |
1.10.6. | Pure electric vehicle sales China to 2014-2018 |
1.10.7. | Forecast numbers for selected sectors heavily involving demand in China 2019-2029 |
1.10.8. | Forecast unit value for selected sectors heavily involving demand in China 2019-2029 |
1.10.9. | Forecast market value for selected sectors heavily involving demand in China 2019-2029 |
1.11. | Bloomberg electric car forecast |
1.12. | EV charging infrastructure development in China |
1.13. | National plan for xEV battery in China |
2. | INTRODUCTION |
2.1. | Population rises, cities dominate, parking and emissions unsustainable |
2.2. | Emissions cause much more injury than previously realised |
2.3. | Pollution in China |
2.3.1. | Overview |
2.3.2. | Global warming and China |
2.3.3. | Local emissions: complex battle continues |
2.3.4. | River and sea pollution |
2.3.5. | Lead poisoning from the wrong electric vehicles |
2.3.6. | Congestion in China |
2.3.7. | Turning a blind eye to some solutions |
2.4. | Powertrain and advanced charging options |
2.4.1. | Cost projections in selected countries for various powertrains |
2.4.2. | Powertrain cost comparison in China |
2.5. | Pure electric vehicle viability vs energy storage kWh in bus/truck 2010-2040 |
2.6. | Less battery: supercapacitor, fuel cell combinations |
2.7. | Battery parameters in pure electric buses and trucks in China 2019 |
2.8. | Regulatory framework for EV battery reuse and recycling |
2.8.1. | The EV battery recycling and traceability management platform |
2.8.2. | Nalon Battery, Shenzhen |
3. | TWO AND 3 WHEEL VEHICLES, CAR-LIKE VEHICLES IN CHINA |
3.1. | Micro EVs, e-Bikes, e-Scooters, e-Motorbikes, Mobility for Disabled |
3.2. | E-Bike Classifications and Regulations |
3.3. | Statistics: electric bike collapse in China |
3.3.1. | Market drivers, sales, exports |
3.3.2. | Top electric bike manufacturers in China |
3.3.3. | Bans of e-bikes in China |
3.4. | Scenario 2019-2029 |
3.5. | Many types of micro EV and two wheeler |
3.6. | Drivers for growth in Chinese production of up-market two and three wheelers |
4. | CARS IN CHINA |
4.1. | Overview |
4.2. | Artificial demand |
4.3. | Top sales of electric cars in China by manufacturer |
4.4. | World-beating car innovation sometimes: Hanergy EIEV cars in 2020 with GaAs photovoltaics |
4.5. | Fuel cell cars |
4.6. | Tesla begins sales of cheaper Model 3 in China - February 2019 |
4.7. | Great Wall Motor ORA R1 - world's cheapest electric car? |
5. | ELECTRIC BUSES AND TRUCKS IN CHINA |
5.1. | Overview |
5.2. | Types of truck and bus |
5.3. | Types of electrified bus |
5.4. | China cost advantage |
5.5. | Key emerging technology for electric buses and trucks; top up charging |
5.6. | China's strategy for fuel cell vehicles |
5.6.1. | Emergence of fuel cell commercial vehicles |
5.6.2. | Some medium sized fleets of fuel cell vehicles deployed |
5.7. | Solar buses in China |
5.7.1. | Large buses |
5.7.2. | Energy independent electric bus: NFH-H microbus China |
5.8. | Chinese supercapacitor vehicles spreading worldwide |
5.8.1. | Battery replacement: supercapacitor viability vs capacity kWh 2010-2040 |
5.9. | Other key enabling technology |
5.10. | Heavy duty transit buses worldwide 2022 |
5.11. | Mapping: Top electric bus manufacturers and Li-ion battery pack suppliers |
5.12. | Examples of top electric buses, battery type and performance |
5.13. | One million school buses neglected |
5.13.1. | School bus innovation |
5.14. | Trucks in China |
5.14.1. | Some of the top truck manufacturers |
5.14.2. | Trucks in China |
5.14.3. | Short haul Class 8 pure electric trucks |
5.14.4. | Foreign collaboration: TEVA / JAC hybrid truck |
5.14.5. | Supercapacitor trucks |
5.14.6. | Fuel cell-battery hybrid systems |
6. | COMPANY PROFILES |
6.1. | BYD |
6.2. | CRRC |
6.3. | Yutong |
7. | AGRICULTURAL ROBOTS AND DRONES |
7.1. | Overview |
7.2. | Growing population and growing demand for food |
7.3. | Major crop yields are plateauing |
7.4. | Employment in agriculture |
7.5. | Global evolution of employment in agriculture |
7.6. | Aging farmer population |
7.7. | Trends in minimum wages globally |
7.8. | Towards ultra precision agriculture via the variable rate technology route |
7.9. | Ultra Precision farming will cause upheaval in the farming value chain |
7.10. | Agricultural robotics and ultra precision agriculture will cause upheaval in agriculture's value chain |
7.11. | Agriculture is one the last major industries to digitize: a look a investment in data analytics/ management firms in agricultural and dairy farming |
7.12. | The battle of business models between RaaS and equipment sales |
7.13. | Transition towards swarms of small, slow, cheap and unmanned robots |
7.14. | Market and technology readiness by agricultural activity |
7.15. | Technology progression towards driverless autonomous large-sized tractors |
7.16. | Technology progression towards autonomous, ultra precision de-weeding |
7.17. | Technology and market progression roadmap for robotic fresh fruit harvesting |
7.18. | 20-year market forecasts (2018-2038) for agricultural robots and drones segmented by 16 technologies |
7.19. | Drones: dominant designs begin to emerge |
7.20. | Drones: global geographical spread of companies |
7.21. | Ten-year market forecasts for agricultural drones |
Slides | 156 |
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Forecasts to | 2029 |