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1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY |
1.1. | Purpose of this report |
1.2. | Two worlds |
1.3. | Anatomy of the photovoltaic business 2020-2040 |
1.4. | Primary conclusions: photovoltaics top ten manufacturers chemistry |
1.5. | Primary conclusions: price-volume sensitivity by application |
1.6. | Primary conclusions: cost progression 1976-2040 |
1.7. | Primary conclusions: thin film PV market |
1.8. | Primary conclusions: cadmium telluride |
1.9. | Primary conclusions: geographic PV materials demand |
1.10. | CIGS PV forecasts |
1.10.1. | Global output of thin film CIGS photovoltaics $M and MWp 2000-2018 |
1.10.2. | Global market for thin film CIGS photovoltaics $ billion and GWp 2020-2040 |
1.11. | Global market for lll-V compound semiconductor PV $ billion and GWp 2020-2040 |
1.12. | Global market for perovskite PV $M |
1.13. | Global market for OPV $M |
2. | INTRODUCTION |
2.1. | Overview: amazing virtuosity |
2.1.1. | Extreme vehicles and weak light create new markets |
2.1.2. | Photovoltaic cooking without batteries |
2.2. | The energy positive house |
2.3. | Ever larger solar farms |
2.4. | Solar cars: Hyundai, Tesla |
2.5. | Winning electromagnetic frequencies |
2.6. | SOFT report on photovoltaics |
2.7. | Some of the important parameters |
2.8. | Single crystal scSi vs polycrystal pSi vs amorphous |
2.9. | Amorphous silicon |
2.10. | Big picture: wafer vs thin film photovoltaics 2020-2040 |
2.11. | PV mechanisms: status, benefits, challenges, market potential compared |
2.11.1. | Five mechanisms compared |
2.11.2. | Best research-cell efficiencies assessed 1975-2020 |
2.12. | Important PV options beyond silicon compared |
2.13. | Thirteen new photovoltaic formats creating materials markets |
2.14. | Photovoltaics progresses to become paint and user material |
2.15. | Solar piazzas, driveways, roads: Platio Hungary |
2.16. | MEMS PV |
2.17. | Transparent, indoor and underwater PV materials needed |
2.18. | Materials opportunities from integration with other harvesting materials |
2.18.1. | Triboelectric TENG with other harvesting: experimental |
2.18.2. | Integration in smart watches |
3. | INORGANIC COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTOR III-V PV MATERIAL OPPORTUNITIES |
3.1. | Overview |
3.2. | Toxicity |
3.3. | Space program: IOFFE Institute, ITMO University |
3.4. | Boeing Spectrolab |
3.5. | NREL |
3.6. | Costs and prices can be greatly reduced |
3.6.1. | Reducing lll-V cost |
3.7. | Indoors: Lightricity |
3.8. | Solar vehicle technologies compared: Sono, Lightyear, Toyota with lll-lV |
3.8.1. | Solar vehicle chemistry |
3.8.2. | Solar vehicle format |
4. | COPPER INDIUM GALLIUM DISELENIDE CIGS OPPORTUNITIES |
4.1. | Overview |
4.2. | Operating principle |
4.3. | CIGS photovoltaics processes: Sunflare, Flisom, EMPA, Manz, Solar Frontier |
4.4. | CIGS production, materials, routes to non toxic |
4.5. | Avoiding ITO |
4.6. | Ascent Solar |
4.7. | Better polymer substrate process: KIER |
4.8. | Renovagen: high power PV like a carpet roll |
4.9. | Manz |
4.10. | Flisom customizable flexible |
4.11. | Other CIGS PV in action on vehicles |
4.12. | Market leader Solar Frontier |
4.13. | Sunflare: specialist niches |
5. | ORGANIC OPV MATERIALS OPPORTUNITIES |
5.1. | Overview |
5.2. | Competitive situation |
5.3. | OPV progress to commercialisation 2000-2040 |
5.4. | Sunew |
5.5. | Heliatek |
5.6. | Opvius and Armor |
5.7. | Device architecture and Sigma Aldrich materials |
5.8. | Materials: Merck, DuPont Teijin |
5.9. | What substrates to choose? |
5.10. | Typical device architectures |
5.11. | Film morphology and degradation control for bulk heterojunction |
5.12. | R2R solution vs R2R evaporation |
5.13. | Donor polymers |
5.14. | Donor small molecules |
5.15. | Typical acceptor materials |
5.16. | Progress in solution processing |
5.17. | Progress in tandem cell evaporation |
5.18. | Solution processed 17.5% tandem OPV |
5.19. | R2R solution vs R2R evaporation |
5.20. | Major technical challenges with R2R |
5.21. | Barrier/encapsulation challenge |
5.22. | Transparent electrode |
5.23. | Big advance 2018- 2020: non-fullerene acceptors NFA |
6. | PEROVSKITE PV MATERIAL OPPORTUNITIES |
6.1. | Overview |
6.2. | Perovskite structure and device architecture |
6.3. | Working principle |
6.4. | Architectures |
6.5. | Value propositions and roadmap to 2040 |
6.6. | Perovskite materials |
6.7. | Why perovskite is so efficient |
6.8. | Efficiency versus transmission |
6.9. | Roadmap to lead-free perovskite |
6.10. | Improving life |
6.11. | Flexible perovskite solar cells |
6.12. | Deposition processes for perovskite films |
6.13. | Perovskite module cost estimation |
6.14. | Future perovskite PV system cost breakdown |
7. | DUAL TECHNOLOGY, QUANTUM DOT, WILD CARD OPPORTUNITIES |
7.1. | Dual technology photovoltaics |
7.2. | Perovskite silicon tandem: record 25.2% efficiency |
7.3. | Perovskite on CIGS |
7.4. | Quantum dot |
7.5. | Toxicity |
7.6. | Wild cards: 2D materials, nantennas |
7.6.1. | 2D materials |
7.6.2. | Rectenna nantenna-diode |
8. | CONDUCTIVE PASTES IN PHOTOVOLTAICS |
8.1. | Overview |
8.2. | Firing |
8.3. | Major cost drivers for photovoltaics |
8.4. | Reducing silver content per wafer: industry consensus |
8.5. | Expected market share: plating and screen printing of electrodes |
8.6. | Photovoltaics: roadmap towards ever thinner wafers |
8.7. | Photovoltaics market share forecast for different metallization technologies |
8.8. | Silicon inks: made redundant before seeing daylight? |
8.9. | Copper metallization in solar cells |
8.10. | Silver nanoparticles adopted for thin film photovoltaics? |
8.11. | PV and heater: digital printing comes of age? |
9. | BARRIER LAYERS FOR PHOTOVOLTAICS |
9.1. | Why barriers and encapsulation? |
9.2. | Barrier performance requirements (permeation rates) |
9.3. | Barrier requirements: towards flexibility and rollability |
9.4. | Plastic substrates are a challenge |
9.5. | The basis of the multi-layer approach |
9.6. | Status of R2R barrier films in performance, web width and readiness/scale |
9.7. | Challenges of R2R barrier film production |
9.8. | From glass to multi-layer films to multi-layer inline thin film encapsulation |
9.9. | Trends in TFE: Past, present and future of deposition |
9.10. | Benchmarking different barrier solutions |
9.11. | Evolution of production parameters to enable multi-layer barrier cost reduction |
9.12. | Flexible CIGS: market forecast sqm and value by barrier technology |
Slides | 225 |
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Forecasts to | 2040 |