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Supercapacitor Markets, Technology Roadmap, Opportunities 2021-2041
Ultracapacitor, EDLC, LIC, energy storage, battery replacement, vehicles, trains, aerospace, military, medical, marine, energy sector, microgrid, UPS, IOT, energy harvesting, electronics.
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Three breakthroughs have transformed the prospects of supercapacitors. Only the new IDTechEx report, "Supercapacitor Markets, Technology Roadmap, Opportunities 2021-2041" reveals how supercapacitors could eventually replace 10% of lithium-ion batteries and kill lead-acid. Understand commercially two market-changing supercapacitor technologies newly selling. Markets for new formats impractical with batteries.
Firstly, ones of around 50Wh have been shown to greatly enhance 48V hybrid cars so they can fit electrical accessories usually only possible on pure electric cars. Geely has made a huge commitment to install these supercapacitors. This new addressable market is multi-billion dollars yearly.
Variants lithium-ion capacitors have been sharply improved from unexciting small ones with three times the energy density to hugely attractive large ones with 15 times the energy packed in newly selling for minigrids, trains, trams, trucks, heavy off-road vehicles, uninterruptable power supplies for hospitals, data centres and much more. Here come safer urban buses charging in 20 seconds without extra charging stops, no energy storage replacement during life, no disposal issues at end of life. The third breakthrough is the plethora of new forms of supercapacitor resulting in such things as a self-healing car with supercapacitor bodywork and a wearable sensor film with supercapacitor backing that stretches to fit and can be cut to size.
"Supercapacitor Markets, Technology Roadmap, Opportunities 2021-2041" is the only post COVID-19 report on all the markets matched to the technology roadmap and uniquely forecasting 20 years ahead by eight application sectors and geography matched to future technology and market disruptions such as peak car. The Executive Summary and Conclusions is sufficient for those with limited time: its 37 pages are mostly infograms, forecasts, comparisons of sales breakthroughs and 23 primary conclusions. Understand markets with ongoing growth and those that will peak, good and bad investments. Value market by application and global region and top ten manufacturers are listed with their sales, total number of manufacturers by region and trend, impact of COVID-19 and coming impact of peak car, plus off-road, train, energy, medical and other markets.
The introduction explains supercapacitors and their derivatives with advantages and impediments forecasting changes. Tables compare emerging parameters with capacitors and batteries, where the research emphasis is poorly matched to market potential and the 20 year legacy of COVID-19 on the car market.
Chapter 3 has also never been done before. All 80 supercapacitor manufacturers are appraised, good and bad, in ten columns over 53 densely packed pages based on global visits, interviews, original photographs, and much original data. See split by country, capacitor size, technologies, time, where China is leading/ lagging progress in technology or application, what is high margin, what is commoditised.
Chapter 4 reveals "Supercapacitors in Aerospace and Military Applications" from rail guns to laser ordnance, air surveillance, deep space and aircraft. Those with large sales or breakthrough products get special attention such as Evans Capacitor with a recent $7 million order and unique virtuosity. Chapter 5 does the same for "Supercapacitors in On- and Off-road Vehicles and Rail Systems" including mining, logistics and other vehicles and cranes adopting large capacitor banks for power surges in and out. Chapter 6 covers "Supercapacitors in the Energy Sector". Latest advances revealed include supercapacitor tidal, wave and airborne wind energy harvesting, ocean platform surge absorption, large uninterruptible power supplies newly favouring supercapacitors. The report ends with three appendices giving important research chosen in the European Union, Japan and New Zealand.
Supercapacitor improvement and market roll-out is now moving fast, with major advances and disruptions coming in the next twenty years. That analysis is only available in the new IDTechEx report, "Supercapacitor Markets, Technology Roadmap, Opportunities 2021-2041".
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| 1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS |
| 1.1. | Purpose of this report |
| 1.1.1. | Context and terminology |
| 1.1.2. | Definition, lessons from the past and report scope |
| 1.2. | Primary conclusions: regional differences and typical values by application |
| 1.3. | Plenty of opportunity: some applications targeted by manufacturers by sector |
| 1.4. | Primary conclusions: Growth opportunities 2021- 2041 |
| 1.5. | Primary conclusions: Technology implications by company and territory 2021-2041 |
| 1.6. | Primary conclusions: The 60-100 Wh/kg breakthrough |
| 1.7. | Primary conclusions: Investment trends |
| 1.8. | Primary conclusions: Market discontinuities ahead and security of investment |
| 1.9. | 48V mild hybrid and 48V full hybrid cars: major opportunity |
| 1.10. | Could a supercapacitor 48V hybrid replace all hybrid cars? |
| 1.11. | Primary conclusions: Growth impediments |
| 1.12. | How to improve supercapacitor energy density |
| 1.13. | Emerging W/kg & Wh/kg |
| 1.14. | New formats |
| 1.15. | Global supercapacitor market by application $ billion 2021-2041 with 10 top suppliers' sales |
| 1.16. | Upside forecast of global supercapacitor market by application $ billion 2025-2041 |
| 1.17. | Global supercapacitor value market by territory 2021-2041 |
| 1.18. | Earliest major adopter of supercapacitor advances by territory/ application 2021-2041 |
| 1.19. | Number of supercapacitor manufacturers by territory 2020 and trend to 2041 |
| 1.20. | Global car sales 2005-2041: COVID-19 and peak car seriously impacting supercapacitors |
| 1.21. | Electric bus forecast 2020-2030 |
| 1.22. | Electric truck forecast 2020-2030 |
| 1.23. | Construction, agriculture and mining electric vehicle forecast 2020-2030 |
| 1.24. | Marine electric vehicle sales 2020-2030 |
| 1.25. | Wind power growth limited by solar success 1990-2050 |
| 1.26. | Market potential for radically new formats of supercapacitor |
| 2. | INTRODUCTION |
| 2.1. | Structure of this chapter |
| 2.2. | Supercapacitor performance basics |
| 2.2.1. | Capacitor vs battery |
| 2.2.2. | What is a supercapacitor? |
| 2.2.3. | Supercapacitor key benefits and market positioning |
| 2.2.4. | 24 parameters compared |
| 2.2.5. | Charge - discharge compared |
| 2.2.6. | Research emphasis wrong |
| 2.3. | Technology roadmap 2020-2040 |
| 2.4. | Supercapacitor technical basics |
| 2.4.1. | Definition and positioning |
| 2.4.2. | Device active structures and gaps in the market |
| 2.4.3. | Overall materials choices |
| 2.4.4. | Voltage vs capacitance offered |
| 2.4.5. | Emerging W/kg vs Wh/kg |
| 2.4.6. | The frequency compromise |
| 2.4.7. | Improvements that will create large new markets 2020-2040 |
| 2.4.8. | Primary conclusions |
| 2.4.9. | Commercially significant research |
| 2.4.10. | Why biggest supercapacitor orders were placed/will be placed |
| 2.4.11. | Most promising routes to most important desired improvements |
| 2.4.12. | Technology roadmap 2020-2040 |
| 2.5. | Major impact from COVID-19 then peak car |
| 3. | SUPERCAPACITOR MANUFACTURERS: 81 APPRAISED IN 54 PAGES, 10 COLUMNS |
| 3.1. | Explanation of our 10 assessment columns |
| 4. | SUPERCAPACITORS IN AEROSPACE AND MILITARY APPLICATIONS |
| 4.1. | Back up, robotics, fuzes etc. |
| 4.2. | Satellites |
| 4.3. | Surveillance, radar, laser, missiles, fire controls |
| 4.4. | Deep space missions |
| 4.5. | US Army railgun |
| 5. | SUPERCAPACITORS IN ON- AND OFF-ROAD VEHICLES AND RAIL SYSTEMS |
| 5.1. | Overview |
| 5.2. | Supercapacitors in the automotive sector |
| 5.2.1. | Important examples |
| 5.2.2. | Supercapacitors in the automotive sector: examples |
| 5.3. | Powertrain options |
| 5.4. | Voltage increase |
| 5.5. | Start-stop systems - micro hybrids |
| 5.5.1. | Basic principles |
| 5.5.2. | Continental - a success story |
| 5.6. | Mild hybrids: energy recovery and peak shaving |
| 5.6.1. | Supercapacitors for mild hybrid cars and trucks: energy recovery and peak shaving |
| 5.7. | Campers |
| 5.8. | Power at the point of demand |
| 5.9. | Electronic Controlled Brake |
| 5.10. | Regeneration Mazda Japan |
| 5.11. | Battery replacement in full hybrid: Toyota Yaris Hybrid-R |
| 5.12. | Supercapacitors in the future - Structural Energy Storage |
| 5.13. | Fast charging shuttle- ZapGo |
| 5.14. | Replacing batteries on fuel cells for fast charge/ discharge |
| 5.15. | Buses: primary traction, start and chargers |
| 5.15.1. | Fast charge: ABB TOSA bus 600kW |
| 5.15.2. | Hybrid buses in China |
| 5.15.3. | Hybrid buses in Germany |
| 5.15.4. | Hybrid buses in the US |
| 5.16. | Truck cold starter Maxwell Technologies |
| 5.17. | Supercapacitor powered buses 2006-2030 |
| 5.17.1. | Bulgaria and Serbia: Chariot Motors |
| 5.17.2. | Sinautec |
| 5.17.3. | Higer |
| 5.17.4. | CRRC |
| 5.18. | Racing cars |
| 5.18.1. | Renault |
| 5.18.2. | Toyota |
| 5.19. | Train and tram regeneration |
| 5.19.1. | Bombardier, Siemens, Cegelec, Greentech light rail and tram |
| 5.19.2. | Light rail: regen supercapacitors on train or trackside |
| 5.19.3. | Wayside Rail HESS: Frequency regulation, energy efficiency |
| 5.20. | Marine |
| 5.21. | Vehicles for construction, agriculture, mining, forestry, logistics |
| 5.22. | Forestry |
| 5.23. | Logistics |
| 5.24. | Lifting: cranes and forklifts |
| 5.25. | Supercapacitors in port cranes |
| 6. | SUPERCAPACITORS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR |
| 6.1. | Overview |
| 6.2. | New generation wave power and wave heave compensation |
| 6.3. | New generation tidal power |
| 6.4. | Wind power |
| 6.4.1. | Wind turbine protection |
| 6.4.2. | Airborne Wind Energy AWE |
| 6.5. | Utility energy storage and large UPS |
| 6.6. | The role of supercapacitors in the grid |
| 6.6.1. | Maxwell insight |
| 6.6.2. | Hybrid electric energy storage HEES: benefits |
| 6.6.3. | Purdue and Wisconsin Universities insight |
| 6.6.4. | Solid Oxide Electrolyser Cell SOEC fuel cell HEES in grid |
| 6.6.5. | Example: Duke Energy Rankin PV intermittency smoothing + load shifting |
| 6.6.6. | Example: smoothing wind farm power output |
| 6.6.7. | Freqcon - utility-scale supercapacitors |
| 6.7. | Microgrids |
| 6.7.1. | Example: Ireland microgrid test bed |
| 6.7.2. | Borkum Municipality with a flagship project for energy storage |
| 7. | VEHICLE BODYWORK, TIRES AND CABLES |
| 7.1. | Load-bearing structural supercapacitor materials: Lamborghini MIT |
| 7.2. | Imperial College "Massless energy" car body |
| 7.3. | ZapGo vehicle bodywork |
| 7.4. | Cars: Queensland University of Technology, Rice University, TU Dublin |
| 7.5. | Cars: Vanderbilt University USA |
| 7.6. | Cables as supercapacitors |
| 8. | FLEXIBLE, TRANSPARENT, WEARABLE, STRETCHABLE, PAPER, MICRO |
| 8.1. | Flexible, transparent |
| 8.2. | Tubular flexible wearable |
| 8.3. | Flexible example: Institute of Nano Science and Technology (INST), Mohali, India |
| 8.4. | Fabric |
| 8.5. | Wearable fiber |
| 8.6. | Stretchable wearable |
| 8.7. | Example: Nanyang TU Singapore |
| 8.8. | Paper supercapacitors |
| 8.9. | Flexible printed circuits |
| 8.10. | Micro-supercapacitors |
| 8.11. | Supercapacitor bricks |
| 9. | SUPERCAPACITORS IN NEW ELECTRONICS AND SMALL ELECTRICS |
| 9.1. | Overview |
| 9.2. | Trend from disposable to rechargeable batteries then supercapacitors 2014-2021 |
| 9.3. | LED drivers |
| 9.4. | Smartphone stylus pen |
| 9.5. | Uninterrupted power supplies |
| 9.6. | The IOT opportunity |
| 10. | APPENDIX 1 - DOUBLING OF SUPERCAPACITORS ENERGY AND POWER DENSITY: ANWENDERFORUM PASSIVE BAUELEMENTE JULY 1-2, 2020 |
| 11. | APPENDIX 2 - RESEARCH AT UNIVERSITY OF WAIKATO NEW ZEALAND |
| 12. | APPENDIX 3 - NIPPON CHEMI-CON CORPORATION PRESENTATION |
Greatly improved supercapacitors will be multi-billion dollar business, taking 10% of battery sales
Report Statistics
| Slides | 339 |
|---|---|
| Forecasts to | 2041 |
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