Automotive & Electric Vehicles Report

In 2029, the market for EV motors will surpass $100bn and have many premium pricing opportunities

Electric Motors for Electric Vehicles: Land, Water, Air 2019-2029

Brand new for January 2019

 
Table of Contents
1.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1.Purpose and scope of this report
1.1.1.General
1.1.2.Key market features
1.1.3.Timeline electric land vehicles 2019-2030
1.1.4.Timeline electric aircraft 2019-2030: some indicative events
1.1.5.Traction machine-with-controller value market: new vehicles 2029 % by vehicle application
1.1.6.Where the profit will lie: Traction machine value gross margin 2029 % of total market gross margin earned
1.2.Market dynamics and 2019-2029 share by type and application
1.3.Electric vehicles compared to non-electric vehicles
1.4.Traction machine types used to propel electric vehicles land, water, air
1.4.1.Overview
1.4.2.Patent analysis: switched reluctance motors
1.4.3.Patent analysis: axial flux motors
1.5.Examples of machine technologies in action
1.5.1.Overview
1.5.2.Traction motor opportunities off road, often more profitable, by power kW
1.6.Nine traction machine trends 2019-2029
1.6.1.Multifunction and integration
1.6.2.Proliferation
1.6.3.Product mix
1.6.4.Vertical integration and in-wheel motors
1.6.5.Power acceptance and power delivery increase
1.6.6.Voltage increase
1.6.7.Weight decrease and less metal, more electronics in the motor + controller
1.6.8.Less cooling
1.6.9.Permanent magnets more popular but probably eventually unnecessary
1.7.But it is not that simple!
1.7.1.Time
1.7.2.Company experience and preferences
1.8.Market values and types used by country
1.8.1.China
1.8.2.Europe
1.8.3.USA
1.8.4.Switched reluctance rapidly gains share
1.9.Global shares by technology
1.9.1.Motor technologies: 2017 global EV car market shares
1.9.2.Motor technologies: 2018 global EV market shares
1.10.Machine technology mix by vehicle type
1.10.1.Pure electric cars 2013-2029
1.10.2.Plug-in hybrid cars 2013-2029
1.10.3.Non-plug-in hybrid cars 2013-2029
1.10.4.48V mild hybrid cars 2013-2029
1.10.5.e-buses 2013-2029
1.10.6.Electric forklifts 2013-2029
1.10.7.Manned multicopters and derivatives 2013-2029
1.10.8.Two wheel scooters 2013-2029
1.10.9.Golf cars 2013-2029
1.10.10.Mobility for disabled 2017-2029
1.10.11.Machine technologies: global share in battery electric lawnmowers 2017-2029
1.10.12.Drones, consumer and prosumer 2013-2029
1.11.Machine market value $bn, kW 2013-2029
1.11.1.Pure electric cars
1.11.2.Plug-in hybrid cars
1.11.3.Non-plug-in hybrid electric cars
1.11.4.48V mild hybrid cars
1.11.5.Electric buses
1.11.6.Electric forklifts
1.11.7.Consumer and prosumer drones
1.11.8.Toy drones
1.11.9.Manned multicopters and derivatives
1.11.10.Electric scooters
1.11.11.Electric motorbikes
1.11.12.Battery electric lawn mower, golf car, disabled mobility
1.12.Induction motor breakthrough?
2.INTRODUCTION
2.1.Past, present and future
2.1.1.Overview
2.1.2.Global car, bus and truck making in a race for pure electric
2.1.3.Here comes China: buying brands, routes to market and strongly innovating
2.1.4.Chinese NEV sales breakdown Jan-Aug 2018
2.1.5.Electric bikes in China: the party is over
2.2.Leaders and market drivers by applicational sector
2.3.Powertrain evolution
2.4.Pure electric vehicle viability: small vehicles first
2.5.League table of EV manufacturers 2018 $ billion
2.6.EV manufacturer numbers by sector showing where most are profitable
2.7.Technology choices for traction e-machines
2.7.1.Overview
2.7.2.Traction machine types used to propel electric vehicles land, water, air
2.7.3.Avoiding rare earths: Honda PM machines, other routes
2.8.Acquisitions increase: Tier One suppliers gain SR, 48VMH, direct drives
2.8.1.Nidec-SR Drives etc.,
2.8.2.Federal Mogul-CPT
2.8.3.Borg Warner-Remy, Sevcon
2.8.4.Dana Corporation - TM4
2.9.How to design a traction machine
2.9.1.Advice from Tesla
2.9.2.Some generalities: conductor format, optimisation, integration
2.9.3.Case study: Visedo synchronous reluctance assistant
2.9.4.Case study: Tesla 3 Permanent Magnet Switched Reluctance Motor
2.9.5.Case study: Advanced Electric Machines SR devices
2.9.6.New materials in switched reluctance EV motor
2.10.Traction machine needs by powertrain type
2.10.1.Comparison
2.10.2.Motor-generator machine duty cycle, type, function
2.10.3.Motor-generator REM improvements needed, number of manufacturers/ developers
3.VOLTAGE TRENDS, TECHNOLOGY IMPLICATIONS, HUGE 48V MH OPPORTUNITY
3.1.Current situation
3.2.Car parameters by category
3.3."48V is the new 12V"
3.4.Over 50 million 48V mild hybrids ahead
3.4.1.How to make a 48V mild hybrid in latest form for a car
3.4.2.Evolution from stop-start to 48VMH
3.4.3.Operating modes, design priorities
3.4.4.Technology chosen: every option offered
3.4.5.Key components of 48V mild hybrid system: Audi
3.4.6.Mercedes went straight to integrated starter generator ISG
3.4.7.Delphi ISG gives second generation
3.4.8.Some 48V mild hybrid models promised by year
3.4.9.Gen 1 & 2 roadmap
3.4.10.Gen 3 & 4 roadmap
3.4.11.Manufacturer thrust and demand by region
3.4.12.Will 48V MH motor generators appear in trucks?
3.4.13.IDTechEx technology timeline - 48V and competitive market and system developments
4.CHASING HIGH POWER TO WEIGHT RATIO
4.1.Chasing high power to weight ratio: history
4.2.Siemens, ELAPHE, YASA
4.2.1.AVID EVO claim 10 kW/kg: lands $70 million of orders
4.2.2.Equipmake reconfigured PM motor
4.2.3.Magnax axial flux
5.TREND TO MULTIPLE TRACTION MACHINES IN VEHICLES
5.1.Power and profusion of electric motors in various electric vehicle applications
5.2.Examples of in-wheel and in-transmission multiple motors
5.3.Schaeffler: 48V MH with electric modes, e-axles
5.4.Xtrac EV transmission: dual motors torque vectoring
5.5.Examples of manned electric aircraft with multiple drive motors
5.6.No differential or prop shaft
5.7.Innovative two motor formats: Mercedes Vito minibus
5.8.In wheel motors vs near wheel motors
6.MOTOR CONTROL TECHNOLOGY
6.1.Overview
6.2.Examples
6.3.Proliferation leads to simplification attempts
6.4.Cost and integration issues
6.5.Future 48V mild hybrid motor controllers
7.DIFFERENT TRACTION MOTOR TECHNOLOGIES IN ACTION
7.1.Analysis of electric motor types in 48V mild hybrid cars
7.2.Analysis of electric motor types in electric buses
7.3.Off-road industrial EVs in action
7.3.1.Needs are different from on-road
7.3.2.Asynchronous/ induction in mining vehicles
7.3.3.Analysis of electric motor types in electric forklifts
7.4.Electric aircraft in action
7.4.1.Analysis of electric motor types in electric aircraft
7.4.2.Drone electric motor type vs. price
7.4.3.Coreless motors used
8.ELECTRIC MOTORS FOR ELECTRIC VEHICLES DIRECTORY OF 192 COMPANIES

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