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Hybrid And Pure Electric Cars 2011-2021

Electric vehicles - on and off road cars

Extensively updated in 2011
"Electric vehicles will penetrate the market rapidly to constitute 35% of the cars made in 2025"
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Description

Electric vehicles just became exciting. For 111 years, electric cars that rely only on a battery - "pure EVs" - have had a range of only 30-50 miles and the humble golf car has been the only type selling in hundreds of thousands every year. However, huge changes have been announced in 2009/10. Electric vehicles will penetrate the market rapidly to constitute 35% of the cars made in 2025 - probably 25% hybrids, 10% pure EV but pure EV may be winning by then. Any motor manufacturer without a compelling line up of electric vehicles is signing its death warrant.
 
These changes include:
 
  • Launch of cars that have a range of 250 miles or more in pure electric mode, including a pure EV family car made in China and plug in hybrid gasoline-electric and diesel-electric cars.
  • Launch of the Toyota Prius plug in hybrid that is very attractive to over one million purchasers of the existing Prius mild hybrid and millions of others. 95% of Prius owners would buy another.
  • First full production of the beautiful Tesla pure EV luxury sports car and other sports cars which silently outperform conventional equivalents.
  • Large initial orders show that this can be a multibillion dollar sector of the EV car business, particularly if we include new luxury hybrids such as the gorgeous Fiskar Karma and what may result from Ferrari, Porsche and others racing to catch up.
  • Lithium electric car batteries from companies such as LGChem are claimed to last at least ten years, not the more usual three years. This hugely improves the economics of all EVs with range acceptable to mainstream purchasers.
  • President Obama's Stimulus Bill granted $14.4 billion for hybrids and huge sums have been allotted by other governments across the world to develop and subsidise use of EV cars to save the planet and the car industry and provide independence from dwindling oil reserves.
 
Within the decade, it will be possible for some suppliers to offer hybrid cars and no price premium to conventional cars in the way that the Japanese took the Western car market by storm 20 years ago by offering excellent vehicles with most accessories thrown in free. There would then be no strong reason why anyone would want the conventional alternative.
 
This unique report takes a detailed look at the market size from 2011-2021 and the government support, technology and new model launches that will get it there. It assesses work on energy harvesting in vehicles from light, heat and shock absorbers, new battery technologies, fuel cells, flywheels and other advances and clarifies which really matter.
 
Here you can also learn which countries and companies have the most impressive and why.
The only detailed and up to date critical analysis of both pure and hybrid EV cars worldwide
Entirely researched in 2009 and 2010 and extensively updated in 2011, this report gives the only detailed and up to date critical analysis of both pure and hybrid EV cars worldwide. With over 245 pages and over 175 figures and tables including many new and detailed summaries and forecasts, it gives the future in the context of the past including the mistakes and inspired moves for over 100 years. It looks closely at the forceful new market drivers such as peak oil and government subsidies but it does not dwell on the well understood global warming debate that is also now driving things forward. Instead, it provides essential data useful to all investors, manufacturers, developers, component suppliers, marketing outlets, legislators and those planning financial support. Which will be the prosperous niches? What is the neglected part of leader Toyota's multibillion dollar business in EVs? Where is the action globally? Why is the geometry of the EV about to change? What about supercapacitors, supercabatteries, zinc air batteries and even transparent solar cells fixed over the windows? It is all here, provided by a global team of technical experts who have been tracking this industry for ten years and writing highly acclaimed forecasts about it.
Free Electric Vehicle Encyclopedia when you purchase this report
Electric Vehicle experts IDTechEx have encapsulated over ten years of research and analysis into an easy to digest electric vehicle encyclopedia. All the technologies are covered and supported with over 100 tables and illustrations and over 200 acronyms and terms are explained. This encyclopedia, worth $1,500, is given as a free PDF download when you buy this report.
Additional benefits
All report purchases include one hour free consulting with a report author from IDTechEx, by email or telephone. This needs to be used within three months of purchasing the report.
Further information
If you have any questions about this report, please do not hesitate to contact Raoul raoul@IDTechEx.com or call + 1 617 577 7890 (US).
Table of Contents
1.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1.The market for electric cars
1.2.Hybrid vs pure EV forecasts
1.3.Will cars be plugged in during a journey?
1.4.Geographical demand
1.5.Progress of the market leader Toyota
1.6.Golf cars will have little growth.
1.7.Technical progress
2.INTRODUCTION
2.1.The world wakes up to global warming and oil running out.
2.2.Danger signs
2.3.Government support
2.4.Reluctant Australia
2.5.Formidable initiatives in the USA
2.6.Europe the laggard
2.6.1.Impressive efforts in Germany
2.7.Formidable East Asia
2.8.Rapid increase in number of manufacturers
2.9.Providing charging infrastructure
2.9.1.Recharging points
2.9.2.Battery changing points
2.9.3.Can the grid cope?
3.PURE ELECTRIC CARS
3.1.The arguments against
3.2.Déjà Vu
3.3.Examples of pure EV cars
3.3.1.Nissan - most ambitious of all?
3.3.2.Here come the Chinese - BYD and Brilliance
3.3.3.High performance pure EVs - Tesla
3.3.4.Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar
3.3.5.Heuliez Friendly
3.3.6.REVA
3.3.7.Coda - Hafei Saibao, China
3.3.8.ElBil Norge Buddy
3.3.9.Toyota
3.3.10.Detroit Electric
3.3.11.Tara Tiny
3.3.12.Aixam
3.3.13.Zap Alias
3.3.14.Mitsubishi
3.3.15.Golf EVs
4.HYBRID CARS
4.1.Construction and advantages of hybrids
4.2.Evolution
4.3.Chevrolet Volt
4.4.Bright Automotive SUV
4.5.Market drivers
4.5.1.Leading indicators
4.6.History of hybrids and planned models to 2013
5.BATTERIES AND SUPERCABATTERIES FOR CARS
5.1.What is a battery?
5.1.1.Battery history
5.1.2.Analogy to a container of liquid
5.2.Construction of a battery
5.3.Many shapes of battery
5.4.Requirements
5.5.What is on offer?
5.6.Energy density comparisons
5.7.Safety
5.8.Where do supercabatteries fit in?
5.9.Limitations of energy storage devices
5.10.Prospect of radically different batteries and capacitors
5.11.Threat to lithium prices?
6.ENERGY HARVESTING FOR CARS
6.1.Definition
6.2.Choices of harvesting
6.3.Opportunities for energy harvesting in cars
6.4.Fiat Phylla
6.5.Solar Prius
6.6.Combined flexible layers
6.7.Pure EV motive power
6.8.Power from bumps in the road
6.9.Regenerative braking
6.10.Electricity from engine and exhaust heat
6.11.Vibration harvesting
6.12.Cruise car solar golf cars
7.ELECTRIC MOTORS FOR MOTIVE POWER IN CARS
7.2.Mitsubishi i-MiEV
7.3.Motor position
7.3.1.Electric corner modules (ECMs)
7.3.2.SIM Drive in wheel traction
8.FUEL CELLS AND FLYWHEELS
8.1.Fuel cells
8.1.1.Definition and description
8.1.2.Current situation
8.1.3.Potential benefits
8.1.4.Types of fuel cell
8.2.New forms of fuel cell
8.2.1.Microbial fuel cells
8.2.2.Lightweight hydrogen generating fuel cell
8.2.3.Biomimetic approach with MIT fuel cell
8.3.Flywheels
9.MARKET FORECASTS
9.1.Car production
9.2.Cars and crude oil
9.2.2.Technical progress
9.3.Hybrid cars
9.3.1.History of hybrid car sales
9.4.Forecasts 2010-2020
9.5.Pure EVs
9.5.1.Total market
9.5.2.Will sales of pure electric cars overtake hybrids?
9.5.3.Market excluding golf cars
9.5.4.Golf cars
9.5.5.Fuel cell EVs
9.6.Battery trends
10.GAS STATIONS BY COUNTRY
10.1.What level of recharging infrastructure is needed?
APPENDIX 1: GLOSSARY
APPENDIX 2: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY
TABLES
1.1.Global sales of electric cars number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2011-2021, rounded
1.2.Value of the hybrid, pure electric and total electric car market in billions of dollars 2010-2020
1.3.Global electric car sales in thousands for 2011 and 2012 by manufacturer including neighbourhood electric vehicles NEV but not golf cars.
1.4.Toyota Prius sales 1997-2010 by region in thousands
1.5.Global sales of EV cars, including hybrids, pure EVs (including golf cars), total in thousands of unites and ones that can be plugged in 2010-2020
1.6.IDTechEx projection for global hybrid car sales by territory 2010-2020 in units and % rounded
1.7.Number sold by market leader Toyota of all hybrids globally, market share and market drivers
1.8.Global sales of electric golf cars in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded.
1.9.IDTechEx projections for global hybrid car sales units as % of total car sales 2009-2025
1.10.Approximate number of new hybrid car models planned by year 2000 to 2013
1.11.Global number of on-road plug in cars - hybrid and pure electric - and number routinely plugged in away from home in thousands 2010-2020
1.12.Crude oil prices 2003-2008 $/barrel
1.13.Global oil reserves, production and life
2.1.European Green Car Initiative approximate R&D budget 2010 to 2013 in millions of Euros
2.2.Global stimulus for fuel efficient cars in 2009
2.3.80 examples of manufacturers and intending manufacturers of EV cars
3.1.15 examples of golf EV manufacturers
4.1.Major market drivers for growth in hybrid sales
4.2.Objectives of the Ricardo QinetiQ diesel hybrid vs the Prius gasoline hybrid
4.3.Toyota Prius Sales by region 1997-2008 in thousands of units
4.4.Hybrid electric vehicles and associated events 1876-2011
5.1.The rising percentage of cost that is attributable to electronics in different types of vehicle
5.2.Important milestones in battery and capacitor history
5.3.Comparison of lead acid and lithium-ion batteries for motive power in cars
5.4.Comparison of some options for large rechargeable lithium-ion batteries
5.5.Examples of energy density figures for batteries, supercapacitors and other energy sources
5.6.Battery characteristics compared
5.7.Advantages and disadvantages of some options for supplying electricity to small devices
6.1.Potential for improving energy harvesting efficiency
6.2.Main photovoltaic options compared
6.3.IDTechEx view of photovoltaic evolution on pure electric vehicles
7.2.Comparison of ac and dc electric motors for traction
8.1.Challenges faced in developing satisfactory fuel cells for vehicles
8.2.Types of fuel cell and characteristics
9.1.Crude oil prices 2003-2008 $/barrel
9.2.Global oil reserves, production and life
9.3.Global sales of EV cars, including hybrids, pure EVs (including golf cars), total in thousands of units and ones that can be plugged in 2010-2020
9.4.Toyota Prius Sales by region 1997-2008 in thousands of units
9.5.Prius US sales in units 2000-2008
9.6.Estimates for historical global hybrid car sales in units by territory with % of whole.
9.7.Prius US sales in number and percent of US hybrid market
9.8.IDTechEx projection for global hybrid car sales by territory 2010-2020 in units and %
9.9.Number sold by market leader Toyota of all hybrids globally, market share and market drivers
9.10.IDTechEx projections for global hybrid car sales units as % of total car sales 2009-2025
9.11.Approximate number of hybrid models actual and planned by year 2000 to 2013
9.12.6 Global sales of electric golf cars in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded
9.13.Fuel cell EVs compared with battery pure EVs and ICE hybrids
10.1.Number of gas stations ("service stations") by region in 2010
FIGURES
1.1.Global sales of electric cars number thousands, 2011-2021, rounded
1.2.Global sales of electric cars ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars, 2011-2021, rounded
1.3.Global sales of electric cars total value in billions of dollars 2011-2021, rounded
1.4.Global pure electric car sales 2009-2020 excluding golf cars and cumulative number of new models since 2000
1.5.IDTechEx projection for global hybrid car sales by territory 2010-2020 in units and %
1.6.Number sold by market leader Toyota of all hybrids globally
1.7.Global pure EV golf car sales 2010-2020
1.8.Cumulative number of hybrid car models and projected number of hybrid sales to 2020
1.9.Rough count of new models of hybrid car from 2009-2013
1.10.The dominant countries launching hybrid models from 2009-2013
1.11.Global number of on-road plug in cars - hybrid and pure electric - and number routinely plugged in away from home in thousands 2010-2020
1.12.Clockwise from top left: BYD E6 from China, Tesla, Fisker Karma and Prius
1.13.Oil reserve life in years by country
1.14.US oil production and imports
2.1.Geographical distribution of 80 companies making or intending to make electric cars
2.2.GE WattStation
3.1.Trouvé pure EV car in 1881
3.2.Red Bug pure EV in 1930
3.3.Sinclair C5
3.4.Aptera
3.5.Gemcars
3.6.The BYD E6 pure EV car
3.7.Tesla Motors Roadster pure EV performance car
3.8.Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar showing solar panels on roof and hood
3.9.Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar cross section
3.10.Heuliez Friendly
3.11.REVA pure EV car
3.12.The all-electric Coda car, made in China,
3.13.Buddy pure EV
3.14.Planned Toyota pure EV city car.
3.15.Tara Tiny
3.16.Aixam Mega City
3.17.ZAP Alias pure EV three wheeler
3.18.Mitsubishi pure EV car
3.19.Tonaro from China
3.20.Suzhou Eagle two and four seat golf cars from China
3.21.Yongkang Fourstar from China
3.22.Shadong Wuzheng golf cars
4.1.Evolution of EV design for on-road and many non-road vehicles
4.2.Chevrolet Volt internal structure
4.3.Chevrolet Volt drive train
4.4.Chevrolet Volt battery, generator and drive unit positioning
4.5.Average annual fuel consumption in US gallons by vehicle type
4.6.Toyota Prius Sales by region 1997-2008 in thousands of units
5.1.Construction of a battery cell
5.2.MEMS compared with a dust mite less than one millimetre long
5.3.Rapid progress in the capabilities of small electronic devices and their photovoltaic energy harvesting contrasted with more modest progress in improving the batteries they employ
5.4.Power in use vs duty cycle for portable and mobile devices showing zones of use of single use vs rechargeable batteries
5.5.Power requirements of small electronic products including Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN) and GSM mobile phones and the types of battery employed
5.6.Volumetric vs gravimetric energy density of batteries used in vehicles.
5.7.Subaru lithium ion manganese battery
5.8.Mitsubishi lithium-ion batteries for cars
5.9.Lightning electric car
5.10.ReVolt comparison of battery parameters with zinc air
5.11.Supercapacitor and supercabattery compared
5.12.Types of ancillary electrical equipment being improved to serve small devices
5.13.Transparent flexible battery
5.14.Bolivian salt flats
5.15.Chevrolet Volt layout
5.16.Chevrolet Volt lithium-ion battery
5.17.Smart EV car layout
6.1.Where energy harvesting fits into green energy
6.2.Focus of energy harvesting development in the value chain
6.3.Examples of energy harvesting technologies, developers and manufacturers
6.4.Primary energy harvesting choices by size and efficiency
6.5.Main energy harvesting technologies are compared by life and cost per watt
6.6.Possible sites for sensors with energy harvesting in cars
6.7.German solar electric car from 1982 that achieved 15 mph.
6.8.Lancia car using solar energy in 1997
6.9.Fiat Phylla running laboratory and enabling technologies.
6.10.Structure of Fiat mobile laboratory.
6.11.Phylla drive train
6.12.Self sufficient accessory cluster
6.13.Thin film photovoltaic market share 2009-2012
6.14.Toyota Prius solar roof option.
6.15.Latest MIT solar car
6.16.Honda dream, the winning car in the 1996 World Solar Challenge. The custom made cells for the car are greater than 20% efficient.
6.17.GenShock prototype
6.18.Ronggui Yang.
6.19.Perpetuum electrodynamic vibration harvester with its supercapacitors.
6.20.Solar powered Cruise car
7.1.Ford Transit pure EV
7.2.Mitsubishi i-MiEV
7.3.In wheel system of Mitsubishi
7.4.A construction of in-wheel motor
7.5.Ford Siemens EV motor for central operation
7.6.Hybrid vehicle electric motor
7.7.SIM Drive in wheel traction
8.1.MIT Biomimetic fuel cell
8.2.Volvo Flywheel KERS components
8.3.Volvo flywheel KERS system layout
8.4.Magneto Marelli electrical KERS Motor Generator Unit
8.5.The Marelli system
8.6.Williams Formula One KERS flywheel
9.1.Global bicycle and car production millions
9.2.US oil production and imports
9.3.Global sales of EV cars, hybrids, pure EVs and total in numbers 2010-2020
9.4.HEV battery sales by type 2000-2006
9.5.Toyota Prius Sales by region 1997-2008 in thousands of units
9.6.US hybrid sales by month showing sharp drop in 2008 and early 2009
9.7.Estimates for historical global hybrid car sales in units by territory with % of whole
9.8.Prius US sales in number and percent of US hybrid market
9.9.Hybrid vehicle sales by manufacturer 2000-2006
9.10.Reported hybrid vehicle sales in the USA as a percentage of total new light vehicle sales in March 2009
9.11.Global hybrid vehicle market by country % 2007
9.12.Hybrid vehicle purchases by state in the USA in units 2007
9.13.US hybrid vehicle sales by manufacturer percentage 2007
9.14.Hybrid vehicle sales by model
9.15.2006 forecast of total car sales by region 2006/2011 and 2016 in millions of units
9.16.IDTechEx projection for global hybrid car sales by territory 2010-2020 in units and %.
9.17.Number sold by market leader Toyota of all hybrids globally and market drivers
9.18.IDTechEx projections for global hybrid car sales units as % of total car sales
9.19.Total sales and hybrids
9.20.Global pure EV golf car sales 2010-2020
9.21.Rechargeable battery sales by type 1972-2010

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Report Statistics

-Pages228
-Tables47
-Figures115
-Forecasts to2021
-Last updateAug 2011
 

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