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| 1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS |
| 1.1. | The market for electric cars |
| 1.1. | Global sales of electric cars number thousands, 2011-2021, rounded |
| 1.1. | Global sales of electric cars number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2011-2021, rounded |
| 1.2. | Value of the hybrid, pure electric and total electric car market in billions of dollars 2010-2020 |
| 1.2. | Global sales of electric cars ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars, 2011-2021, rounded |
| 1.2. | Hybrid vs pure EV forecasts |
| 1.3. | Will cars be plugged in during a journey? |
| 1.3. | Global sales of electric cars total value in billions of dollars 2011-2021, rounded |
| 1.3. | Global electric car sales in thousands for 2011 and 2012 by manufacturer including neighbourhood electric vehicles NEV but not golf cars. |
| 1.4. | Toyota Prius sales 1997-2010 by region in thousands |
| 1.4. | Global pure electric car sales 2009-2020 excluding golf cars and cumulative number of new models since 2000 |
| 1.4. | Geographical demand |
| 1.5. | Progress of the market leader Toyota |
| 1.5. | IDTechEx projection for global hybrid car sales by territory 2010-2020 in units and % |
| 1.5. | Global sales of EV cars, including hybrids, pure EVs (including golf cars), total in thousands of unites and ones that can be plugged in 2010-2020 |
| 1.6. | IDTechEx projection for global hybrid car sales by territory 2010-2020 in units and % rounded |
| 1.6. | Number sold by market leader Toyota of all hybrids globally |
| 1.6. | Golf cars will have little growth. |
| 1.7. | Technical progress |
| 1.7. | Global pure EV golf car sales 2010-2020 |
| 1.7. | Number sold by market leader Toyota of all hybrids globally, market share and market drivers |
| 1.8. | Global sales of electric golf cars in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded. |
| 1.8. | Cumulative number of hybrid car models and projected number of hybrid sales to 2020 |
| 1.9. | Rough count of new models of hybrid car from 2009-2013 |
| 1.9. | IDTechEx projections for global hybrid car sales units as % of total car sales 2009-2025 |
| 1.10. | Approximate number of new hybrid car models planned by year 2000 to 2013 |
| 1.10. | The dominant countries launching hybrid models from 2009-2013 |
| 1.11. | Global number of on-road plug in cars - hybrid and pure electric - and number routinely plugged in away from home in thousands 2010-2020 |
| 1.11. | Global number of on-road plug in cars - hybrid and pure electric - and number routinely plugged in away from home in thousands 2010-2020 |
| 1.12. | Crude oil prices 2003-2008 $/barrel |
| 1.12. | Clockwise from top left: BYD E6 from China, Tesla, Fisker Karma and Prius |
| 1.13. | Oil reserve life in years by country |
| 1.13. | Global oil reserves, production and life |
| 1.14. | US oil production and imports |
| 2. | INTRODUCTION |
| 2.1. | The world wakes up to global warming and oil running out. |
| 2.1. | Geographical distribution of 80 companies making or intending to make electric cars |
| 2.1. | European Green Car Initiative approximate R&D budget 2010 to 2013 in millions of Euros |
| 2.2. | Global stimulus for fuel efficient cars in 2009 |
| 2.2. | GE WattStation |
| 2.2. | Danger signs |
| 2.3. | Government support |
| 2.3. | 80 examples of manufacturers and intending manufacturers of EV cars |
| 2.4. | Reluctant Australia |
| 2.5. | Formidable initiatives in the USA |
| 2.6. | Europe the laggard |
| 2.6.1. | Impressive efforts in Germany |
| 2.7. | Formidable East Asia |
| 2.8. | Rapid increase in number of manufacturers |
| 2.9. | Providing charging infrastructure |
| 2.9.1. | Recharging points |
| 2.9.2. | Battery changing points |
| 2.9.3. | Can the grid cope? |
| 3. | PURE ELECTRIC CARS |
| 3.1. | The arguments against |
| 3.1. | Trouvé pure EV car in 1881 |
| 3.1. | 15 examples of golf EV manufacturers |
| 3.2. | Red Bug pure EV in 1930 |
| 3.2. | Déjà Vu |
| 3.3. | Examples of pure EV cars |
| 3.3. | Sinclair C5 |
| 3.3.1. | Nissan - most ambitious of all? |
| 3.3.2. | Here come the Chinese - BYD and Brilliance |
| 3.3.3. | High performance pure EVs - Tesla |
| 3.3.4. | Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar |
| 3.3.5. | Heuliez Friendly |
| 3.3.6. | REVA |
| 3.3.7. | Coda - Hafei Saibao, China |
| 3.3.8. | ElBil Norge Buddy |
| 3.3.9. | Toyota |
| 3.3.10. | Detroit Electric |
| 3.3.11. | Tara Tiny |
| 3.3.12. | Aixam |
| 3.3.13. | Zap Alias |
| 3.3.14. | Mitsubishi |
| 3.3.15. | Golf EVs |
| 3.4. | Aptera |
| 3.5. | Gemcars |
| 3.6. | The BYD E6 pure EV car |
| 3.7. | Tesla Motors Roadster pure EV performance car |
| 3.8. | Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar showing solar panels on roof and hood |
| 3.9. | Pininfarina Bolloré Bluecar cross section |
| 3.10. | Heuliez Friendly |
| 3.11. | REVA pure EV car |
| 3.12. | The all-electric Coda car, made in China, |
| 3.13. | Buddy pure EV |
| 3.14. | Planned Toyota pure EV city car. |
| 3.15. | Tara Tiny |
| 3.16. | Aixam Mega City |
| 3.17. | ZAP Alias pure EV three wheeler |
| 3.18. | Mitsubishi pure EV car |
| 3.19. | Tonaro from China |
| 3.20. | Suzhou Eagle two and four seat golf cars from China |
| 3.21. | Yongkang Fourstar from China |
| 3.22. | Shadong Wuzheng golf cars |
| 4. | HYBRID CARS |
| 4.1. | Construction and advantages of hybrids |
| 4.1. | Evolution of EV design for on-road and many non-road vehicles |
| 4.1. | Major market drivers for growth in hybrid sales |
| 4.2. | Objectives of the Ricardo QinetiQ diesel hybrid vs the Prius gasoline hybrid |
| 4.2. | Chevrolet Volt internal structure |
| 4.2. | Evolution |
| 4.3. | Chevrolet Volt |
| 4.3. | Chevrolet Volt drive train |
| 4.3. | Toyota Prius Sales by region 1997-2008 in thousands of units |
| 4.4. | Hybrid electric vehicles and associated events 1876-2011 |
| 4.4. | Chevrolet Volt battery, generator and drive unit positioning |
| 4.4. | Bright Automotive SUV |
| 4.5. | Market drivers |
| 4.5. | Average annual fuel consumption in US gallons by vehicle type |
| 4.5.1. | Leading indicators |
| 4.6. | History of hybrids and planned models to 2013 |
| 4.6. | Toyota Prius Sales by region 1997-2008 in thousands of units |
| 5. | BATTERIES AND SUPERCABATTERIES FOR CARS |
| 5.1. | What is a battery? |
| 5.1. | Construction of a battery cell |
| 5.1. | The rising percentage of cost that is attributable to electronics in different types of vehicle |
| 5.1.1. | Battery history |
| 5.1.2. | Analogy to a container of liquid |
| 5.2. | Construction of a battery |
| 5.2. | MEMS compared with a dust mite less than one millimetre long |
| 5.2. | Important milestones in battery and capacitor history |
| 5.3. | Comparison of lead acid and lithium-ion batteries for motive power in cars |
| 5.3. | Rapid progress in the capabilities of small electronic devices and their photovoltaic energy harvesting contrasted with more modest progress in improving the batteries they employ |
| 5.3. | Many shapes of battery |
| 5.4. | Requirements |
| 5.4. | Power in use vs duty cycle for portable and mobile devices showing zones of use of single use vs rechargeable batteries |
| 5.4. | Comparison of some options for large rechargeable lithium-ion batteries |
| 5.5. | Examples of energy density figures for batteries, supercapacitors and other energy sources |
| 5.5. | Power requirements of small electronic products including Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN) and GSM mobile phones and the types of battery employed |
| 5.5. | What is on offer? |
| 5.6. | Energy density comparisons |
| 5.6. | Volumetric vs gravimetric energy density of batteries used in vehicles. |
| 5.6. | Battery characteristics compared |
| 5.7. | Advantages and disadvantages of some options for supplying electricity to small devices |
| 5.7. | Subaru lithium ion manganese battery |
| 5.7. | Safety |
| 5.8. | Where do supercabatteries fit in? |
| 5.8. | Mitsubishi lithium-ion batteries for cars |
| 5.9. | Lightning electric car |
| 5.9. | Limitations of energy storage devices |
| 5.10. | Prospect of radically different batteries and capacitors |
| 5.10. | ReVolt comparison of battery parameters with zinc air |
| 5.11. | Supercapacitor and supercabattery compared |
| 5.11. | Threat to lithium prices? |
| 5.12. | Types of ancillary electrical equipment being improved to serve small devices |
| 5.13. | Transparent flexible battery |
| 5.14. | Bolivian salt flats |
| 5.15. | Chevrolet Volt layout |
| 5.16. | Chevrolet Volt lithium-ion battery |
| 5.17. | Smart EV car layout |
| 6. | ENERGY HARVESTING FOR CARS |
| 6.1. | Definition |
| 6.1. | Where energy harvesting fits into green energy |
| 6.1. | Potential for improving energy harvesting efficiency |
| 6.2. | Main photovoltaic options compared |
| 6.2. | Focus of energy harvesting development in the value chain |
| 6.2. | Choices of harvesting |
| 6.3. | Opportunities for energy harvesting in cars |
| 6.3. | Examples of energy harvesting technologies, developers and manufacturers |
| 6.3. | IDTechEx view of photovoltaic evolution on pure electric vehicles |
| 6.4. | Primary energy harvesting choices by size and efficiency |
| 6.4. | Fiat Phylla |
| 6.5. | Solar Prius |
| 6.5. | Main energy harvesting technologies are compared by life and cost per watt |
| 6.6. | Possible sites for sensors with energy harvesting in cars |
| 6.6. | Combined flexible layers |
| 6.7. | Pure EV motive power |
| 6.7. | German solar electric car from 1982 that achieved 15 mph. |
| 6.8. | Lancia car using solar energy in 1997 |
| 6.8. | Power from bumps in the road |
| 6.9. | Regenerative braking |
| 6.9. | Fiat Phylla running laboratory and enabling technologies. |
| 6.10. | Structure of Fiat mobile laboratory. |
| 6.10. | Electricity from engine and exhaust heat |
| 6.11. | Vibration harvesting |
| 6.11. | Phylla drive train |
| 6.12. | Self sufficient accessory cluster |
| 6.12. | Cruise car solar golf cars |
| 6.13. | Thin film photovoltaic market share 2009-2012 |
| 6.14. | Toyota Prius solar roof option. |
| 6.15. | Latest MIT solar car |
| 6.16. | Honda dream, the winning car in the 1996 World Solar Challenge. The custom made cells for the car are greater than 20% efficient. |
| 6.17. | GenShock prototype |
| 6.18. | Ronggui Yang. |
| 6.19. | Perpetuum electrodynamic vibration harvester with its supercapacitors. |
| 6.20. | Solar powered Cruise car |
| 7. | ELECTRIC MOTORS FOR MOTIVE POWER IN CARS |
| 7.1. | Ford Transit pure EV |
| 7.2. | Mitsubishi i-MiEV |
| 7.2. | Mitsubishi i-MiEV |
| 7.2. | Comparison of ac and dc electric motors for traction |
| 7.3. | Motor position |
| 7.3. | In wheel system of Mitsubishi |
| 7.3.1. | Electric corner modules (ECMs) |
| 7.3.2. | SIM Drive in wheel traction |
| 7.4. | A construction of in-wheel motor |
| 7.5. | Ford Siemens EV motor for central operation |
| 7.6. | Hybrid vehicle electric motor |
| 7.7. | SIM Drive in wheel traction |
| 8. | FUEL CELLS AND FLYWHEELS |
| 8.1. | Fuel cells |
| 8.1. | MIT Biomimetic fuel cell |
| 8.1. | Challenges faced in developing satisfactory fuel cells for vehicles |
| 8.1.1. | Definition and description |
| 8.1.2. | Current situation |
| 8.1.3. | Potential benefits |
| 8.1.4. | Types of fuel cell |
| 8.2. | New forms of fuel cell |
| 8.2. | Volvo Flywheel KERS components |
| 8.2. | Types of fuel cell and characteristics |
| 8.2.1. | Microbial fuel cells |
| 8.2.2. | Lightweight hydrogen generating fuel cell |
| 8.2.3. | Biomimetic approach with MIT fuel cell |
| 8.3. | Flywheels |
| 8.3. | Volvo flywheel KERS system layout |
| 8.4. | Magneto Marelli electrical KERS Motor Generator Unit |
| 8.5. | The Marelli system |
| 8.6. | Williams Formula One KERS flywheel |
| 9. | MARKET FORECASTS |
| 9.1. | Car production |
| 9.1. | Global bicycle and car production millions |
| 9.1. | Crude oil prices 2003-2008 $/barrel |
| 9.2. | Global oil reserves, production and life |
| 9.2. | US oil production and imports |
| 9.2. | Cars and crude oil |
| 9.2.2. | Technical progress |
| 9.3. | Hybrid cars |
| 9.3. | Global sales of EV cars, hybrids, pure EVs and total in numbers 2010-2020 |
| 9.3. | Global sales of EV cars, including hybrids, pure EVs (including golf cars), total in thousands of units and ones that can be plugged in 2010-2020 |
| 9.3.1. | History of hybrid car sales |
| 9.4. | Forecasts 2010-2020 |
| 9.4. | HEV battery sales by type 2000-2006 |
| 9.4. | Toyota Prius Sales by region 1997-2008 in thousands of units |
| 9.5. | Prius US sales in units 2000-2008 |
| 9.5. | Toyota Prius Sales by region 1997-2008 in thousands of units |
| 9.5. | Pure EVs |
| 9.5.1. | Total market |
| 9.5.2. | Will sales of pure electric cars overtake hybrids? |
| 9.5.3. | Market excluding golf cars |
| 9.5.4. | Golf cars |
| 9.5.5. | Fuel cell EVs |
| 9.6. | Battery trends |
| 9.6. | US hybrid sales by month showing sharp drop in 2008 and early 2009 |
| 9.6. | Estimates for historical global hybrid car sales in units by territory with % of whole. |
| 9.7. | Prius US sales in number and percent of US hybrid market |
| 9.7. | Estimates for historical global hybrid car sales in units by territory with % of whole |
| 9.8. | Prius US sales in number and percent of US hybrid market |
| 9.8. | IDTechEx projection for global hybrid car sales by territory 2010-2020 in units and % |
| 9.9. | Number sold by market leader Toyota of all hybrids globally, market share and market drivers |
| 9.9. | Hybrid vehicle sales by manufacturer 2000-2006 |
| 9.10. | Reported hybrid vehicle sales in the USA as a percentage of total new light vehicle sales in March 2009 |
| 9.10. | IDTechEx projections for global hybrid car sales units as % of total car sales 2009-2025 |
| 9.11. | Approximate number of hybrid models actual and planned by year 2000 to 2013 |
| 9.11. | Global hybrid vehicle market by country % 2007 |
| 9.12. | Hybrid vehicle purchases by state in the USA in units 2007 |
| 9.12. | 6 Global sales of electric golf cars in number thousands, ex factory unit price in thousands of dollars and total value in billions of dollars 2010 to 2020, rounded |
| 9.13. | Fuel cell EVs compared with battery pure EVs and ICE hybrids |
| 9.13. | US hybrid vehicle sales by manufacturer percentage 2007 |
| 9.14. | Hybrid vehicle sales by model |
| 9.15. | 2006 forecast of total car sales by region 2006/2011 and 2016 in millions of units |
| 9.16. | IDTechEx projection for global hybrid car sales by territory 2010-2020 in units and %. |
| 9.17. | Number sold by market leader Toyota of all hybrids globally and market drivers |
| 9.18. | IDTechEx projections for global hybrid car sales units as % of total car sales |
| 9.19. | Total sales and hybrids |
| 9.20. | Global pure EV golf car sales 2010-2020 |
| 9.21. | Rechargeable battery sales by type 1972-2010 |
| 10. | GAS STATIONS BY COUNTRY |
| 10.1. | What level of recharging infrastructure is needed? |
| 10.1. | Number of gas stations ("service stations") by region in 2010 |
| APPENDIX 1: GLOSSARY | |
| APPENDIX 2: IDTECHEX PUBLICATIONS AND CONSULTANCY | |
| TABLES | |
| FIGURES |
| Pages | 228 |
|---|---|
| Tables | 47 |
| Figures | 115 |
| 전망 | 2021 |