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| 1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS |
| 1.1. | Scope of the report |
| 1.1. | Numbers of industrial & commercial EVs, in thousands, sold globally, 2015-2025 |
| 1.1. | Numbers of industrial & commercial EVs, in thousands, sold globally, 2015-2025. Mainly hybrid in red. Minority hybrid in green. |
| 1.2. | Unit prices, ex factory, of industrial & commercial EVs, in US$ thousands, globally, 2015-2025 |
| 1.2. | Unit prices, ex factory, of industrial & commercial EVs, in US$ thousands, globally, 2015-2025 |
| 1.2. | Forecasts 2015-2025 |
| 1.3. | Effect of 2015 oil price collapse on electric vehicles |
| 1.3. | Market value of industrial & commercial EVs, in US$ billions, sold globally, 2015-2025 |
| 1.3. | Market value of industrial & commercial EVs, in US$ billions, sold globally, 2015-2025 |
| 1.4. | Electric vehicle end game: free non-stop road travel |
| 2. | INTRODUCTION |
| 2.1. | Urban logistics trends |
| 2.1. | Trend of freight transport urban vs long haulage 2010-2025 |
| 2.1. | Examples of very different bus and freight solutions for essentially the same types of vehicle and some of the relative benefits and challenges. Commonalities highlighted in color. |
| 2.2. | Transport of people 2010-2025 |
| 2.2. | Technology disagreement |
| 2.3. | The special case of China |
| 2.3. | LCV and urban bus usage hours |
| 2.3.1. | Pollution control is urgent |
| 2.3.2. | Particulate matter - China the worst |
| 2.3.3. | Inadequate roads and parking |
| 2.3.4. | Example of action BYD |
| 2.4. | China carbon dioxide emissions vs rest of world |
| 2.4. | Biggest EV? |
| 2.5. | Different strategies |
| 2.5. | Green vehicles in China 2015-2020 |
| 2.6. | Sales of BYD electric buses in China 2015 |
| 2.7. | BYD deployment of electric taxis |
| 2.8. | BYD QIN hybrid car |
| 2.9. | Strategy of Iveco Italy in late 2014 |
| 3. | MARKET DRIVERS FOR INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL EVS |
| 3.1. | Efficiency in power needed per person per distance for different forms of on-road passenger transport |
| 3.1. | Trends |
| 3.1. | Some reasons why ICE vehicles are replaced with EVs |
| 3.2. | Advantages of pure electric commercial vehicles, enjoyed to some extent by hybrid electric versions |
| 3.2. | Advantages of electric commercial vehicles |
| 3.2. | Bus size vs fuel consumption |
| 3.3. | Potential challenges of electric commercial vehicles |
| 4. | HEAVY INDUSTRIAL EVS |
| 4.1. | Caterpillar CAT series hybrid diesel electric bulldozer |
| 4.1. | 27 examples of manufacturers of heavy industrial EVs by country |
| 4.1. | What is included |
| 4.2. | Challenges |
| 4.2. | Mitsubishi diesel electric hybrid lifter |
| 4.3. | Toyota fuel cell forklift and other fuel cell vehicles and activities |
| 4.3. | Forklifts |
| 4.3.1. | Small forklift success |
| 4.3.2. | A look at many FC forklifts across the world |
| 4.3.3. | Plug Power transforms the industry |
| 4.3.4. | Asia Pacific Fuel Cell Technologies APFCT |
| 4.3.5. | Forklift market analysis |
| 4.3.6. | FC material handling fleets and standards |
| 4.4. | Fuel cell forklifts from across the world |
| 4.4. | Listing of manufacturers |
| 4.4.1. | Statistics for all types of industrial lift truck |
| 4.4.2. | Manufacturers of heavy industrial EVs |
| 4.5. | Refuelling a Plug Power unit |
| 4.6. | APFCT fuel cell forklift system showing two refueller cabinets |
| 4.7. | Top 20 industrial lift truck suppliers in 2013 |
| 4.8. | World industrial truck statistics/orders and shipments |
| 5. | LIGHT INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL EVS |
| 5.1. | Introduction |
| 5.1. | Electric bus in Nepal |
| 5.1. | 150 manufacturers of light industrial and commercial EVs and drive trains by country and examples of their products |
| 5.1.1. | Overview |
| 5.1.2. | One quarter of commercial vehicles in Germany can be electric now? |
| 5.2. | Sub categories |
| 5.2. | Mobile electric scissor lift by Wuhan Chancay Machinery and Electronics |
| 5.3. | Garbage collecting electric car |
| 5.3. | Local services |
| 5.4. | Airport EVs |
| 5.4.1. | USA statistics |
| 5.4.2. | GSE by airline and airport |
| 5.4.3. | Here come hybrids |
| 5.4.4. | US incentives |
| 5.4.5. | Overall market |
| 5.4.6. | Airport applications widen |
| 5.4.7. | Sea-Tac Airport 2014 |
| 5.5. | Small people-movers |
| 5.6. | Chrysler minivan in 2015 |
| 5.7. | Dong Feng China big minivan order |
| 5.8. | Light industrial |
| 5.9. | Listing of manufacturers |
| 6. | BUSES AND TRUCKS |
| 6.1. | Increasing variety of bus technologies |
| 6.1. | 78 examples of hybrid electric bus producers by continent of headquarters. |
| 6.1. | Bus powertrain and energy storage technologies by capacity and range to refuel/ recharge, examples only. |
| 6.2. | 78 examples of manufacturers of hybrid electric buses or their power trains (the main added value), with country of headquarters and image |
| 6.2. | Pure electric bus manufacturers by continent |
| 6.2. | Pure electric buses |
| 6.3. | MAN hybrid bus Germany: supercapacitor not battery |
| 6.3. | MAN Lion urban hybrid bus |
| 6.3. | 36 Manufacturers of pure electric buses, country of headquarters and image |
| 6.4. | TOSA bus specification |
| 6.4. | MAN Lion urban hybrid bus in section showing supercapacitors (ultracapacitors) in place of traction battery |
| 6.4. | BYD China |
| 6.5. | OLEV technology for Korean buses |
| 6.5. | Progress in China by BYD buses |
| 6.5. | TOSA charging infrastructure specification |
| 6.6. | ABB TOSA charging system |
| 6.6. | ABB intermittent overhead charging |
| 6.7. | Trucks |
| 6.7. | Passenger space is not compromised, with onboard equipment packaged on the electric bus' roof |
| 6.7.1. | General |
| 6.7.2. | Medium and heavy duty trucks |
| 6.7.3. | Travel through Munich in a vehicle that is 100% electric, clean, quiet |
| 6.8. | Rapid battery charging takes place at every third or fourth bus stop along the pilot project's route, which runs between Geneva airport and the city's exhibition center. |
| 6.9. | ABB presentation late 2014 showing supercapacitor use in TOSA bus |
| 6.10. | Planned TEVA hybrid truck and JAC production line. |
| 6.11. | EDI CNG hybrid truck |
| 6.12. | The electric truck by the BMW Group and the SCHERM group |
| 7. | TAXIS |
| 7.1. | Electric taxi projects in China, Europe, Mexico, UK, UK, Japan |
| 7.1. | Taxi fire caused by a bad lithium-ion battery in a Chinese electric taxi |
| 7.1. | 19 projects testing pure electric taxis |
| 7.2. | BYD taxi rollouts in late 2014 |
| 7.2. | Huge order from the Philippines? |
| 7.3. | BYD Qin hybrid car |
| 7.4. | The Terra Motors e-trike |
| 8. | ELECTRIC VEHICLES FOR CONSTRUCTION, AGRICULTURE AND MINING |
| 8.1. | Overview |
| 8.1. | Grizzly robot electric vehicle for agriculture and mining |
| 8.2. | Sanyo commercial vehicle with extending solar panels for charging when stationary and mine with electric trucks using local solar and wind |
| 8.2. | Value proposition and environmental restrictions |
| 8.3. | Autonomous vehicles for agriculture and mining |
| 8.3. | Energy and work synchronization |
| 8.4. | Pure electric light mining vehicles |
| 8.4. | Energy and work synchronization in mining |
| 8.5. | Light manned vehicles - PapaBravo Canada |
| 8.5. | Bailey hybrid electric crane |
| 8.6. | Konecranes hybrid electric stacker |
| 8.6. | Examples of cranes and lifters |
| 8.7. | Caterpillar and Komatsu: energy harvesting on large hybrid vehicles |
| 8.7. | Pure electric manlift |
| 8.7.1. | CALSTART partnerships |
| 8.7.2. | Other electrification of large vehicles |
| 9. | KEY COMPONENTS FOR INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL ELECTRIC VEHICLES |
| 9.1. | Types of electric vehicle |
| 9.1. | Hybrid bus powertrain |
| 9.1. | Three generations of range extender with examples of construction, manufacturer and power output |
| 9.2. | Traction battery technologies in 2012, number percentage lead acid, NiMH and lithium |
| 9.2. | Hybrid car powertrain using CNG |
| 9.2. | Many fuels |
| 9.3. | Born electric |
| 9.3. | Some hybrid variants |
| 9.3. | Traction battery technologies in 2022 number percentage lead acid, NiMH and lithium |
| 9.4. | Traction battery technology by applicational sector 2010 and 2020, examples of suppliers and trends |
| 9.4. | Evolution of plug in vs mild hybrids |
| 9.4. | Pure electric vehicles are improving |
| 9.5. | Series vs parallel hybrid |
| 9.5. | Trend to deep hybridisation |
| 9.5. | What is on the way in or out with traction batteries |
| 9.6. | 71 vertically integrated lithium traction battery cell manufacturers, their chemistry, cell geometry and customer relationships (not necessarily orders) |
| 9.6. | Evolution of hybrid structure |
| 9.6. | Modes of operation of hybrids |
| 9.6.1. | Plug in hybrids |
| 9.6.2. | Charge-depleting mode |
| 9.6.3. | Blended mode |
| 9.6.4. | Charge-sustaining mode |
| 9.6.5. | Mixed mode |
| 9.7. | Summary of preferences of traction motor technology for vehicles |
| 9.7. | Microhybrid is a misnomer |
| 9.7. | Price premium for hybrid buses |
| 9.8. | Three generations of lithium-ion battery with technical features that are sometimes problematical |
| 9.8. | Deep hybridisation |
| 9.8. | Advantages vs disadvantages of brushed vs brushless vehicle traction motors for today's vehicles |
| 9.9. | 68 industrial and commercial electric vehicles and their motor details. |
| 9.9. | Hybrid vehicle price premium |
| 9.9. | Battery price assisting price of hybrid and pure electric vehicles as a function of power stored |
| 9.10. | Probable future improvement in parameters of lithium-ion batteries for pure electric and hybrid EVs |
| 9.10. | Battery cost and performance are key |
| 9.10. | Examples of electronics and electrics replacing mechanical parts in electric vehicles. |
| 9.11. | Examples of cost reduction of electrics/ electronics by radical alternatives. |
| 9.11. | Tradeoff of energy storage technologies |
| 9.11. | Comparison of battery technologies |
| 9.12. | Where supercapacitors fit in |
| 9.12. | Ultracapacitors = supercapacitors |
| 9.12.1. | Where supercapacitors fit in |
| 9.12.2. | Advantages and disadvantages |
| 9.12.3. | Can supercapacitors replace batteries? |
| 9.12.4. | Supercapacitors - a work round for troublesome batteries |
| 9.12.5. | Supercabatteries: lithium-ion capacitors |
| 9.13. | Range extenders |
| 9.13. | Energy density vs power density for storage devices |
| 9.13.1. | What will be required of a range extender? |
| 9.13.2. | Three generations of range extender |
| 9.13.3. | Fuel cell range extenders |
| 9.14. | Indicative trend of charging and electrical storage for large hybrid vehicles over the next decade. |
| 9.14. | Big effect of many modest electricity sources combined |
| 9.15. | Energy harvesting |
| 9.15. | Evolution of construction of range extenders over the coming decade |
| 9.16. | Examples of range extender technology in the shaft vs no shaft categories |
| 9.16. | Trend to high voltage |
| 9.17. | Structural components |
| 9.17. | Illustrations of range extender technologies over the coming decade with "gen" in red for those that have inherent ability to generate electricity |
| 9.18. | The principle of the Proton Exchange Membrane fuel cells |
| 9.18. | Trend to distributed components |
| 9.19. | Trend to flatness then smart skin |
| 9.19. | Trend of size of the largest (in red) and smallest (in green) fuel cell sets used in 98 bus trials worldwide over the last twenty years. |
| 9.20. | Evolution of traction batteries and range extenders for large hybrid electric vehicles as they achieve longer all-electric range over the next decade. |
| 9.20. | Traction batteries |
| 9.20.1. | After the shakeout in car traction batteries |
| 9.20.2. | The needs have radically changed |
| 9.20.3. | It started with cobalt |
| 9.20.4. | Great variety of recipes |
| 9.20.5. | Other factors |
| 9.20.6. | Check with reality |
| 9.20.7. | Lithium winners today and soon |
| 9.20.8. | Reasons for winning |
| 9.20.9. | Lithium polymer electrolyte now important |
| 9.20.10. | Winning chemistry |
| 9.20.11. | Titanate establishes a place |
| 9.20.12. | Laminar structure |
| 9.20.13. | Niche winners |
| 9.20.14. | Fluid situation |
| 9.21. | Traction motors |
| 9.21. | Main modes of rotational energy harvesting in vehicles |
| 9.21.1. | Definition and background |
| 9.21.2. | Traction motor trends |
| 9.21.3. | Shape of motors |
| 9.21.4. | Born electric - in-wheel electric wheels |
| 9.21.5. | Examples of motors in action |
| 9.22. | Main forms of photovoltaic energy harvesting on vehicles |
| 9.22. | Power electronics |
| 9.23. | Maximum power from the most powerful forms of energy harvesting on or in vehicles |
| 9.24. | Hybrid bus with range improved by a few percent using solar panels |
| 9.25. | Possible trend in battery power storage and voltage of power distribution |
| 9.26. | Volkswagen view of the attractions of 38V |
| 9.27. | Mitsubishi view of hybrid vehicle powertrain evolution |
| 9.28. | Flat lithium-ion batteries for a car and, bottom, UAVs |
| 9.29. | Supercapacitors that facilitate fast charging and discharging of the traction batteries are spread out on a bus roof |
| 9.30. | Here comes lithium |
| 9.31. | Approximate percentage of manufacturers offering traction batteries with less cobalt vs those offering ones with no cobalt vs those offering both. We also show the number of suppliers that offer lithium iron phosphate versions. |
| 9.32. | The Lohner-Porsche electric vehicle of 1898 showing its two in-wheel electric motors. Another version had four |
| 9.33. | Mitsubishi in-wheel motor |
| 10. | INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL COMPANY PROFILES |
| 10.1. | Ayton Willow |
| 10.2. | Bradshaw Electric |
| 10.3. | Caproni JSC |
| 10.4. | Crown Equipment Corporation |
| 10.5. | Hyster-Yale |
| 10.6. | John Deere |
| 10.7. | Jungheinrich AG |
| 10.8. | Kion Group GmbH |
| 10.9. | Liberty Electric Cars |
| 10.10. | MAN Truck & Bus AG |
| 10.11. | Toyota Motor |
| 10.12. | Valence Technologies |
| 10.13. | VISEDO Oy |
| 10.14. | ZNTK Radom |
| IDTECHEX RESEARCH REPORTS AND CONSULTANCY | |
| TABLES | |
| FIGURES |
| Pages | 234 |
|---|---|
| Tables | 26 |
| Figures | 81 |
| Forecasts to | 2025 |