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Internet of People: Technology 2015-2025
Internet of Everything, wearable technology, P2M, future mobile phones etc - flexible, printable, invisible, IPS, RTLS, NFC, EH, etc
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Contents, Table & Figures List
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The new term Internet of People (IoP) encompasses internet-enabled personal electronics. It is rapidly spreading into the fabric of society giving a burst of new growth to add to the easing growth of mobile phones, tablets and other conventional personal electronics and associated networks and services. Many internet-enabled peripherals and alternatives are arriving that are worn, embedded in textiles and in products. This is thanks to new materials and ways of making electronics and more suitable human interfaces. As yet, little is written about IoP as a big picture, though reviews of such things as Google Glass and smart watches and speculation about new products abounds on the web. This report provides what is missing - forecasts for the big picture down to the materials and technologies involved that will cause disruptive change such as invisible, stretchable, woven and disposable electronics.
Samsung, Apple, Google, Adidas, Reebock, Nike, Microsoft, SAP and Roche are among the many giant companies clashing horns on this so called "new mobile phone" i.e. potentially huge market. Even software companies are saying, "hardware is the new software". The $5 billion wearable technology market is now entering a rapid growth phase. Consider lead indicators such as relevant Google Trends, relevant patent filings over the years, incidence of diabetes (treatment being a major sector of wearable technology already), cost reduction of the key enabling technologies, increase in functionality that is becoming possible and interest in fitness monitors another early success story. All show that very rapid growth is in prospect.
This report covers the technologies that will be required to drive the market forward, from tightly rollable display technology, phone sensor fusion and printed electronics to indoor positioning systems (IPS), near field communication (NFC) and real-time locating systems (RTLS). It discusses the most viable markets and megatrends, provides forecasts and timelines to 2025, and includes expert opinions and direct company interviews.
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| 1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS |
| 1.1. | IoP in context |
| 1.1. | Definition of IoT vs IoP and intermediate Internet-protocol directly-connected products |
| 1.1. | Evolution of the IoP and allied matters 2015-2030 plus forecasts by others that may be over-optimistic |
| 1.1.1. | Definitions |
| 1.1.2. | Why now? |
| 1.1.3. | Forecasts for mobile phones, tablets, monitors, films, inks, haptics |
| 1.2. | Drivers and investment |
| 1.2. | IoT vs IoP by application, maturity and other factors |
| 1.2. | Internet enabled personal devices IoP numbers in place (billion) 2015-2025 |
| 1.2.1. | Megatrend drivers |
| 1.2.2. | Investment |
| 1.3. | Future IoP device technologies |
| 1.3. | A broader view involving networks with only internet backhaul or no internet connection at all as yet |
| 1.3. | Some megatrends affecting the Internet of Things |
| 1.3.1. | Breakneck speed |
| 1.3.2. | Needs driven by new behaviour and demographics |
| 1.4. | Future needs |
| 1.4. | Evolution of the internet |
| 1.4. | Examples of IoP and IoT acquisitions and investments in 2014 |
| 1.5. | League table of most active IoT investors |
| 1.5. | IoT technology roadmap 2000 to 2025 as the focus changes from dumb RFID tags not directly connected to the new focus of smart sensing objects with unique IP addresses directly connected to the internet |
| 1.5. | Technology required |
| 1.6. | Hardware is key for future mobile phones |
| 1.6. | Internet enabled personal devices IoP numbers in place (billion) 2015-2025 |
| 1.6. | Examples of identified future needs and need for improved hardware/firmware and/or system/infrastructure changes are needed to achieve them |
| 1.7. | Some emerging mobile phone candidate technologies and the demands they may help to satisfy in the future |
| 1.7. | Mobile sale forecasts used |
| 1.7. | Key future system technologies |
| 1.7.1. | Sensor fusion |
| 1.7.2. | Indoor Positioning Systems IPS |
| 1.7.3. | Near Field Communication NFC |
| 1.8. | Future device technologies |
| 1.8. | Tablet sale forecasts used |
| 1.8.1. | Electrical power, multiple energy harvesting |
| 1.9. | Impediments to progress |
| 1.9. | Notebook sale forecasts used |
| 1.10. | Monitors sale forecasts used |
| 1.10. | The dark side - privacy, security, injury |
| 1.11. | Apple iBeacon |
| 1.11. | Transparent conductive films in the mobile phone industry |
| 1.12. | Transparent conductive films in monitors |
| 1.13. | Transparent conductive films in notebooks |
| 1.14. | Transparent conductive films in tablets |
| 1.15. | Conductive inks and pastes in touch screens (edge electrodes) |
| 1.16. | Base line |
| 1.17. | Conservative |
| 1.18. | Optimistic |
| 1.19. | Some statistics relevant to the potential for the Internet of People |
| 1.20. | Tightly rollable display promised by Samsung |
| 1.21. | Structure of the value offering of IPS vs RTLS |
| 1.22. | IPS principle of operation |
| 1.23. | GPS location (left) compared with the more detailed IPS (right) |
| 1.24. | Power requirements of small electronic products including Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN) and GSM mobile phones and the types of battery employed |
| 2. | INTRODUCTION |
| 2.1. | The internet, cloud, fog |
| 2.1. | How certain applicational segments are best addressed by the Internet of People IoP or the Internet of Things IoT or both |
| 2.1. | Expert forecasts in the last few months of future changes in mobile phones |
| 2.1.1. | Cloud and Fog computing |
| 2.2. | Internet of People |
| 2.3. | Dreams and realities for mobile phones, etc |
| 2.4. | Mobile phone improvements - responses from general survey |
| 2.5. | Expert opinions |
| 2.6. | Lessons from Samsung Future Technology Needs, London 16 June 2014 |
| 3. | IMPROVED HUMAN INTERFACE AND HEALTHCARE |
| 3.1. | Samsung promise of a mobile phone derivative with tightly rollable display |
| 3.1. | Human senses that can interact with a device or be a feature |
| 3.1. | Advantages of wearable electronics |
| 3.1.1. | What is wanted? |
| 3.2. | Polymer Vision concept of a PDA with rollable display |
| 3.2. | The main wearable technology market sectors 2014-2024 |
| 3.2. | Flexible phones: ruggedness and more |
| 3.3. | Roll out screen, photovoltaics, keyboard |
| 3.3. | Some of the investment in wearable technology 2013-4 |
| 3.3. | Possible wearable technologies |
| 3.4. | Two basic types of wearable electronics - the devices and the more futuristic woven smart textiles and smart apparel |
| 3.4. | Global number of wearable electronics devices 2014-2024 |
| 3.4. | Wearable electronics |
| 3.4.1. | Wearable electronic devices |
| 3.4.2. | Derivative technology |
| 3.4.3. | Advantages of wearable electronics |
| 3.4.4. | Two basic types of wearable electronics |
| 3.4.5. | Considerable evidence of rapid adoption to come |
| 3.4.6. | Rapid increase in investment |
| 3.4.7. | Projections |
| 3.5. | Where will it be on your body? |
| 3.5. | Healthcare |
| 3.5.1. | Food poisoning |
| 3.5.2. | Diagnostics and more |
| 3.6. | Sound |
| 3.6.1. | Sound fidelity and localisation |
| 3.6.2. | Throat tattoo and lie detector |
| 4. | TIGHTLY ROLLABLE DISPLAY TECHNOLOGY |
| 4.1. | Summary of technologies |
| 4.1. | Examples of flexible displays |
| 4.1. | Candidates for ITO replacement and flexible screens |
| 4.2. | Benchmarking different TCF and TCG technologies on the basis of sheet resistance, optical transmission, ease of customisation, haze, ease of patterning, thinness, stability, flexibility, reflection and low cost. The technology com |
| 4.2. | TCF technology market share in the smart phone sector |
| 4.2. | Flexible transparent conducting film |
| 4.3. | Technology Assessment |
| 4.3. | Mobile phones |
| 4.3. | Market value $ billions of only flexible/conformal electronics 2012-2022 |
| 4.4. | Market value $ billions of only flexible/conformal electronics 2012-2022 |
| 4.4. | Market Assessment |
| 4.5. | Players |
| 4.6. | Market for flexible and conformal electronics |
| 5. | PHONE SENSOR FUSION & INTERNET OF EVERYTHING |
| 5.1. | Sensor fusion |
| 5.1. | ISMB gesture recognition by sensor fusion |
| 5.2. | Intelligent contextual sensing |
| 5.3. | Sensor fusion leveraging NFC |
| 6. | INDOOR POSITIONING SYSTEMS (IPS) |
| 6.1. | In-Location Alliance |
| 6.1. | Structure of the value offering of IPS vs RTLS |
| 6.1. | Official list of In-Location members |
| 6.2. | Choices of infrastructure |
| 6.2. | IPS principle of operation |
| 6.2. | RTLS |
| 6.3. | Principles of locating using RTLS and IPS |
| 6.3. | GPS location shown left compared with the more detailed IPS right |
| 6.3. | Comparison of options for basic measuring principle to find position |
| 6.4. | Forecast of global RTLS market by value in millions of dollars 2012-2023 |
| 6.4. | RTLS schematic |
| 6.4. | Choice of infrastructure |
| 6.5. | No infrastructure as an option |
| 6.5. | Samsung RTLS objectives |
| 6.5. | Primary market objective for IPS vs RTLS |
| 6.5.1. | Inertial/ dead reckoning measurements |
| 6.6. | RTLS, IPS and OPS compared |
| 6.6. | Enhanced infrastructure |
| 6.7. | Dedicated infrastructure |
| 6.7. | The most popular forms of RTLS based on RFID |
| 6.8. | Forecast of global RTLS market by value in millions of dollars 2012-2023 |
| 6.8. | Trend for IPS infrastructure |
| 6.9. | Choices of signal interpretation to find position |
| 6.9. | Survey of 74 case studies of RTLS by application |
| 6.10. | Relative emphasis on IPS, RTLS or both in the value chain by number of organisations identified in the survey. |
| 6.10. | Apple iBeacon |
| 6.11. | IPS/RTLS Interviews |
| 6.11. | Basic RF measuring principle - relative popularity vs ultrasound |
| 6.11.1. | CSR (formerly Cambridge Silicon Radio) USA |
| 6.11.2. | Decawave Ireland |
| 6.11.3. | Ekahau Finland |
| 6.11.4. | In-Location Alliance UK |
| 6.11.5. | Redpine Signals USA |
| 6.11.6. | Ubisense UK |
| 6.11.7. | Zebra Technologies |
| 7. | NEAR FIELD COMMUNICATION |
| 7.1. | Timelines for NFC adoption |
| 7.1. | Worldwide shipments of PCs, mobile phones, tablets and derivatives, millions 2012-2024 with the most NFC friendly devices highlighted |
| 7.1. | Important milestones in the adoption and use of NFC 2014-2024 |
| 7.2. | IDTechEx conclusions about the status and potential of NFC technology |
| 7.2. | Sales of NFC enabled phones vs all mobile phones millions 2012-2024 with % penetration |
| 7.2. | Forecasts 2014-2024 |
| 7.3. | NFC Interviews |
| 7.3. | Some of the potential stakeholders in the NFC phone value chain |
| 7.3. | Comments by supporters and skeptics of NFC in 2013 |
| 7.3.1. | Cubic Transportation Systems, Inc, USA |
| 7.3.2. | MeaWallet, Norway |
| 7.3.3. | Nissin Czech Republic |
| 7.3.4. | RBR, UK |
| 7.3.5. | Smart-TEC, Germany |
| 7.3.6. | Tag & Play, France |
| 7.3.7. | Ticketmobile, Norway |
| 7.3.8. | Interview in Japan |
| 7.4. | Worldwide shipments of PCs, mobile phones, tablets and derivatives, millions 2012-2024 with the most NFC friendly devices highlighted |
| 7.5. | Sales of NFC enabled phones vs all mobile phones millions 2012-2024 with % penetration |
| 8. | PRINTED AND PRINTABLE ELECTRONICS AND ELECTRICS |
| 8.1. | Flexible OLED displays |
| 8.1. | Add Vision process |
| 8.2. | Thinfilm printed memory |
| 8.2. | Flexible memory |
| 8.3. | Flexible batteries |
| 8.3. | IDTechEx view of potential for graphene in electronics and electrics. |
| 8.4. | IDTechEx assessment of emerging metallisation inks |
| 8.4. | Graphene |
| 8.5. | Emerging metallisation inks |
| 8.5. | IDTechEx assessment of emerging transparent conductors |
| 8.6. | Plastic Logic view of wearables |
| 8.6. | Wearable electronics |
| 8.7. | Printed electronics and allied interviews |
| 8.7. | Plastic foil of organic photodetectors |
| 8.7.1. | Bayer MaterialScience - Artificial Muscle Inc Germany |
| 8.7.2. | CAP-XX Australia |
| 8.7.3. | ISORG France |
| 8.7.4. | KWJ Engineering Inc USA |
| 8.7.5. | Paper Battery Co USA |
| 8.7.6. | Peratech Ltd UK |
| 8.7.7. | Synkera Technologies Inc USA |
| 8.7.8. | Tactonic |
| 8.8. | Printed temperature sensor |
| 8.9. | OPD for object detection by smart systems: logistics, retail, Point-Of-Sales display |
| 9. | FUTURE ELECTRICAL POWER AND OTHER EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES |
| 9.1. | IDTechEx view of OPV |
| 9.1. | New battery and supercapacitor technologies |
| 9.1. | 142 manufacturers and putative manufacturers of lithium-based rechargeable batteries with country, cathode and anode chemistry, electrolyte morphology, case type, applicational priorities and customer relationships, if any, in sel |
| 9.1.1. | Li-ion batteries |
| 9.2. | Photovoltaics technologies and Africa |
| 9.3. | 3D Printing |
| 9.4. | Flexible haptic keyboards |
| 9.5. | Scanner, printer, separate flexible display and energy harvesting, battery boosters |
| 9.6. | Progress with harvesting tolerant electronics |
| IDTECHEX MARKET INTELLIGENCE PORTAL | |
| IDTECHEX RESEARCH REPORTS | |
| IDTECHEX CONSULTANCY | |
| TABLES | |
| FIGURES |
55 billion IoP devices could be sold in 2025
Report Statistics
| Pages | 163 |
|---|---|
| Tables | 26 |
| Figures | 58 |
| Forecasts to | 2025 |
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