Graphene market on the cusp of growth
Juin 24, 2015
Each year IDTechEx Research releases its up-to-date market report on graphene and related materials: Graphene and 2D Materials: Markets, Technologies and Opportunities 2015-2025. Our latest analysis shows that the graphene market will reach nearly $200m at the material level. This year our forecasts are more granular than ever before, covering more than 17 specific application sectors.
Revenues are currently dominated by sales of small-volume but high-priced research samples. The suppliers are however aggressively building up sales pipelines across many application sectors, and we anticipate that real application sales and price falls will accelerate from 2018-2020.
The largest sectors will be composites, energy storage and functional/conductive coatings, although each one will be split across several sub-sectors. Graphene platelets will dominate the sales particularly as their selling prices plunge, while graphene sheets will remain a small niche that will grow only from 2019/2020 onwards.
Fig 1. Market snapshot in 2014 and 2026. Last year the market was dominated by research sales. This will however change as real applications sales grow. Source: IDTechEx Research report www.IDTechEx.com/graphene
This report is based upon years of research and close engagement with the community of graphene producers, investors and users. In the past four years, we have interviewed and profiled almost all the graphene suppliers globally (>40), engaged with many investors to help them select the right company and right technology, and guided many end users.
In parallel to this, we have organised 6 international tradeshows and conferences on graphene and 2D materials ourselves. These commercial conferences have become the forum in which the latest innovations are announced and the latest products are launched. More importantly, they have become the venue in which suppliers and users directly connect. Learn more about our next event at www.IDTechEx.com/usa.
We have also travelled the world extensively to attend and lecture at all relevant conference and tradeshows, giving us further opportunity to get to know the industry well. We are confident that our knowledge and insight into the technologies, markets and applications of graphene and 2D materials is without parallel the world over.
Conductive films and inks
Graphene conductive inks target the vast performance space between carbon and metallic pastes. Initial success was limited since it performed effectively as an over-priced and slightly-improved carbon paste.
The performance is now improving towards the 1 ohm/sqr target while the price is falling. This will soon open up a range of applications such as car seat heaters, sensor electrodes, smart packaging, RFID antenna, etc.
The transparent conductive film industry is consolidating fast. Here graphene is a substitute that offers a less-for-more value proposition compared to the incumbent (ITO films) and other leading ITO alternatives. Its opportunities will therefore be limited.
In supercapacitors actual graphene electrodes punch well below their theoretical limit due to graphene stacking, poor surface utilisation and poor out-of-plane conductivity. The incumbent, activated carbon, has low prices as well as a decent actual specific capacitance.
The manufacturing processes have also been formed to handle and deposit activated carbon. It will therefore be hard to displace it en masse, although recent commercial-level results suggest that graphene will offer a more-for-more value proposition in niche sectors initially.
Graphene additives for battery electrode have already been launched. In Li ion batteries, graphene additives reduce the resistance thereby leading to increased capacity retention at high (5C) discharge rates.
In silicon anode batteries, graphene flakes can support silicon nanostructures, enabling them to expand and shrink during the charge-discharge cycles without mechanical breakage. In Li sulphur batteries, graphene oxide and sometimes friable graphene can help entrap Li sulphur intermediaries thus preventing the polyshuttle loss mechanism.
Graphene platelets are additives into composites, modifying the performance at low wt% loading values. The results are promising for thermal composites, particularly when graphene platelets have large surface areas. Graphene can also reduce permeation although nanoclays or nano silicates seem to give better results than some commercial graphenes. Conductive plastic are also possible although CNTs are more suited here thanks to their morphology.
It is critical to develop intermediaries to reduce the time to market, end user uncertainty, and health and safety concerns. This is not straightforward because graphene is hard to formulate or compound thanks to its large surface area and its tendency to re-stack.
A range of early stage applications are emerging that use graphene and other 2D materials as sensor, water filtration membrane, anti-corrosion, transistor and other materials. Graphene will fail in transistor applications although other 2D material may have a chance (ultra-long term). Graphene will find success in some sensor types in the medium to long term. Price will remain a prohibiting factor in high-volume anti-corrosion applications for the foreseeable future.
Graphene has an extraordinary set of properties and multi-billion dollar investments are being directed towards its R&D. This suggests that graphene will find use in 'other' applications which are yet to be defined. Indeed, to this date graphene is mostly positioned as a substitute but the killer application will eventually be found.
Fig 2. Market forecast in 2015, 2018 and 2021 split by application. Inset: the market in 2026 divided by graphene type (sheet or platelet). For exact values please contact us. Source: IDTechEx Research report www.IDTechEx.com/graphene
What this report provides
The brand new IDTechEx Research report Graphene and 2D Materials: Markets, Technologies and Opportunities 2015-2025 provides the following data and analysis:
1. Investment, capacity and revenue by company
2. Interview-based company profiles of 40 graphene companies
3. Benchmarking of suppliers on the basis of technology readiness and medium-term commercial opportunity
4. Market trends and dynamics including:
a. Go-to-market strategy
b. Prices and pricing strategy
c. Product qualities and morphologies
d. Consistency and quality issues
e. Intermediary challenges
f. Current and expected product launches
g. Application timeline
5. Ten year market segmented forecasts based volume, market value, and graphene type. The market forecasts cover 17 specific application sectors
6. Overview of the multi-walled carbon nanotube industry including:
a. Production capacity by supplier
b. Current applications and forecast application pipeline
c. Segmented ten-year market projections
d. Benchmarking and mapping key players
7. Detailed overview of production methods including:
b. Direct liquid phase exfoliation
c. Electrochemical exfoliation
d. Plasma exfoliation
e. Substrate-less plasma or CVD growth
f. CVD growth of graphene sheets
8. Detailed application assessment including IDTechEx insight and assessment, state-of-the-art and commercial progress, analysis of competing technologies, pricing trends and ten-year market projections for:
a. Transparent conducting films
b. Conducting inks and coatings
d. Silicon anode, Li sulphur, Li ion and other battery technologies
e. Conductive, thermal, permeation or mechanically-enhanced composites
f. Graphene and 2D materials for transistors
j. Water filtration
For more information about the report visit www.IDTechEx.com/graphene.