3D Electronics Market Is Forecast to Reach Around $3bn by 2030
2020年11月19日 Annick Garrington
3D Electronics 2020-2030: Technologies, Forecasts, Players
Molded interconnect devices, laser direct structuring, aerosol jet, laser induced forward transfer, film-insert molding, in-mold electronics, 3D printed electronics and more
3D electronics is an emerging approach that enables electronics to be integrated within or onto the surface of objects. While it has long be used for adding antennas and simple conductive interconnects to the surface of 3D injection-molded plastic objects, more complex circuits are increasingly being added onto surfaces made from a variety of material by utilizing new techniques. Furthermore, in-mold electronics and 3D printed electronics enable complete circuits to be integrated within an object, offering multiple benefits that include simplified manufacturing and novel form factors. With 3D electronics, adding electronic functionality no longer requires incorporating a rigid, planar PCB into an object then wiring up the relevant switches, sensors, power sources and other external components.
The IDTechEx report, "3D Electronics 2020-2030: Technologies, Forecasts, Players", provides an extensive overview of all approaches to 3D electronics, informed by interviews with major players in each field. The pros and cons of each approach are weighed against each other for different applications, with numerous case studies showing how the different manufacturing techniques are deployed across the automotive, consumer goods and medical device sectors. Furthermore, through detailed analysis of the technologies and their requirements IDTechEx identify innovation opportunities for both materials and manufacturing methods. All the approaches and technologies analyzed in this report are shown below on a roadmap that shows their progress from concept to commercialization for different applications.
Figure 1: The status of different 3D electronics technologies for different applications, from concept to commercialization. For more details please see the IDTechEx Report, "3D Electronics 2020-2030: Technologies, Forecasts, Players"
Electronics applied to a circuit surface
The best-established approach to adding electrical functionality onto the surface of 3D objects is laser direct structuring (LDS), in which an additive in the injection molded plastic is selectively activated by a laser. This forms a pattern that is subsequently metallized using electroless plating. LDS saw tremendous growth around a decade ago, and is used to manufacture 100s of millions of devices each year, around 75% of which are antennas.
However, despite its high patterning speed and widespread adoption, LDS has some weaknesses that leave space for alternative approaches to surface metallization. Firstly, it is a two-step process that can require sending parts elsewhere for plating, thus risking IP exposure. It has a minimum resolution in mass production of around 75 um, thus limiting the line density, and can only be employed on molded plastic. Most importantly, LDS only enables a single layer of metallization, thus precluding cross-overs and hence substantially restricting circuit complexity.
Given these limitations, other approaches to applying conductive traces to the surfaces of 3D objects are gaining ground. Extruding conductive paste, a viscous suspension comprising multiple conductive flakes, is already used for a small proportion of antennas, and is the approach of choice for systems that deposit entire circuits onto 3D surfaces.
Aerosol jetting is another emerging metallization approach, in which a relatively low viscosity, usually conductive ink is atomised. This spray is then combined with an inert carrier gas and ejected from a nozzle. Aerosol jet has two notable advantages: it is capable of resolutions as fine as 10 um, and the nozzle can be placed a few mm away from the surface thus facilitating patterning of 3D surfaces with complex surface geometries. The downsides are the cost of the complex atomisation and delivery process, and the requirement to re-optimize the process for different inks.
An advantage of digital deposition methods of the incumbent LDS technology is that dielectric materials can also be deposited within the same printing system, thereby enabling cross-overs and hence much more complex circuits. Insulating and conductive adhesives can also deposited, enabling SMD components to be mounted onto the surface.
In mold electronics (IME) offers a commercially compelling proposition of integrating electronics into injection molded parts, reducing manufacturing complexity, lowering weight and enabling new form factors since rigid PCBs are no longer required. Furthermore, it relies on existing manufacturing techniques such as in-mold decoration and thermoforming, reducing the barriers to adoption. The basic principle is that a circuit is printed onto a thermoformable substrate, and SMD components mounted using conductive adhesives. The substrate is then thermoformed to the desired shape, and infilled with injection molded plastic. IME is especially well suited to human machine interfaces (HMIs) in both automotive interiors and the control panels of white goods, since decorative films can be used on the outer surface above capacitive touch sensors.
While IME is likely to dominate HMI interfaces in the future due to the ease of manufacture and compatibility with established manufacturing techniques, it does bring technical challenges. Chief among these is developing conductive and dielectric materials that can withstand the temperature of the thermoforming process along with the heat and pressure of injection molding. As such, materials suppliers are developing portfolios of materials aimed at IME, with conductive inks that can be deformed without cracking. Additional challenges include the development of electronic design software that can account for bending on circuits, and developing SMD component attachment methods that are reliable under the molding process.
Fully printed 3D electronics
The least developed technology is fully 3D printed electronics, in which dielectric materials (usually thermoplastics) and conductive materials are sequentially deposited. Combined with placed SMD components, this results in a circuit, potentially with a complex multilayer structure embedded in a 3D plastic object. The core value proposition is that each object and embedded circuit can be manufactured to a different design without the expense of manufacturing masks and molds each time.
Fully 3D printed electronics are thus well suited to applications where wide range of components need to be manufactured at short notice. Indeed, the US Army are currently trialling a ruggedized 3D printer to make replacement components in forward operating bases. The technology is also promising for applications where a customized shape and even functionality is important, for example medical devices such as hearing aids and prosthetics. The ability of 3D printed electronics to manufacture different components using the same equipment, and the associated decoupling of unit cost and volume, could also enable a transition to on-demand manufacturing, in which objects with electronic functionality are manufactured in response to specific customer requests (and possibly with bespoke features).
The challenges for fully 3D printed electronics are that manufacturing is fundamentally a much slower process than making parts via injection molding since each layer needs to be deposited sequentially. While the printing process can be accelerated using multiple nozzles, it is best targeted at applications where the customizability offers a tangible advantage. Ensuring reliability is also a challenge since with embedded electronics post-hoc repairs are impossible - one strategy is using image analysis to check each layer and perform any repairs before the next layer is deposited.
Comprehensive analysis and market forecasts
The IDTechEx report, "3D Electronics 2020-2030: Technologies, Forecasts, Players", discusses each approach to 3D electronics in considerable detail, evaluating the different technologies, their potential adoption barriers and their applicability to the different application areas. The report includes multiple company profiles based on interviews with major players across the different technologies. IDTechEx also develop 10-year market forecasts for each technology and application sector, delineated by both revenue and area. IDTechEx forecast the gradual decline of LDS and growth in extruded paste for consumer electronic antennas, and increased use of extrusion and aerosol especially for automotive applications. The most substantial growth is predicted for IME, which IDTechEx predict will be widely adopted in car interiors and the control panels of white goods.
Figure 2: Forecast revenue for various categories of 3D printed electronics (LIFT, aerosol, LDS, two-shot molding and extruded paste are all methods for adding electronics to 3D surfaces). For more details please see the IDTechEx Report, "3D Electronics 2020-2030: Technologies, Forecasts, Players"
To find out more about the IDTechEx report "3D Electronics 2020-2030: Technologies, Forecasts, Players", please visit www.IDTechEx.com/3DElec or contact us at Research@IDTechEx.com. Sample pages from this report are available to download here.
On-Demand Webinar - 3D Electronics: Escaping the Constraints of PCBs
Originally broadcast in October 2020, this webinar presented by IDTechEx Technology Analyst is now available to watch on-demand.
3D Electronics covers all the methods of adding electronics both to 3D surfaces and incorporating them within 3D objects. This promises much greater design freedom and potentially reduced costs as assembly is substantially simplified. Other advantages include reduced weight and greater durability.
Dr Dyson covers the three different approaches to 3D electronics, specifically applying electronics onto surfaces, in-mold electronics (IME) and 3D printed electronics. Applying electronics to 3D surfaces is the most developed of the three, primarily in the form of laser direct structuring (LDS). IDTechEx forecast substantial growth in printing conductive traces and mounting components directly onto 3D objects. IME is also set to become a widespread manufacturing method, primarily in the automotive sector, as it greatly simplifies the manufacture of functional interior panels. Fully 3D printed electronics is primarily used for prototyping at present, but as the process speeds up it should enable rapid on-demand manufacturing at low volumes.
This webinar includes:
- Discussion of the various approaches of manufacturing 3D electronics, their differentiating factors, readiness level, and the applications to which they are best suited.
- Case studies showing how 3D electronics can be used in many different applications.
- Overview of the latest market forecast for the different 3D-electronics categories, highlighting which techniques and applications are predicted to see the most growth over the next 10 years.
- Analysis of technological transitions and associated innovation opportunities.
More detailed information, including the full market forecasts, can be found in IDTechEx's extensive report on the topic: "3D Electronics 2020-2030: Technologies, Forecasts, Players". This covers the three main categories of 3D electronics, along with many detailed case studies, multiple company profiles, and technological/commercial readiness assessments.
Click here to view this on-demand webinar.