Photovoltaic Manufacturer Shipments: Capacity, Production, Prices and Revenues to 2019

This report provides the most thorough analysis of:

 

 

for the supply side of the terrestrial photovoltaic industry over the last two years (2013-2014), in addition to summary data from 2009 and forecasts to 2019. Historic and current prices, cost, production, shipment and inventory data provide insight into the behavior of the photovoltaic industry over time leading to a better understanding of current industry behavior. Data is also provided regionally, for China, Europe, Japan, U.S., Malaysia, Taiwan and ROW. Manufacturers covered in this report produce technology as cells, cells to modules, and thin film panels.

 

The 120 page report, published annually for over thirty five years, provides trend analysis overtime as well as insights into price and regional strategies crucial to succeeding in the highly competitive photovoltaic industry.

 

The data used for this analysis reflects information gathered from surveys of both photovoltaic cell/module manufacturers (supply-side) and demand-side participants, such as photovoltaic distributors, system integrators, dealers, installers, OEMs, etc. Those interviewed for this research include silicon feedstock manufacturers, wafer manufactures and end users of PV products. Over 1000 organizations have been surveyed.

This report provides PV industry statistics for 2013 and 2014 crucial to understanding the industry's competitive position and to recognize emerging trends. This analysis is particularly important for companies making the decision to enter the highly competitive photovoltaic industry with a new technology. These statistics include data on:

 

 

and trends in revenue over the last several years as well as a discussion of cost trends and industry profitability. The chapter ends with a technology forecast to 2019.

 

 

 

 

 

This section describes trends in the global average selling price (ASP) for cell/module shipments since 1989. Regression analysis is used to generate future price forecasts, based on quantified historic trends that indicate price reduction as a function of cumulative shipments (manufacturing experience). Prices and estimated costs for c-Si technologies, thin film technologies are provided while inventory re-sales and system pricing are analyzed. Average pricing by wattage, as well as for 60 cell, 72 cell and 120 cell modules is provided. Forecast projections to 2019 and 2024 are also provided for two different forecast scenarios, "conservative" and "accelerated".

 

 

 

This chapter compares industry cell manufacturing capacity to overall production and shipments for 2013 and 2014. Wherever possible, an attempt has been made to identify shipments from inventory, and to separate these from shipments of calendar year 2014. This has been done to ensure an accurate characterization of PV industry capacity statistics. The chapter offers an analysis of: shipment volume versus capacity levels, shipments compared to capacity by four major regions, regional analysis of crystalline and thin film technologies among other topics.

 

For example, in 2013, strong demand as well as the slow return of positive margin to some and despite the continued exit of smaller manufacturers, though not all, manufacturers encouraged a capacity increase of 15% to 42.2-GWp from 36.7-GWp. In 2014 capacity increases of 14% (to 48-GWp) to 19% (50-GWp) are expected as manufacturers ramp up to take advantage of strong demand in China, Japan and the US. Manufacturers in China and the ROW region as well as Taiwan are expected to take the strongest advantage of current strong demand.

 

 

 

Two forecast scenarios to 2019, conservative and accelerated, and an accompanying technology estimate (thin film and crystalline) built on primary survey effort that included feedstock suppliers, cell and module manufacturers, module assemblers, and the distributor channel (all levels) are provided.

The top ten manufacturers are given for 2009 through 2014, with a specific focus on the cell or thin film panel capacity and shipments as well as module assembly capability of the top ten manufacturers for 2014.

This research is brought to you by IDTechEx and SPV Market Research, providing the most complete picture of the PV supply market based on over 20 years of research on the sector. It accompanies research on PV markets and demand and Solar Flare, a quarterly update report. Contact us to subscribe to our PV services for the highest value and analyst-client engagement.

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